Still the Same Old Story: 2010 Generic and Senate RV and LV Polls

Still the Same Old Story: 2010 Generic and Senate RV and LV Polls

Aug 30, 2010

It happens in every election. The Democrats do much better in registered voter polls than the likely voter subset of the RV. It happened in 2004, when Kerry’ RV share was 2% higher than his corresponding LV poll share. The unadjusted state exit poll were in agreement with the RVs. Kerry won by 52-47%

It happened in 2006 when the Democrats enjoyed a growing 15% margin a mix of RV/LV Generic polls. But four LV polls showed up right before Election Day with the margin cut in half. The unadjusted 2006 National Exit Poll had the Democrats winning by 56-41%%, matching the pre-election trend. But the Final NEP was forced to match the recorded vote and those final LV polls: 52-46%

It happened in 2008 when Obama had a 13% lead in Gallup’s RV tracking poll and Zogby tracking polls. But Rasmussen and a few other LV polls had Obama’s margin at 7% matching his 53-45% recorded vote share margin. We only have the Final National Exit Poll which was forced to match the recorded share by setting the Bush/Kerry/Other returning voter mix to an impossible 46/37/4%. Impossible because that means there were 12 million more returning Bush than Kerry voters and 5 million returning third-party voters. But there were only 1.2 million recorded third-party votes in 2004. And who still believes that Bush beat Kerry? More likely there were 10 million more returning Kerry voters than Bush voters. The True Vote Model indicates that Kerry won by 67-57 million votes.

And it’s happening all over again in 2010. Things look bad for the Democrats, but not as bad as the Rasmussen LV polls indicate. They don’t even pretend to hide it anymore: Rasmussen is a GOP pollster. He polls everywhere – and all arel LVs. Just look at the following 2010 Generic and Senate polling from RCP.

29 Generic Polls from July 1:

N Type Rep Dem Margin

10 LV 46.2 38.3 7.9

19 RV 45.9 43.1 2.8 close

29 All 45.9 41.5 4.8

117 Generic polls in 2010

46 LV 45.0 38.2 6.8

71 RV 45.0 43.9 1.1 close

117 All 44.8 41.2 2.7

Senate

104 LV 51.1 35.4 15.7

24 RV 39.8 44.3 -4.5 Dem lead

128 All 47.9 38.3 9.6

66 Ras 52.4 35.8 16.6 (21.1 difference from RV margin)

							Projected 2-party
							50.0%	50.0%
	Poll average		Count	Rep	Dem	Spread	Rep	Dem
	last 2 months	LV	10	46.20	38.30	7.9	54.0	46.1
		RV	19	45.89	43.05	2.8	51.4	48.6
		Total	29	45.87	41.47	4.4	52.2	47.8

	2010 Total	LV	46	44.96	38.24	6.7	53.4	46.6
Polling Data		RV	71	44.96	43.82	1.1	50.6	49.4
		Total	117	44.83	41.67	3.2	51.6	48.4

