2000 - 2004 Election Day and Late Votes, Voting Method and Exit Poll Analysis

 

Richard Charnin (TruthIsAll)

 

Feb. 1, 2011

 

Bush won the recorded vote by just 3.0 million. Kerry’s New York margin was reduced by nearly 1.0 million votes due to election fraud. In California, his margin was cut by approximately 1.4 million.  Approximately 80% of his “mandate” was from these strong Democratic states.

Kerry won the national aggregate of the state unadjusted exit polls by 52-47%, but lost the recorded vote by 50.7-48.3%. The average exit poll discrepancy (WPD) was 7.4%. The WPD for mechanical lever precincts was 10.6%, 6.6% for punch cards, 7.1% for DREs, 6.1% for optical scanners - but just 2.2% for paper ballots.

See http://www.richardcharnin.com/NewYorkConfirmationKerryLandslide.htm.

Kerry’s Election Day vote in lever machine precincts increased by 8.6% over Gore in 2000 while Bush increased by 23.1%. There was a net increase of 5.8% in Bush’s total lever margin. The increase was much higher than all other voting methods.

Note: For the 2000 election, voting methods in several states (approximately 6 million votes) are unavailable.

2000-2004 State Election Day Vote shares by Voting Method

Table 1

Voting

2004

2000

 

 

 

2004

Share

 

 

Vote Chg from 2000

 

Pct Change vs 2000

        Bush Net Increase

Method

Precints

Vote

GORE

BUSH

NADER

Vote

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

Margin

Margin%

Incid

 

184,824

96,717

48.32%

49.01%

2.66%

116,008

48.36%

51.29%

0.35%

9,363

12,100

-2,171

20.0%

25.5%

2,737

2.2%

1,966

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Paper

4,737

1,518

43.0%

53.9%

3.01%

1,879

44.07%

55.52%

0.42%

104

156

-39

15.9%

19.0%

52

0.6%

0

Opscan

66,451

33,078

46.3%

50.9%

2.82%

41,411

47.15%

52.58%

0.27%

2,218

3,669

-825

14.5%

21.8%

1,450

0.9%

303

Lever

26,698

13,977

54.4%

42.1%

3.45%

15,663

52.86%

46.34%

0.80%

658

1,363

-358

8.6%

23.1%

706

5.8%

243

Punch

26,083

11,306

48.6%

49.1%

2.29%

13,037

48.97%

50.92%

0.12%

890

1,084

-243

16.2%

19.5%

194

1.4%

213

DRE

46,551

28,875

49.1%

48.9%

2.03%

33,467

48.34%

51.39%

0.27%

2,012

3,074

-495

14.2%

21.8%

1,062

3.2%

1,171

Other

14,304

7,963

43.9%

52.7%

3.38%

10,550

46.49%

53.00%

0.50%

601

801

-232

17.2%

19.1%

200

-2.3%

36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TIMELINE

Total

GORE

BUSH

OTHER

Total

KERRY

BUSH

OTHER

KERRY

BUSH

OTHER

KERRY

BUSH

Margin

Change

 

Election Day

102,597

48.3%

48.0%

3.74%

117,074

48.03%

50.98%

0.99%

6,721

10,431

-2,675

-0.23%

2.97%

3,710

3.20%

 

Late

 

2,819

53.2%

42.7%

4.12%

5,213

53.72%

45.16%

1.11%

1,302

1,150

-58

0.56%

(152)

(152)

1.88%

 

Total

 

105,416

48.4%

47.9%

3.75%

122,287

48.27%

50.73%

1.00%

8,023

11,581

-2,733

-0.11%

3,558

3,558

2.98%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PAPER

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2000

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

Vote change from 2000

(000)

 

%change

 from 2000

 

 Bush Net Increase

 

 

State

Prct

Total

GORE

BUSH

NADER

Total

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

Margin

Margin

Incid

AR

253

44

46.7%

50.6%

2.7%

46

44.7%

54.7%

0.6%

0.1

3.0

-0.9

0%

13%

2.9

6.1%

0

CO

44

8

25.4%

71.4%

3.2%

8

25.7%

73.7%

0.5%

0.1

0.3

-0.2

3%

5%

0.2

2.0%

0

ID

145

43

20.2%

74.7%

5.1%

48

25.0%

75.0%

0.0%

3.3

4.0

-2.2

39%

13%

0.7

-4.5%

0

KS

300

39

23.7%

73.4%

2.9%

39

22.1%

77.1%

0.8%

-0.5

1.8

-0.8

-6%

6%

2.3

5.3%

0

MI

237

174

50.5%

47.8%

1.7%

195

49.0%

50.6%

0.5%

7.6

15.4

-2.1

9%

19%

7.7

4.3%

0

 

