TruthIsAll Election Analysis (1968-2008)

Updated: 2/7/10

 

Look for my book to be published in March/April:

 

PROVING ELECTION FRAUD

Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll

 

 

Recursive True Vote Model (1968-2008)

 

Recorded Share   True Share

Dem        Rep         Dem        Rep         Error

   2008      52.9%   45.6%   58.0%   40.3% -10.5%

 2004      48.3       50.7       53.5       45.1       -10.9

2000        48.4         47.9         50.3         46.0         -3.9

1996        49.2         40.7         53.4         37.1         -7.8

 1992      43.0       37.4       50.9       30.8       -14.6

1988       45.6        53.4        49.6        49.3        -8.1

 

1984        40.6         58.8         42.1         57.2         -3.1

1980        41.0         50.7         42.7         48.9         -3.5

1976        50.1         48.0         53.0         45.2         -5.7

1972        36.2         60.7         40.4         56.6         -8.2

1968       42.9        43.6        45.3        41.9        -4.1

 

Avg         45.3        48.9        49.0        45.3        -7.3

 

 

2004

Election Model Monte Carlo Forecast Simulation

Kerry 51.8-Bush 48.2%, 337 EV

Recorded: Bush 50.7-48.3%, 286 EV

 

To Believe Bush Won...

Keith Olbermann (Nov. 9, 2004) on Voting Irregularities

 

Further Confirmation of a Kerry Landslide

Unadjusted State Exit Poll Aggregate: Kerry 52.0-47.0%, 337 EV

Recursive True Vote Model: Kerry 53.5-45.1%, 67-57m, 379 EV

 

A Simple Proof

Election Myths

Footprints: 1988-2004 State Exit Poll Discrepancies

Returning 2000 and New Voter Turnout Proves Kerry Won

Response to the TruthIsAll FAQ; 2000-2006 Election Fraud Analytics

 

The 2004 Election Fraud Beginner's Guide: A Broken Democracy Crash Course

http://www.organikrecords.com/corporatenewslies/beginner_v2.htm

 

 

2006 Midterms

Quantifying the Risk

Protecting The Democratic Vote: Part 3
A Formula for Catching Election Fraud

Democrats should take 40 House and 6 Senate seats

 

 Generic Poll Trend Forecasting Model

Democratic Projection: 56.43%;

Unadjusted National Exit Poll 56.37%

CNN Final National Exit Poll: 52-46%

 

 

2008

The Primaries: Footprints of Election Fraud

Election Model Monte Carlo Forecast Simulation

Election Fraud Analytics

 

Obama 53.1%; 365.3 expected EV

(365.8 EV mean; 367 median, 371 mode)

Recorded: Obama 52.9%, 69.5-59.9m; 365 EV

True Vote: Obama 58.0-40.3%, 77-54m, 419 EV

 

2010

MA Senate Race: Coakley won the Handcounts

 

Miscellaneous

DUers byronius and autorank (Michael Collins): http://www.truthisall.net/

DUer DrDebug: http://rigorousintuition.yuku.com/forum/viewtopic/id/845

 

Postings (2004-2005)

Postings since 2005

Reference Links

 

Downloadable Excel Models

1988-2008 Election Calculator

Interactive 2004 Election Simulation

Monte Carlo 2004 Polling Simulation

 

 

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