							Projected 2-pty share
2010 Poll	Date	Sample	Type	Rep	Dem	Spread	Rep	Dem

Reuters/Ipsos	8/19 - 8/22	950	RV	46	45	1	50.5	49.5
Gallup	8/16 - 8/22	1600	RV	47	44	3	51.5	48.5
Rasmussen Reports	8/16 - 8/22	3500	LV	47	38	9	54.5	45.5
Time	8/16 - 8/17	827	LV	43	37	6	53.0	47.0
Associated Press/GfK	8/11 - 8/16	890	RV	49	45	4	52.0	48.0
Gallup	8/9 - 8/15	1600	RV	50	43	7	53.5	46.5
Rasmussen Reports	8/9 - 8/15	3500	LV	48	36	12	56.0	44.0
FOX News	8/10 - 8/11	900	RV	44	37	7	53.5	46.5
CNN/Opinion Research	8/6 - 8/10	935	RV	48	45	3	51.5	48.5
PPP (D)	8/6 - 8/9	606	RV	45	42	3	51.5	48.5
Rasmussen Reports	8/2 - 8/8	3500	LV	46	39	7	53.5	46.5
Gallup	8/2 - 8/8	1600	RV	49	43	6	53.0	47.0
Pew Research	7/21 - 8/5	2431	RV	44	45	(1)	49.5	50.5
Gallup	7/26 - 8/1	1562	RV	48	43	5	52.5	47.5
Rasmussen Reports	7/26 - 8/1	3500	LV	46	38	8	54.0	46.0
FOX News	7/27 - 7/28	900	RV	47	36	11	55.5	44.5
Reuters/Ipsos	7/22 - 7/25	848	RV	46	44	2	51.0	49.0
Gallup	7/19 - 7/25	1633	RV	44	48	(4)	48.0	52.0
Rasmussen Reports	7/19 - 7/25	3500	LV	46	36	10	55.0	45.0
CNN/Opinion Research	7/16 - 7/21	945	RV	49	44	5	52.5	47.5
Quinnipiac	7/13 - 7/19	2181	RV	43	38	5	52.5	47.5
Gallup	7/12 - 7/18	1535	RV	43	49	(6)	47.0	53.0
Rasmussen Reports	7/12 - 7/18	3500	LV	45	36	9	54.5	45.5
FOX News	7/13 - 7/14	900	RV	41	37	4	52.0	48.0
Time	7/12 - 7/13	1003	A	42	43	(1)	49.5	50.5
Bloomberg	7/9 - 7/12	875	LV	48	40	8	54.0	46.0
PPP (D)	7/9 - 7/12	667	RV	43	43	0	50.0	50.0
ABC News/Wash Post	7/7 - 7/11	na	LV	49	45	4	52.0	48.0
Gallup	7/5 - 7/11	1600	RV	46	47	(1)	49.5	50.5
Rasmussen Reports	7/5 - 7/11	3500	LV	44	38	6	53.0	47.0
Gallup	6/28 - 7/3	1600	RV	46	44	2	51.0	49.0
FOX News	6/29 - 6/30	900	RV	42	40	2	51.0	49.0
Rasmussen Reports	6/21 - 6/27	3500	LV	44	38	6	53.0	47.0
Democracy Corps (D)	6/19 - 6/22	867	LV	48	42	6	53.0	47.0
Gallup	6/21 - 6/27	1600	RV	45	46	(1)	49.5	50.5
Pew Research	6/16 - 6/20	1496	RV	45	45	0	50.0	50.0
Gallup	6/14 - 6/20	1600	RV	46	46	0	50.0	50.0
Rasmussen Reports	6/14 - 6/20	3500	LV	44	36	8	54.0	46.0
USA Today/Gallup	6/11 - 6/13	1014 A	A	43	48	(5)	47.5	52.5
Ipsos/McClatchy	6/10 - 6/13	846	RV	43	42	1	50.5	49.5