MN

1093

476

48.0%

46.9%

5.1%

557

50.6%

48.7%

0.7%

52.9

48.1

-20.5

23%

22%

-4.8

-0.7%

0

MO

858

164

69.5%

28.6%

1.9%

182

71.1%

28.9%

0.0%

15.5

5.6

-3.1

14%

12%

-9.9

-1.4%

0

MT

144

28

23.3%

73.5%

3.2%

29

27.5%

71.4%

1.1%

1.4

0.0

-0.6

22%

0%

-1.4

-6.4%

0

NE

5

1

15.9%

82.2%

1.9%

1

14.8%

84.3%

0.9%

0.0

0.0

0.0

-6%

3%

0.0

3.3%

0

NC

17

7

41.5%

58.5%

0.0%

8

39.0%

61.0%

0.0%

0.1

0.6

0.0

4%

15%

0.5

5.1%

0

 

ND

63

8

29.5%

68.0%

2.5%

9

35.4%

63.2%

1.4%

0.7

0.1

-0.1

31%

1%

-0.7

-10.7%

0

PA

195

84

36.2%

61.5%

2.3%

97

33.8%

66.2%

0.0%

2.2

12.2

-1.9

7%

24%

10.0

7.1%

0

SD

157

22

35.0%

65.0%

0.0%

27

39.8%

59.3%

0.9%

3.0

1.6

0.2

39%

11%

-1.4

-10.6%

0

TX

913

329

28.9%

69.5%

1.6%

392

27.9%

72.1%

0.0%

14.3

53.8

-5.3

15%

24%

39.4

3.5%

0

UT

3

0

23.9%

72.8%

3.3%

0

21.7%

77.0%

1.2%

0.0

0.1

0.0

4%

21%

0.1

6.5%

0

 

VA

20

4

33.5%

64.7%

1.8%

4

34.6%

65.4%

0.0%

0.1

0.1

-0.1

9%

6%

0.0

-0.5%

0

WV

178

48

40.9%

57.9%

1.2%

54

37.5%

62.1%

0.4%

0.8

6.0

-0.4

4%

22%

5.2

7.6%

0

WI

74

22

49.4%

45.5%

5.1%

25

52.1%

47.3%

0.6%

2.3

1.9

-1.0

21%

19%

-0.4

-1.1%

0

WY

38

18

34.2%

62.9%

2.9%

19

31.4%

67.2%

1.3%

-0.2

1.3

-0.3

-4%

12%

1.5

7.1%

0

NH

 

 

 

 

 

141

50.4%

48.8%

0.8%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL

4,737

1,518

43.0%

53.9%

3.0%

1,879

44.1%

56.1%

0.4%

104

156

-39

15.9%

19.0%

52.1

1.6%

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

OPTICAL SCANNERS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2000

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

Change from 2000

 

 

% Change from 2000

 

 Bush Net Increase

 

 

State

Prct

Total

GORE

BUSH

NADER

Total

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

Margin

Margin

Incid

AL

2522

1575

42.7%

56.2%

1.1%

1776

37.6%

62.0%

0.4%

-5

216

-11

-1%

24%

220.8

10.9%

13

AZ

2027

1321

46.1%

50.9%

3.0%

1644

44.7%

55.3%

0.0%

127

236

-40

21%

35%

109.4

5.7%

41

AR

1583

590

47.5%

50.2%

2.3%

661

46.7%

52.8%

0.5%

28

53

-10

10%

18%

24.5

3.4%

1

CA

17606

6491

56.2%

39.7%

4.0%

6724

57.5%

42.5%

0.0%

215

280

-262

6%

11%

64.8

1.5%

60

CO

2404

1267

40.2%

54.4%

5.4%

1519

44.2%

55.2%

0.6%

162

150

-60

32%

22%

-11.8

-3.1%

15

 

