Florida 2000 and 2004 County Recorded Votes, 2004 State Exit Poll and True Vote Analysis

Richard Charnin (TruthIsAll)

Consider the Florida 2000 fiasco. Bush “won” by 537 “official” votes before the Supreme Court aborted the recount – and 175,010 spoiled (under-punched and over-punched) ballots were never counted. Since approximately 75% were intended for Gore, he probably won Florida by more than 80,000 votes. And don’t forget the thousands of Butterfly ballots which fooled Gore voters into voting for Buchanan.

Approximately 54% of the spoiled ballots were in black districts where Gore won 91% of the vote. Assuming the other 46% were evenly split between Gore and Bush, then 126,000 (72%) of the spoiled ballots were Gore votes. And the infamous “Butterfly” ballot caused several thousand Gore voters to mistakenly vote for Buchanan in Palm Beach County. Buchanan's vote share was 0.80% in Palm Beach and just 0.25% elsewhere.

Dan Rather's expose on voting machines in Florida 2000 showed that poor-quality paper used in punch card machines was a major cause of ballot spoilage in highly Democratic precincts. Faulty paper had never before been considered a factor in mechanical voting failure. The spoiled punched cards in Florida 2000 were just the tip of the national iceberg.

In 2004, Kerry had a 100,000 built-in vote advantage going into the election. He could count on a solid majority (70-80%) of 90,000 returning Nader voters. No more hanging chads from spoiled punch cards; Touch screens and Optical scanners would be used for input to the central tabulators. Furthermore, the Democrats had a remarkable voter registration and GOTV effort. In the strongest Democratic areas, the pace of new registration was 60 percent higher than in 2000, while it was just 12 percent higher in the heaviest Republican areas. Of course, they had to overcome Bush’s popularity; he had a whopping 48.5% approval rating on Election Day.

The Florida pre-election polls were trending to Kerry. After allocating the undecided vote, Kerry led the final 10-poll average by 51.1-48.8%. Kerry was on track to a 200,000 vote win. Bush “won” the official vote by 52.1-47.1%, a 381,000 margin. Kerry won TS counties by 51.3-47.8%, but Bush won OS counties by a whopping 57.0-42.3%. Kerry’s low vote shares in the three most heavily populated Democratic TS counties (Palm Beach, Broward, Dade) are highly suspect. The TS county vote share matched the exit poll to within 1%, but the OS county share deviated by 9% in favor of Bush. The probability was virtually zero that Kerry's TS vote share would exceed his state-wide share by 4.2% and his OS county share by 9%.

Consider Florida’s implausible vote count by machine type and 2004 Voter Registration. The Democrats had a 41.6- 36.1% registration advantage in Touch Screen (TS) counties and a 41.1-39.5% edge in Optical Scan (OS) counties. Bush’s vote share was 131% of his registration share in TS (DRE) counties and 145% in Optiscan counties. For Kerry, the corresponding percentages were 125% and 102%. Was the vote suppressed in TS (Democratic) counties and padded in Optiscan (Republican) counties? Since Bush was first selected in 2000, the Florida Republican vote share to registration share ratio has increased sharply compared to the Democrats.

If the pundits really wanted to, they could analyze Florida. But they won't do it. They would find that Kerry did even better than Gore. Kerry won Florida by approximately 380,000. According to the Census, 238,000 more ballots were cast in Florida than recorded. In other words, there were 238k net stuffed ballots. There could have been 338k stuffed and 100k uncounted - or 438k and 200k. Without a full audit (recount), it is impossible to know the actual figures. But we can approximate the True Vote based on a feasible returning voter mix and National Exit Poll vote shares adjusted for Florida's state/national share ratio. Knowing the True vote, we can determine the approximate number of votes switched from Kerry to Bush in Cyberspace.

Bush's vote to registration ratio was 145% in Optiscan counties, an indication of where the ballots were stuffed. Kerry's ratio was 102%. The Republican vote to registration ratio increased 31.5% from 1996 to 2004. The Democratic increase was 13.8%.

In DRE counties, Democratic registration exceeded GOP by 2.9% in 1996 and 5.6% in 2004. In Optiscan counties, Democrats led by 13.2% in 1996 and 1.7% in 2004. But in OS counties, the Republican registration share increased by just 1.7%. Where did the Republicans gain votes in 2004?