Gallup	6/7 - 6/13	1600	RV	49	44	5	52.5	47.5
Rasmussen Reports	6/7 - 6/13	3500	LV	46	36	10	55.0	45.0
FOX News	6/8 - 6/9	900	RV	38	41	(3)	48.5	51.5
PPP (D)	6/4 - 6/7	650	RV	41	43	(2)	49.0	51.0
ABC News/Wash Post	6/3 - 6/6	na	RV	44	47	(3)	48.5	51.5
Gallup	5/31 - 6/6	1600	RV	46	46	0	50.0	50.0
Rasmussen Reports	5/31 - 6/6	3500	LV	44	35	9	54.5	45.5
Gallup	5/24 - 5/30	1600	RV	49	43	6	53.0	47.0
Rasmussen Reports	5/24 - 5/30	3500	LV	44	37	7	53.5	46.5
Quinnipiac	5/19 - 5/24	1914	RV	36	42	(6)	47.0	53.0
Rasmussen Reports	5/17 - 5/23	3500	LV	44	36	8	54.0	46.0
Gallup	5/17 - 5/23	1600	RV	46	47	(1)	49.5	50.5
FOX News	5/18 - 5/19	900	RV	41	41	0	50.0	50.0
Democracy Corps (D)	5/15 - 5/18	1000	LV	46	43	3	51.5	48.5
Gallup	5/10 - 5/16	1600	RV	46	45	1	50.5	49.5
Rasmussen Reports	5/10 - 5/16	3500	LV	43	38	5	52.5	47.5
Ipsos-McClatchy	5/6 - 5/9	905	RV	42	45	(3)	48.5	51.5
Gallup	5/3 - 5/8	1600	RV	46	46	0	50.0	50.0
Rasmussen Reports	5/3 - 5/8	3500	LV	44	38	6	53.0	47.0
FOX News	5/4 - 5/5	900	RV	42	40	2	51.0	49.0
Gallup	4/26 - 5/2	1600	RV	45	45	0	50.0	50.0
Rasmussen Reports	4/26 - 5/2	3500	LV	44	37	7	53.5	46.5
National Journal/FD	4/22 - 4/26	1200	A	35	39	(4)	48.0	52.0
ABC News/Wash Post	4/22 - 4/25	na	RV	43	48	(5)	47.5	52.5
Gallup	4/19 - 4/25	1600	RV	45	45	0	50.0	50.0
Rasmussen Reports	4/19 - 4/25	3500	LV	44	38	6	53.0	47.0
FOX News	4/20 - 4/21	900	RV	42	38	4	52.0	48.0
Democracy Corps (D)	4/17 - 4/20	872	LV	45	43	2	51.0	49.0
Gallup	4/12 - 4/18	1600	RV	46	43	3	51.5	48.5
Rasmussen Reports	4/12 - 4/18	3500	LV	46	36	10	55.0	45.0
PPP (D)	4/9 - 4/11	622	RV	47	42	5	52.5	47.5
CNN/Opinion Research	4/9 - 4/11	907	RV	46	50	(4)	48.0	52.0
Gallup	4/5 - 4/11	1613	RV	48	44	4	52.0	48.0
Rasmussen Reports	4/5 - 4/11	3500	LV	45	36	9	54.5	45.5
FOX News	4/6 - 4/7	900	RV	43	39	4	52.0	48.0
GWU/Battleground	4/5 - 4/8	1000	LV	41	40	1	50.5	49.5
Ipsos-McClatchy	4/1 - 4/5	950	RV	46	45	1	50.5	49.5
Gallup	3/29 - 4/4	1344	RV	46	46	0	50.0	50.0
Rasmussen Reports	3/29 - 4/4	3500	LV	47	38	9	54.5	45.5
USA Today/Gallup	3/26 - 3/28	968	RV	46	45	1	50.5	49.5
CNN/Opinion Research	3/25 - 3/28	935	RV	49	45	4	52.0	48.0