FL

2806

2831

44.2%

54.2%

1.5%

3728

42.3%

57.3%

0.4%

323

602

-28

26%

39%

279.5

5.1%

81

HI

336

365

56.3%

37.8%

5.9%

425

54.4%

45.6%

0.0%

26

56

-22

13%

41%

30.2

9.7%

2

ID

315

158

28.1%

68.8%

3.0%

189

29.2%

70.8%

0.0%

11

25

-5

24%

23%

14.3

0.9%

0

IL

3452

1452

45.4%

52.4%

2.1%

1606

45.2%

54.8%

0.0%

67

118

-31

10%

15%

51.3

2.5%

6

IA

1811

1144

49.8%

47.9%

2.3%

1308

50.1%

49.5%

0.4%

86

99

-21

15%

18%

12.3

1.2%

5

 

KS

2299

606

38.6%

57.6%

3.8%

655

37.5%

61.7%

0.9%

12

55

-17

5%

16%

43.0

5.1%

1

MI

2317

1735

48.0%

49.7%

2.3%

2008

47.8%

51.7%

0.5%

128

175

-29

15%

20%

46.6

2.1%

3

MN

2983

1929

48.7%

46.0%

5.3%

2250

51.6%

47.7%

0.7%

223

187

-88

24%

21%

-35.7

-1.2%

6

MS

1773

811

40.7%

58.5%

0.8%

953

39.9%

59.8%

0.3%

51

96

-4

15%

20%

45.1

2.1%

11

MO

634

372

41.0%

57.6%

1.4%

456

38.6%

61.4%

0.0%

20

66

-5

13%

31%

46.1

6.2%

0

 

MT

629

325

36.2%

57.4%

6.5%

361

41.0%

57.6%

1.4%

30

21

-16

26%

11%

-9.0

-4.6%

0

NE

2227

8

28.5%

69.4%

2.0%

9

24.8%

74.5%

0.7%

0

1

0

-1%

22%

1.3

8.7%

0

NM

202

62

37.0%

61.1%

1.9%

72

34.6%

64.9%

0.5%

2

9

-1

8%

23%

6.8

6.2%

0

NC

1159

1205

45.7%

54.3%

0.0%

1458

45.4%

54.6%

0.0%

111

141

0

20%

22%

30.0

0.6%

8

ND

633

273

34.3%

62.3%

3.4%

302

35.7%

63.1%

1.2%

14

20

-6

15%

12%

6.3

-0.6%

0

 

OH

1652

553

43.8%

53.9%

2.3%

658

44.7%

55.3%

0.0%

52

65

-13

21%

22%

13.7

0.5%

31

OK

2202

1219

38.9%

61.1%

0.0%

1464

34.4%

65.6%

0.0%

30

215

0

6%

29%

185.6

9.0%

4

OR

404

273

46.2%

49.9%

3.9%

315

49.3%

50.7%

0.0%

29

24

-11

23%

17%

-5.6

-2.3%

0

PA

1257

562

37.6%

60.3%

2.1%

646

36.8%

63.2%

0.0%

27

69

-12

13%

20%

42.8

3.7%

1

SC

366

183

49.1%

49.9%

1.0%

214

50.1%

49.6%

0.3%

17

15

-1

19%

16%

-2.3

-1.2%

2

 

TN

291

205

46.4%

53.4%

0.3%

239

42.5%

57.1%

0.4%

6

27

0

7%

25%

20.8

7.7%

1

TX

4175

2948

35.8%

62.8%

1.5%

3435

34.1%

65.9%

0.0%

119

413

-44

11%

22%

294.0

4.7%

6

VA

185

226

39.3%

58.7%

2.0%

286

40.3%

59.7%

0.0%

27

39

-4

30%

29%

11.9

0.0%

0

WA

4834

1433

53.5%

42.4%

4.2%

1756

56.0%

43.2%

0.8%

217

152

-46

28%

25%

-64.7

-1.6%

1

WV

912

261

44.1%

54.1%

1.8%

305

41.6%

57.8%

0.6%

12

35

-3

10%

25%

23.4

6.2%

2

 

WI

142

65

47.0%

49.5%

3.5%

75

48.1%

51.2%

0.6%

5

6

-2

17%

19%

0.7

0.7%

0

WY

313

155

30.2%

67.7%

2.1%

177

31.6%

67.2%

1.2%

9

14

-1

20%

13%

4.7

-2.0%

1

MA

 

