2004 Pre-election State Polling Trend

 

Richard Charnin (TruthIsAll)

 

From: Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes, and the National Exit Poll (pg. 121)

 

Aggregate State Pre-election Polls

 

                                 7-Sep                                     7-Oct                                      1-Nov Final     

                                Kerry      Bush                       Kerry      Bush                       Kerry      Bush

Before UVA:

Unwtd Avg               43.9         47.6                         46.8         46.9                         45.7         47.6 

Wtd Avg                  45.5         46.4                         48.0         46.7                         47.9         46.9        

2-party                    51.5         48.5                         52.0         48.0                         51.8         48.2

Total                       50.8         48.2                         51.2         47.8                         51.1         47.9

  

Poll                          Unweighted          Weighted               2-party                    Projected        

Date                        Kerry      Bush       Kerry      Bush       Kerry      Bush       Kerry      Bush

 

2-Jul                         43.5         46.5         45.4         44.6         50.5         49.5         52.2         46.8

10-Ju                        43.8         46.7         45.8         44.9         50.5         49.5         52.0         47.0

17-Jul                       44.5         46.5         46.5         44.3         51.2         48.8         52.6         46.4

24-Jul                       44.2         46.1         45.6         43.6         51.1         48.9         52.9         46.1

 2-Aug                      44.4         46.5         46.3         44.6         50.9         49.1         52.3         46.7

10-Aug                     44.3         46.4         46.4         44.3         51.2         48.8         52.7         46.3

18-Aug                     44.1         46.4         46.2         44.3         51.0         49.0         52.6         46.4

26-Aug                     45.2         47.5         47.2         46.6         50.3         49.7         51.1         47.9

 

7-Sep                       43.9         47.6         45.5         46.5         49.5         50.5         50.8         48.2

14-Sep                     43.7         48.4         45.6         47.3         49.1         50.9         50.2         48.8

22-Sep                     45.0         48.7         47.3         47.1         50.1         49.9         50.8         48.2

29-Sep                     44.1         47.6         46.0         45.5         50.3         49.7         51.7         47.3

 7-Oct                      45.7         47.6         47.9         46.7         50.7         49.3         51.2         47.8

14-Oct                     45.4         47.9         47.3         46.7         50.3         49.7         51.0         48.0

21-Oct                     46.0         48.1         48.4         46.4         51.1         48.9         51.5          47.5

28-Oct                     45.4         47.4         47.1         45.9         50.7         49.3         51.6         47.4

 

1-Nov                      45.5         48.3         47.9         46.9        50.5        49.5         51.1         47.9

 


State Polling Trend

 

             7-Sep                      7-Oct                      1-Nov      

Final State Polls                                   Kerry      Bush       Kerry      Bush       Kerry Bush

Weighted Average                                45.5         46.4         48.0        46.7        47.9         46.9          

Projected                                                50.8         48.2         51.2        47.8        51.1         47.9

 

AL           Oct 27  Survey USA                 34            54            40            56            39            57

AK           Sep 11 ARG                             33            56            39            55            30            57

AZ           Oct 26  Rasmussen                   42            45            47            50            45            50

AR           Oct 29 Mason-Dixon               47            48            47            47            48            48

CA           Oct 27  Field Poll                     50            42            51            43            49            42

CO           Oct 30 Zogby                           47            47            49            48            47            48

CT           Oct 28  Research 2000             45            38            47            38            52            42

DE           Sep 25  W Chester U                55            42            45            38            45            38

DC           Sep 13 ARG                             86            9             78            11            78            11

FL            Oct 30  Zogby                          44            48            50            48            50            47

GA           Oct 29   Zogby                         38            55            42            53            42            52

HI            Oct 20   SMS Res                     48            41            51            41            45            45

ID            Sep 10   ARG                           25            55            30           59            30            59

IL            Oct 29   Survey USA                52            38             55           38            54            42

IN            Oct 29   Survey USA                40            52             40           53            39            58

IA            Oct 30   Zogby                         47            47            51           44            50            44

KS            Oct 27   Survey USA                36            56            35           57            37            60

KY           Oct 20   Bluegrass                    39            56            38           53            39            56

LA           Oct 22   SE LA U                     36            52            42           50            40            48

ME          Oct 21   Zogby                         49            44             42           39            50            39

MD          Oct 29   Survey USA                53             42           48            45            54            43

MA          Oct  5    Merrimack                 56             30           64            27            64            27

MI           Oct 30   Zogby                         48            44           52            42            52            45

MN          Oct 30   Zogby                         46             46           53            44            52            44

MS           Sep 17   ARG                           30             61           42            51            42            51

MO          Oct 29   Mason-Dixon             45             49           49            50            44            49

MT          Oct 20   Mason-Dixon             33            53           36            54            36            57

NE           Oct 20   RKM Research           33            62           30            61            32            61

NV           Oct 29   Survey USA                48            46           48            47            49            49

NH           Oct 30  ARG                            51            43           51            44            47            47

NJ            Oct 29   Survey USA                50            46            50            45            50            42

NM          Oct 30   ARG                           42            45            55            43            49            49

NY           Oct 28   Survey USA                56            37            53            41            57            39

NC           Oct 26   Mason-Dixon             45            51            47            50            47            50

ND           Oct 19   Minn St U                  33            61            33            62            35            55

OH           Oct 30   Zogby                         42            48            48            47            50            47

OK           Oct 24   Wilson Res                 38            57            29            52            28            61

OR           Oct 29   Mason-Dixon             54            43            55            44            50            44

PA           Oct 30   Zogby                         46            47            52            46            50            45

RI            Oct 27  Survey USA                 49            25            55            37            56            36

SC            Oct 24   Survey USA                42            53            37            55            42            55

SD            Oct 24   McLaughlin                40            54            40            52            42            52

TN           Oct 21   Mason-Dixon             50            48            48            50            48            50

TX           Oct 28   Survey USA                33            57            37            58            37            59

UT           Oct 28   Dan Jones                   22            67            27            64            24            69

VT           Oct 12   Research2k                 51            36            50            40            53            40

VA           Oct 29   Survey USA                45            49            47            50            47            51

WA          Oct 27   Strat Vision                48            43            54            44            52            44

WV          Oct 29   Mason-Dixon             42            49            44            50            46            49

WI           Oct 30   Zogby                         49            45            51            48            51            44

WY          Sep 11   ARG                           28            68            29            65            29            65