Rasmussen Reports	3/22 - 3/28	3500	LV	46	39	7	53.5	46.5
Gallup	3/22 - 3/28	na	RV	47	44	3	51.5	48.5
Washington Post	3/23 - 3/26	na	RV	44	48	(4)	48.0	52.0
CNN/Opinion Research	3/19 - 3/21	953	RV	48	45	3	51.5	48.5
Quinnipiac	3/16 - 3/21	1907	RV	44	39	5	52.5	47.5
Gallup	3/15 - 3/21	na	RV	45	47	(2)	49.0	51.0
Rasmussen Reports	3/15 - 3/21	3500	LV	43	35	8	54.0	46.0
FOX News	3/16 - 3/17	900	RV	42	38	4	52.0	48.0
Democracy Corps (D)	3/15 - 3/18	850	LV	43	44	(1)	49.5	50.5
PPP (D)	3/12 - 3/14	1403	RV	46	43	3	51.5	48.5
Gallup	3/8 - 3/14	na	RV	44	47	(3)	48.5	51.5
Rasmussen Reports	3/8 - 3/14	3500	LV	45	35	10	55.0	45.0
Gallup	3/1 - 3/7	na	RV	44	47	(3)	48.5	51.5
Rasmussen Reports	3/1 - 3/7	3500	LV	44	37	7	53.5	46.5
Ipsos/McClatchy	2/26 - 2/28	950	RV	43	47	(4)	48.0	52.0
Rasmussen Reports	2/22 - 2/28	3500	LV	44	36	8	54.0	46.0
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	2/24 - 2/25	1000	LV	42	35	7	53.5	46.5
Democracy Corps (D)	2/20 - 2/24	851	LV	49	46	3	51.5	48.5
Rasmussen Reports	2/15 - 2/21	3500	LV	44	35	9	54.5	45.5
Newsweek	2/17 - 2/18	908	RV	43	45	(2)	49.0	51.0
POS (R)	2/17 - 2/18	900	RV	43	42	1	50.5	49.5
CNN/Opinion Research	2/12 - 2/15	954	RV	47	45	2	51.0	49.0
Rasmussen Reports	2/8 - 2/14	3500	LV	45	36	9	54.5	45.5
Pew Research	2/3 - 2/9	1129	RV	42	45	(3)	48.5	51.5
ABC News/Wash Post	2/4 - 2/8	na	RV	48	45	3	51.5	48.5
Rasmussen Reports	2/1 - 2/7	3500	LV	44	36	8	54.0	46.0
Democracy Corps (D)	2/2 - 2/4	805	LV	45	46	(1)	49.5	50.5
Gallup	2/1 - 2/3	942	RV	45	45	0	50.0	50.0
PPP (D)	1/29 - 1/31	584	RV	43	40	3	51.5	48.5
Rasmussen Reports	1/25 - 1/31	3500	LV	45	38	7	53.5	46.5
NPR - POS/GQR	1/20 - 1/23	800	LV	44	39	5	52.5	47.5
Rasmussen Reports	1/18 - 1/24	3500	LV	46	37	9	54.5	45.5
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	1/19 - 1/20	1000	LV	42	37	5	52.5	47.5
PPP (D)	1/18 - 1/19	1151	RV	45	42	3	51.5	48.5
Rasmussen Reports	1/11 - 1/17	3500	LV	45	37	8	54.0	46.0
Democracy Corps (D)	1/7 - 1/11	836	LV	46	45	1	50.5	49.5
CNN/Opinion Research	1/8 - 1/10	955	RV	48	45	3	51.5	48.5
Pew Research	1/6 - 1/10	1214	RV	44	46	(2)	49.0	51.0
Rasmussen Reports	1/4 - 1/10	3500	LV	45	36	9	54.5	45.5