 

 

 

 

2728

62.8%

37.2%

0.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NH

 

 

 

 

 

534

50.3%

49.0%

0.6%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

VT

 

 

 

 

 

5

54.7%

44.4%

1.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DC

 

201

85.7%

9.0%

5.3%

226

89.9%

9.4%

0.7%

31

3

-9

18%

18%

-27.9

-3.8%

 

AK

 

275

28.7%

60.8%

10.4%

242

35.6%

62.8%

1.6%

7

-16

-25

8.9%

-9.3%

-22.6

-4.9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL

66,451

33,078

46.3%

50.9%

2.8%

41,411

47.1%

52.6%

0.3%

2,218

3,669

-825

14.5%

21.8%

1,450

0.9%

303

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LEVER

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2000

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

Change

 from 2000

(000)

 

% Change

from 2000

 

 Bush Net Increase

 

 

State

Prct

Total

GORE

BUSH

NADER

Total

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

Margin

Margin

Incid

AR

180

83

47.9%

48.8%

3.3%

96

47.3%

51.9%

0.8%

6

9

-2

14%

23%

3.7

3.7%

1

CT

809

1448

55.8%

39.9%

4.3%

1544

54.8%

44.4%

0.8%

38

107

-49

5%

18%

68.4

5.4%

0

KY

70

24

30.9%

68.5%

0.6%

28

36.9%

62.7%

0.4%

3

1

0

39%

7%

-1.8

-11.8%

0

LA

2348

948

40.9%

58.0%

1.1%

1047

37.4%

62.3%

0.3%

4

102

-7

1%

19%

97.8

7.7%

0

MI

614

446

48.7%

49.4%

1.9%

516

47.7%

51.7%

0.5%

29

47

-6

13%

21%

18.0

3.4%

1

 

NJ

1558

786

60.8%

36.2%

2.9%

873

57.2%

42.3%

0.5%

22

84

-19

5%

30%

62.8

9.7%

17

NY

15003

6031

60.2%

35.0%

4.8%

6628

58.5%

40.0%

1.5%

247

540

-191

7%

26%

292.5

6.7%

175

NC

49

39

49.7%

50.3%

0.0%

50

47.5%

52.5%

0.0%

5

7

0

23%

35%

2.3

4.4%

0

PA

4203

2373

50.0%

47.8%

2.2%

2747

49.9%

50.1%

0.0%

183

244

-53

15%

21%

60.6

2.5%

49

TN

206

95

47.0%

52.7%

0.3%

110

40.6%

59.1%

0.3%

0

15

0

0%

30%

15.0

12.8%

0

 

TX

131

124

54.0%

45.1%

0.9%

144

49.8%

50.2%

0.0%

5

16

-1

7%

29%

11.6

9.3%

0

VA

1387

1528

45.7%

52.4%

1.9%

1801

45.2%

54.8%

0.0%

118

187

-30

17%

23%

69.1

2.8%

0

WV

118

44

52.5%

46.2%

1.3%

47

48.9%

50.6%

0.5%

0

3

0

0%

17%

3.5

7.9%

 

WY

22

8

18.1%

80.1%

1.8%

8

19.7%

79.5%

0.9%

0

0

0

17%

7%

0.2

-2.2%

0

MA

 

 

 

 

 

24.4

53.8%

46.2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL

26,698

13,977

54.4%

42.1%

3.5%

15,663

52.9%

46.3%

0.8%

658

1,363

-358

8.6%

23.1%

706

5.8%

243

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PUNCH

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2000

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

Change

from 2000

 

 

% Change

from 2000

 

 Bush Net Increase

 

 

State

Prct

Total

GORE

BUSH

NADER

Total

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

Margin

Margin

Incid

AR

238

78

43.3%

54.0%

2.7%

91

40.3%

59.1%

0.7%

3

12

-2

9%

28%

8.8

8.1%

0

CA

1278

443

46.6%

49.3%

4.1%

435

47.8%

52.2%

0.0%

1

8

-18

1%

4%

6.8

1.6%

0

CO

22

14

28.9%

66.4%

4.7%

16

29.7%

69.7%

0.6%

1

2

-1

17%

19%

1.1

2.5%

0

ID

477

292

29.1%

66.8%

4.1%

352

32.3%

67.7%

0.0%

29

44

-12

34%

22%

14.7

-2.3%

0

IL

6764

2599

62.4%

35.3%

2.3%

2813

63.2%

36.8%

0.0%

157

117

-60

10%

13%

-39.4

0.7%

85

 