REGISTERED VOTERS
			RV	39.83	44.33	10.83
State	Poll	Date	Sample	Rep	Dem	Spread
AZ	Behavior Research Center	4/12 - 4/25	666 RV	46	24	22
AR	Reuters/Ipsos	7/16 - 7/18	600 RV	54	35	19
CA	PPP (D)	7/23 - 7/25	614 RV	40	49	9
CO	PPP (D)	8/7 - 8/8	1015RV	43	46	-3
CO	Denver Post/SurveyUSA	7/27 - 7/29	950 RV	43	43	0
CT	Quinnipiac	7/28 - 8/2	1299RV	40	50	10
DE	Daily Kos/PPP (D)	8/7 - 8/8	620 RV	48	35	13
FL	Quinnipiac	8/11 - 8/16	1096RV	32	39	-7
FL	St. Petersburg Times	8/6 - 8/10	602 RV	29	33	-4
GA	Insider Advantage	8/18 - 8/18	554 RV	47	35	12
IL	WeAskAmerica	8/4 - 8/4	998 RV	39	33	6
LA	WWL-TV/Clarus Research	8/15 - 8/16	600 RV	48	36	12
MD	PPP (D)	7/10 - 7/12	569 RV	27	59	32
MO	KY3/Missouri State Univ.	8/6 - 8/22	785 RV	49	48	1
NV	PPP (D)	7/16 - 7/18	630 RV	46	48	2
NH	PPP (D)	7/23 - 7/25	900 RV	45	42	3
NY1	Siena	8/9 - 8/16	788 RV	29	54	25
NY1	Marist	5/3 - 5/5	686 RV	30	50	20
NY2	Siena	7/6 - 7/12	760 RV	26	63	37
NY2	Marist	5/3 - 5/5	686 RV	27	66	39
NC	PPP (D)	7/27 - 7/31	624 RV	39	37	2
PA	Quinnipiac	7/6 - 7/11	1367RV	43	43	0
WA	PPP (D)	7/27 - 8/1	1204RV	46	49	3
WA	Elway Poll	6/9 - 6/13	405 RV	40	47	7


LIKELY VOTERS			LV	51.09	35.38	18.72
State	Poll	Date	Sample	Rep	Dem	Spread
AL	Rasmussen Reports	8/19 - 8/19	500 LV	60	28	32
AL	Rasmussen Reports	7/22 - 7/22	500 LV	59	29	30
AL	Rasmussen Reports	6/3 - 6/3	500 LV	58	31	27
AL	Rasmussen Reports	5/25 - 5/25	500 LV	58	31	27
AL	R2000/Daily Kos (D)**	5/17 - 5/19	600 LV	57	33	24
AL	Rasmussen Reports	3/29 - 3/29	500 LV	59	32	27
AZ	Rasmussen Reports	8/25 - 8/25	500 LV	53	31	22
AZ	PPP (D)	4/23 - 4/25	813 LV	49	33	16
AR	Rasmussen Reports	8/18 - 8/18	500 LV	65	27	38
AR	Talk Business Poll	7/17 - 7/17	793 LV	57	32	25
AR	Magellan Strategies (R)	7/12 - 7/12	897 LV	60	29	31
CA	Rasmussen Reports	8/24 - 8/24	750 LV	44	49	5
CA	SurveyUSA	8/9 - 8/11	602 LV	47	42	-5
CA	PPIC	7/6 - 7/20	1321LV	34	39	5
CO	Rasmussen Reports	8/29 - 8/29	750 LV	49	45	4
CO	Reuters/Ipsos	8/20 - 8/22	453 LV	49	40	9
CT	Rasmussen Reports	8/11 - 8/11	500 LV	40	47	7
DE	Rasmussen Reports	8/5 - 8/5	500 LV	49	37	12
DE	Rasmussen Reports	7/14 - 7/14	500 LV	47	36	11
DE	Rasmussen Reports	4/29 - 4/29	500 LV	55	32	23
DE	R2000/Daily Kos (D)**	2/22 - 2/24	600 LV	53	35	18
DE	Rasmussen Reports	2/22 - 2/22	500 LV	53	32	21
DE	Rasmussen Reports	1/25 - 1/25	500 LV	56	27	29
DE	R2000/Daily Kos (D)**	10/12 - 10/14	600 LV	51	39	12
FL	Rasmussen Reports	8/25 - 8/25	750 LV	40	30	10
FL	PPP (D)	8/21 - 8/22	567 LV	40	32	8
FL	Mason-Dixon	8/9 - 8/11	625 LV	38	33	5
GA	Rasmussen Reports	5/20 - 5/20	500 LV	57	30	27
GA	Rasmussen Reports	4/22 - 4/22	500 LV	51	35	16
GA	R2000/Daily Kos (D)**	4/5 - 4/7	600 LV	53	26	27
HI	Rasmussen Reports	6/24 - 6/24	500 LV	20	68	48
ID	Rasmussen Reports	7/15 - 7/15	500 LV	64	27	37
ID	Rasmussen Reports	5/11 - 5/11	500 LV	66	22	44
IL	Rasmussen Reports	8/23 - 8/23	750 LV	45	45	0
IL	PPP (D)	8/14 - 8/15	576 LV	35	37	-2
IN	Rasmussen Reports	8/4 - 8/7	500 LV	50	29	21
IN	Rasmussen Reports	7/7 - 7/8	500 LV	51	30	21
IN	Rasmussen Reports	6/2 - 6/3	500 LV	47	33	14
IN	Rasmussen Reports	5/5 - 5/6	500 LV	51	36	15
IN	Downs Center/SUSA	4/22 - 4/26	1250LV	47	31	16
IN	Rasmussen Reports	4/13 - 4/14	500 LV	54	33	21
IN	Rasmussen Reports	3/17 - 3/18	500 LV	49	34	15
IN	R2000/Daily Kos (D)**	2/22 - 2/24	600 LV	37	36	1
IN	Rasmussen Reports	2/16 - 2/17	500 LV	46	32	14
IA	Rasmussen Reports	8/5 - 8/5	500 LV	55	35	20
IA	KCCI - Des Moines	5/31 - 6/2	600 LV	50	42	8
IA	PPP (D)	5/25 - 5/27	1277LV	57	31	26
KS	SurveyUSA	8/12 - 8/15	588 LV	69	23	46
KS	Rasmussen Reports	8/4 - 8/4	500 LV	61	28	33
KS	Rasmussen Reports	6/30 - 6/30	500 LV	59	23	36
KS	Rasmussen Reports	5/11 - 5/11	500 LV	61	25	36