IN

766

314

42.9%

57.1%

0.0%

345

39.4%

60.6%

0.0%

2

30

0

1%

17%

28.1

6.8%

0

MI

1214

1013

46.5%

51.6%

2.0%

1149

47.1%

52.4%

0.5%

71

80

-14

15%

15%

9.0

0.2%

11

MS

204

79

36.2%

62.9%

0.9%

91

33.3%

66.4%

0.3%

2

11

0

7%

23%

9.3

6.5%

0

MO

1627

829

46.9%

51.5%

1.6%

960

44.7%

55.3%

0.0%

44

104

-13

11%

24%

60.3

6.0%

3

MT

93

48

27.2%

67.4%

5.4%

54

31.6%

67.1%

1.3%

4

4

-2

32%

13%

0.1

-4.8%

2

 

NC

201

225

41.0%

59.0%

0.0%

265

40.9%

59.1%

0.0%

16

24

0

17%

18%

7.7

0.2%

9

OH

8897

3281

46.8%

50.7%

2.6%

3939

48.6%

51.4%

0.0%

378

364

-84

25%

22%

-14.8

-1.0%

101

PA

1030

573

43.3%

54.5%

2.2%

686

43.9%

56.1%

0.0%

53

72

-12

21%

23%

19.5

1.0%

1

TN

352

179

48.3%

51.4%

0.3%

239

42.3%

57.4%

0.3%

15

45

0

17%

49%

30.4

11.9%

0

TX

414

357

35.1%

63.7%

1.2%

400

33.0%

67.0%

0.0%

7

40

-4

5%

18%

33.6

5.3%

1

 

UT

20

7

44.6%

50.9%

4.4%

8

40.6%

58.4%

1.0%

0

1

0

3%

29%

1.0

11.5%

0

VA

155

224

39.0%

59.4%

1.6%

257

41.6%

58.4%

0.0%

20

17

-4

23%

13%

-2.5

-3.7%

0

WA

1622

497

43.5%

52.3%

4.2%

627

46.3%

52.8%

0.9%

74

71

-15

34%

27%

-3.3

-2.3%

0

WV

618

228

47.1%

51.3%

1.6%

275

44.7%

54.8%

0.5%

16

34

-2

15%

29%

18.0

5.8%

0

WY

91

27

18.8%

79.1%

2.0%

31

19.7%

79.4%

0.9%

1

3

0

20%

15%

2.3

-0.6%

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL

26,083

11,306

48.6%

49.1%

2.3%

13,037

49.0%

50.9%

0.1%

890

1,084

-243

16.2%

19.5%

194

1.4%

213

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DRE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2000

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

Change

from 2000

 

 

% Change

from 2000

 

 Bush Net Increase

 

 

State

Prct

Total

GORE

BUSH

NADER

Total

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

Margin

Margin

Incid

AL

97

83

29.0%

69.6%

1.5%

100

25.3%

74.3%

0.5%

1

16

-1

4%

28%

15.0

8.4%

1

AR

152

46

45.0%

51.9%

3.1%

50

44.1%

55.4%

0.5%

1

4

-1

7%

16%

2.5

4.4%

0

CA

6818

2749

50.9%

45.8%

3.4%

2671

50.7%

49.3%

0.0%

-45

59

-92

-3%

5%

104.3

3.8%

44

CO

939

427

52.4%

42.5%

5.1%

475

57.2%

42.2%

0.6%

48

19

-19

22%

10%

-29.5

-5.2%

26

DE

400

326

55.4%

42.0%

2.5%

374

53.5%

45.9%

0.6%

19

34

-6

11%

25%

15.2

5.8%

0

 