KY	CN\|2/Braun Research	8/16 - 8/18	801 LV	41	42	-1
KY	Rasmussen Reports	8/17 - 8/17	500 LV	51	41	10
KY	Reuters/Ipsos	8/13 - 8/15	435 LV	45	40	5
KY	SurveyUSA	7/27 - 7/29	568 LV	51	43	8
LA	PPP (D)	8/21 - 8/22	403 LV	51	41	10
LA	Rasmussen Reports	6/24 - 6/24	500 LV	53	35	18
MD	Rasmussen Reports	8/17 - 8/17	750 LV	39	55	16
MD	Rasmussen Reports	7/8 - 7/8	500 LV	33	58	25
MO	Rasmussen Reports	8/23 - 8/23	750 LV	54	41	13
MO	Daily Kos/PPP (D)	8/14 - 8/15	690 LV	45	38	7
MO	Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon	7/19 - 7/21	625 LV	48	42	6
NV	LVRJ/Mason-Dixon	8/23 - 8/25	625 LV	44	45	1
NV	Rasmussen Reports	8/16 - 8/16	750 LV	50	48	-2
NV	Reuters/Ipsos	7/30 - 8/1	462 LV	44	48	4
NH	Rasmussen Reports	8/5 - 8/5	500 LV	51	38	13
NH	WMUR/UNH	7/19 - 7/27	446 LV	45	37	8
NY1	Rasmussen Reports	7/29 - 7/29	500 LV	33	50	17
NY2	Rasmussen Reports	6/16 - 6/16	500 LV	33	54	21
NC	Rasmussen Reports	8/3 - 8/3	500 LV	49	40	9
NC	Civitas (R)	7/19 - 7/21	600 LV	44	37	7
NC	SurveyUSA	7/8 - 7/11	560 LV	46	36	10
ND	Rasmussen Reports	8/10 - 8/11	500 LV	69	25	44
ND	Rasmussen Reports	7/21 - 7/21	500 LV	69	22	47
ND	Rasmussen Reports	6/15 - 6/16	500 LV	73	19	54
ND	Rasmussen Reports	5/18 - 5/19	500 LV	72	23	49
ND	Rasmussen Reports	4/20 - 4/20	500 LV	69	24	45
ND	Rasmussen Reports	3/23 - 3/23	500 LV	68	25	43
OH	Rasmussen Reports	8/16 - 8/16	750 LV	48	39	9
OH	Reuters/Ipsos	8/6 - 8/8	417 LV	43	36	7
OH	PPP (D)	6/26 - 6/27	482 LV	38	40	-2
OK	Rasmussen Reports	8/26 - 8/26	500 LV	67	24	43
OK	Rasmussen Reports	7/28 - 7/28	500 LV	65	31	34
OK	Rasmussen Reports	6/30 - 6/30	500 LV	65	26	39
OR	Rasmussen Reports	8/22 - 8/22	750 LV	56	36	20
OR	SurveyUSA	7/25 - 7/27	567 LV	53	35	18
OR	Rasmussen Reports	7/26 - 7/26	750 LV	51	35	16
OR	Rasmussen Reports	6/17 - 6/17	500 LV	47	37	10
OR	SurveyUSA	6/7 - 6/9	566 LV	51	38	13
OR	Rasmussen Reports	5/24 - 5/24	500 LV	51	38	13
OR	Rasmussen Reports	2/16 - 2/16	500 LV	49	35	14
PA	Franklin & Marshall	8/16 - 8/23	377 LV	40	31	9
PA	Rasmussen Reports	8/16 - 8/16	750 LV	48	40	8
PA	PPP (D)	8/14 - 8/16	585 LV	45	36	9
UT	Rasmussen Reports	8/23 - 8/23	500 LV	54	29	25
UT	Rasmussen Reports	6/23 - 6/23	500 LV	58	28	30
VT	Rasmussen Reports	6/17 - 6/17	500 LV	29	64	35
WA	SurveyUSA	8/18 - 8/19	618 LV	52	45	-7
WA	Rasmussen Reports	8/18 - 8/18	750 LV	46	50	4
WV	Rasmussen Reports	8/29 - 8/29	500 LV	42	48	6
WV	Rasmussen Reports	7/22 - 7/22	500 LV	35	51	16
WI	Rasmussen Reports	8/24 - 8/24	750 LV	47	46	-1
WI	Magellan Strategies (R)	7/12 - 7/12	1145LV	43	45	2
WI	PPP (D)	6/26 - 6/27	638 LV	43	45	2