FL

3078

3078

53.9%

44.7%

1.4%

3835

52.1%

47.4%

0.5%

342

443

-27

21%

32%

101.3

4.5%

231

GA

2908

2562

43.3%

55.2%

1.4%

3235

41.6%

58.4%

0.0%

235

475

-36

21%

34%

239.5

4.9%

48

IN

3065

1233

40.6%

59.4%

0.0%

1410

37.7%

62.3%

0.0%

30

147

0

6%

20%

116.7

5.9%

4

IA

292

143

46.7%

51.3%

2.0%

161

46.6%

53.0%

0.4%

8

12

-2

12%

16%

3.5

1.6%

0

KS

703

392

37.4%

59.7%

2.9%

444

36.9%

62.5%

0.6%

17

43

-9

12%

18%

26.1

3.3%

1

 

KY

2798

1206

39.8%

58.7%

1.4%

1426

37.3%

62.2%

0.5%

52

179

-10

11%

25%

126.7

6.0%

2

LA

1550

792

51.1%

47.7%

1.3%

881

48.5%

51.1%

0.4%

23

72

-7

6%

19%

49.4

5.9%

136

MD

1666

1915

57.1%

40.2%

2.7%

2186

56.0%

43.5%

0.5%

130

181

-43

12%

23%

51.1

4.4%

6

MI

1632

805

66.3%

32.1%

1.6%

941

67.1%

32.4%

0.4%

98

47

-8

18%

18%

-51.0

-0.5%

59

NV

1208

585

47.9%

51.6%

0.6%

813

48.4%

51.0%

0.6%

114

113

1

41%

38%

-0.2

-1.1%

27

 

NJ

4487

2243

55.0%

42.0%

3.0%

2485

51.6%

47.9%

0.6%

47

248

-54

4%

26%

201.0

9.4%

26

NM

1284

532

49.6%

46.7%

3.8%

670

50.7%

48.7%

0.5%

76

78

-16

29%

32%

1.9

0.9%

93

NY

217

105

46.1%

49.1%

4.8%

117

46.1%

52.1%

1.8%

5

9

-3

11%

17%

3.8

2.9%

0

NC

1203

1282

42.1%

57.9%

0.0%

1499

43.0%

57.0%

0.0%

104

113

0

19%

15%

9.4

-1.7%

16

OH

1615

692

49.1%

48.2%

2.6%

859

52.6%

47.4%

0.0%

112

73

-18

33%

22%

-38.9

-4.4%

116

 

PA

2720

1240

63.6%

34.5%

1.9%

1467

64.3%

35.7%

0.0%

156

95

-24

20%

22%

-60.6

0.4%

246

SC

1623

1221

40.0%

58.4%

1.6%

1366

39.8%

59.9%

0.4%

55

104

-14

11%

15%

49.5

1.7%

23

TN

1591

1565

48.2%

51.6%

0.2%

1864

42.8%

56.8%

0.4%

44

251

4

6%

31%

206.3

10.5%

4

TX

2953

2604

41.8%

55.1%

3.2%

2974

45.1%

54.9%

0.0%

253

200

-83

23%

14%

-53.0

-3.4%

54

VA

493

701

47.2%

49.9%

3.0%

744

50.8%

49.2%

0.0%

47

16

-21

14%

5%

-30.8

-4.3%

1

 

WA

901

291

49.2%

47.6%

3.3%

354

50.5%

48.8%

0.7%

36

34

-7

25%

25%

-1.6

-0.2%

7

WV

145

53

49.7%

48.5%

1.8%

62

46.6%

52.7%

0.7%

3

7

-1

10%

28%

4.5

7.3%

0

WY

13

5

20.6%

76.5%

2.9%

5

18.3%

80.8%

0.9%

0

1

0

-4%

14%

0.6

6.6%

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL

46,551

28,875

49.1%

48.9%

2.0%

33,467

48.3%

51.4%

0.3%

2,012

3,074

-495

14.2%

21.8%

1,062

3.2%

1,171

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

OTHER

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2000

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

Change

from 2000

 

 

% Change

 from 2000

 

 Bush Net Increase

 

 