	`		RAS LV	52.36	35.82	22.52
State	Poll	Date	Sample	Rep	Dem	Spread
AL	Rasmussen Reports	8/19 - 8/19	500 LV	60	28	32
AL	Rasmussen Reports	7/22 - 7/22	500 LV	59	29	30
AL	Rasmussen Reports	6/3 - 6/3	500 LV	58	31	27
AL	Rasmussen Reports	5/25 - 5/25	500 LV	58	31	27
AL	Rasmussen Reports	3/29 - 3/29	500 LV	59	32	27
AZ	Rasmussen Reports	8/25 - 8/25	500 LV	53	31	22
AR	Rasmussen Reports	8/18 - 8/18	500 LV	65	27	38
CA	Rasmussen Reports	8/24 - 8/24	750 LV	44	49	5
CO	Rasmussen Reports	8/29 - 8/29	750 LV	49	45	4
CT	Rasmussen Reports	8/11 - 8/11	500 LV	40	47	7
DE	Rasmussen Reports	8/5 - 8/5	500 LV	49	37	12
DE	Rasmussen Reports	7/14 - 7/14	500 LV	47	36	11
DE	Rasmussen Reports	4/29 - 4/29	500 LV	55	32	23
DE	Rasmussen Reports	2/22 - 2/22	500 LV	53	32	21
DE	Rasmussen Reports	1/25 - 1/25	500 LV	56	27	29
FL	Rasmussen Reports	8/25 - 8/25	750 LV	40	30	10
GA	Rasmussen Reports	5/20 - 5/20	500 LV	57	30	27
GA	Rasmussen Reports	4/22 - 4/22	500 LV	51	35	16
HI	Rasmussen Reports	6/24 - 6/24	500 LV	20	68	48
ID	Rasmussen Reports	7/15 - 7/15	500 LV	64	27	37
ID	Rasmussen Reports	5/11 - 5/11	500 LV	66	22	44
IL	Rasmussen Reports	8/23 - 8/23	750 LV	45	45	0
IN	Rasmussen Reports	8/4 - 8/7	500 LV	50	29	21
IN	Rasmussen Reports	7/7 - 7/8	500 LV	51	30	21
IN	Rasmussen Reports	6/2 - 6/3	500 LV	47	33	14
IN	Rasmussen Reports	5/5 - 5/6	500 LV	51	36	15
IN	Rasmussen Reports	4/13 - 4/14	500 LV	54	33	21
IN	Rasmussen Reports	3/17 - 3/18	500 LV	49	34	15
IN	Rasmussen Reports	2/16 - 2/17	500 LV	46	32	14
IA	Rasmussen Reports	8/5 - 8/5	500 LV	55	35	20
KS	Rasmussen Reports	8/4 - 8/4	500 LV	61	28	33
KS	Rasmussen Reports	6/30 - 6/30	500 LV	59	23	36
KS	Rasmussen Reports	5/11 - 5/11	500 LV	61	25	36
KY	Rasmussen Reports	8/17 - 8/17	500 LV	51	41	10
LA	Rasmussen Reports	6/24 - 6/24	500 LV	53	35	18
MD	Rasmussen Reports	8/17 - 8/17	750 LV	39	55	16
MD	Rasmussen Reports	7/8 - 7/8	500 LV	33	58	25
MO	Rasmussen Reports	8/23 - 8/23	750 LV	54	41	13
NV	Rasmussen Reports	8/16 - 8/16	750 LV	50	48	-2
NH	Rasmussen Reports	8/5 - 8/5	500 LV	51	38	13
NY1	Rasmussen Reports	7/29 - 7/29	500 LV	33	50	17
NY2	Rasmussen Reports	6/16 - 6/16	500 LV	33	54	21
NC	Rasmussen Reports	8/3 - 8/3	500 LV	49	40	9
ND	Rasmussen Reports	8/10 - 8/11	500 LV	69	25	44
ND	Rasmussen Reports	7/21 - 7/21	500 LV	69	22	47
ND	Rasmussen Reports	6/15 - 6/16	500 LV	73	19	54
ND	Rasmussen Reports	5/18 - 5/19	500 LV	72	23	49
ND	Rasmussen Reports	4/20 - 4/20	500 LV	69	24	45
ND	Rasmussen Reports	3/23 - 3/23	500 LV	68	25	43
OH	Rasmussen Reports	8/16 - 8/16	750 LV	48	39	9
OK	Rasmussen Reports	8/26 - 8/26	500 LV	67	24	43
OK	Rasmussen Reports	7/28 - 7/28	500 LV	65	31	34
OK	Rasmussen Reports	6/30 - 6/30	500 LV	65	26	39
OR	Rasmussen Reports	8/22 - 8/22	750 LV	56	36	20
OR	Rasmussen Reports	7/26 - 7/26	750 LV	51	35	16
OR	Rasmussen Reports	6/17 - 6/17	500 LV	47	37	10
OR	Rasmussen Reports	5/24 - 5/24	500 LV	51	38	13
OR	Rasmussen Reports	2/16 - 2/16	500 LV	49	35	14
PA	Rasmussen Reports	8/16 - 8/16	750 LV	48	40	8
UT	Rasmussen Reports	8/23 - 8/23	500 LV	54	29	25
UT	Rasmussen Reports	6/23 - 6/23	500 LV	58	28	30
VT	Rasmussen Reports	6/17 - 6/17	500 LV	29	64	35
WA	Rasmussen Reports	8/18 - 8/18	750 LV	46	50	4
WV	Rasmussen Reports	8/29 - 8/29	500 LV	42	48	6
WV	Rasmussen Reports	7/22 - 7/22	500 LV	35	51	16
WI	Rasmussen Reports	8/24 - 8/24	750 LV	47	46	-1