State

Precincts

Total

GORE

BUSH

NADER

Total

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

Margin

Margin

Incid

IL

1340

679

46.8%

51.2%

2.0%

789

46.3%

53.7%

0.0%

47

76

-14

15%

22%

28.6

3.0%

4

IN

1652

584

44.5%

55.5%

0.0%

667

43.4%

56.6%

0.0%

29

54

0

11%

17%

24.7

2.3%

4

MS

159

70

48.8%

50.7%

0.5%

73

46.9%

52.9%

0.2%

0

3

0

1%

9%

3.0

4.0%

0

MO

1331

975

46.8%

51.4%

1.7%

1109

46.9%

53.1%

0.0%

64

88

-17

14%

17%

23.6

1.6%

2

NE

1737

638

33.4%

63.0%

3.6%

751

32.9%

66.4%

0.7%

36

112

-17

17%

28%

76.4

3.9%

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

21.3%

0

NC

91

91

39.8%

60.2%

0.0%

115

37.7%

62.3%

0.0%

7

17

0

19%

31%

9.9

4.4%

0

OR

1791

1236

48.0%

46.6%

5.4%

1399

52.6%

47.4%

0.0%

142

87

-67

24%

15%

-55.3

-3.8%

0

SD

718

285

38.7%

61.3%

0.0%

356

38.6%

60.2%

1.1%

27

40

4

25%

23%

12.8

-0.9%

0

UT

1771

760

26.1%

66.8%

7.1%

842

26.6%

72.1%

1.3%

25

99

-43

13%

20%

73.8

4.8%

1

VA

25

26

31.7%

66.9%

1.5%

3

41.5%

58.5%

0.0%

-7

-16

0

-87%

-91%

-8.6

-18.1%

0

WI

3356

2487

48.3%

48.0%

3.6%

2882

50.0%

49.5%

0.5%

238

232

-75

20%

19%

-6.5

-0.2%

25

 

ME

 

 

 

 

 

711

54.0%

44.9%

1.1%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 RI

 

 

 

 

 

413

59.9%

39.1%

1.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 VT

 

 

 

 

 

278

59.8%

38.8%

1.5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 MA

 

 

 

 

 

15

62.7%

37.3%

0.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL

14,304

7,963

43.92%

52.70%

3.38%

10,550

46.5%

53.0%

0.5%

601

801

-232

17.2%

19.1%

200

1.1%

36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 2

Summary: Election Day 2004 Recorded Votes by Voting Method

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Voting

2004

 

 

 

Share

 

 

Vote Change

 

Pct Chg vs 2000

        Bush Net Increase

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Method

Precints

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

KERRY

BUSH

Margin

Margin%

Incid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

184,824

56,099

59,505

404

48.36%

51.29%

0.35%

9,363

12,100

-2,171

20.0%

25.5%

2,737

2.2%

1,966

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Paper

4,737

828

1,043

8

44.07%

55.52%

0.42%

104

156

-39

15.9%

19.0%

52

0.6%

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Optical

66,451

19,525

21,776

111

47.15%

52.58%

0.27%

2,218

3,669

-825

14.5%

21.8%

1,450

0.9%

303

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Lever

26,698

8,279

7,259

125

52.86%

46.34%

0.80%

658

1,363

-358

8.6%

23.1%

706

5.8%

243

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Punch

26,083

6,384

6,638

15

48.97%

50.92%

0.12%

890

1,084

-243

16.2%

19.5%

194

1.4%

213

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DRE

46,551

16,178

17,198

91

48.34%

51.39%

0.27%

2,012

3,074

-495

14.2%

21.8%

1,062

3.2%

1,171

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other

14,304

4,905

5,592

53

46.49%

53.00%

0.50%

601

801

-232

17.2%

19.1%

200

-2.3%

36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 3

 

2004 Unadjusted Exit Poll by Voting Method

(Election Day recorded vote)

 

Voting

2004

WPE Adj

Share

WPE Adj

Vote

 

 

Method

WPE

Kerry

Bush

Kerry

Bush

Nader

Total

Total

6.6%

51.7%

48.0%

59,937

55,668

404

116,008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Paper

2.2%

45.2%

54.4%

849

1,023

8

1,879

Optical

6.1%

50.2%

49.5%

20,788

20,512

111

41,411

Lever

10.6%

58.2%

41.0%

9,109

6,429

125

15,663

Punch

6.6%

52.3%

47.6%

6,814

6,208

15

13,037

DRE

7.1%

51.9%

47.8%

17,366

16,009

91

33,467

Other

2.0%

47.5%

52.0%

5,011

5,486

53

10,550

 

 

Table 4

 

True Vote Calculation

(adjustments to Election  Day recorded vote)

 

 

 

 Vote