2004 Florida Exit Poll

Method Kerry Bush

WPE 51.0% 48.2% (unadjusted 7.8% EPE)

Best GEO 49.2 50.3

Composite 49.3 50.1

Best SPM 48.6 51.0

Recorded 47.1 52.1

Final Florida Exit Poll

Party ID

Mix Vote Kerry Bush Other Kerry Bush Other

Democratic 38% 2.89 86% 13% 1% 2.49 0.38 0.03

Republican 39% 2.97 7% 92% 1% 0.21 2.73 0.03

Independent 23% 1.75 60% 38% 2% 1.05 0.67 0.04

Total 7.61 7.61 49.2% 49.6% 1.2% 3.74 3.77 0.09

Recorded Vote by Machine Type

Machine Mix Vote Kerry Bush Other Kerry Bush Other

DRE 51.3% 3.90 51.3% 47.8% 0.9% 2.00 1.86 0.04

OS 48.7% 3.71 42.3% 57.0% 0.7% 1.57 2.11 0.03

Total 100% 7.61 47.1% 52.1% 0.8% 3.57 3.98 0.06

Exit Poll Shares by Voter Registration

Registration Mix Votes Kerry Bush Other Kerry Bush Other

Dem 41.4% 3.15 86% 13% 1% 2.71 0.41 0.03

Rep 37.8% 2.88 7% 92% 1% 0.20 2.65 0.03

Ind 20.9% 1.59 60% 38% 2% 0.95 0.60 0.03

Vote 7.61 7.61 50.7% 48.1% 1.2% 3.86 3.66 0.09

Implausible Required Bush Shares of the Democratic Vote

Statewide: 21%

All Mix Votes Kerry Bush Other Kerry Bush Other

Dem 41.4% 3.15 77.7% 21.3% 1.0% 2.45 0.67 0.03

Rep 37.8% 2.88 5.5% 93.5% 1.0% 0.16 2.69 0.03

Ind 20.9% 1.59 60.0% 38.0% 2.0% 0.95 0.60 0.03

Total 100% 7.61 46.7% 52.1% 1.2% 3.56 3.96 0.09

DRE Counties: 15%

Dem 41.6% 1.62 84% 15% 1% 1.36 0.24 0.02

Rep 36.1% 1.41 6% 93% 1% 0.08 1.31 0.01

Ind 22.3% 0.87 60% 38% 2% 0.52 0.33 0.02

Total 100% 3.90 50.5% 48.3% 1.2% 1.97 1.89 0.05

Optical Scan counties: 28%

Dem 41.2% 1.53 71% 28% 1% 1.08 0.43 0.02

Rep 39.5% 1.47 5% 94% 1% 0.07 1.38 0.01

Ind 19.3% 0.72 60% 38% 2% 0.43 0.27 0.01

Total 100% 3.71 42.8% 56.0% 1.2% 1.59 2.08 0.04

Florida Preliminary and Final Exit Poll

Bush Approval (53%)

(forced to match the recorded vote)

Preliminary

Approval Mix Kerry Bush Other

Strong 35 4 96 0

Approve 18 17 82 1

Disapprove 12 84 13 3

Strong 35 98 1 1

Total 100 48.8 50.3 0.9

Final

Strong 33 5 94 1

Approve 20 15 83 2

Disapprove 12 80 18 2

Strong 35 97 2 1

Total 100 48.2 50.5 1.3

Actual Approval (48.5%)

Preliminary

Approval Mix Kerry Bush Other

Strong 30.5 4 96 0

Approve 18 17 82 1

Disapprove 14 84 13 3

Strong 37.5 98 1 1

Total 100 52.8 46.2 1.0

Final

Strong 30.5 5 94 1

Approve 18 15 83 2

Disapprove 14 80 18 2

Strong 37.5 97 2 1

Total 100 51.8 46.9 1.3

When Decided

Final (forced to match recorded vote)

Decided Mix Kerry Bush Other

3 days 8% 53% 45% 2%

Week 3 70 27 3

Month 12 61 38 1

Before 77 46 54 0 (Pre-election polls indicated 50/50)

Total 100 49.1 50.6 0.4

True Vote (based on pre-election polls)

3 days 8% 53% 45% 2%

Week 3 70 27 3

Month 12 61 38 1

Before 77 50 50 0 (Pre-election polls)

Total 100 52.2 47.5 0.4

Florida 2004 True Vote

	2000	Method:							Turnout in 2004			Unctd stuffed
	Cast	Recorded	Unctd	Alive	Cast	Recorded	Unctd	Died	Gore	Bush	Gore	Bush
	110.8	105.4	5.4	105.3	125.7	122.3	3.4	6.1	98%	98%	75%	24%
	-	95.1%	4.9%	95.0%	-	97.3%	2.7%	5.0%	-	-	0%	100%
	FL		Vote (mil)				Vote Share (%)			Vote (mil)
MoE	2000	Cast	Recorded	Alive	Turnout	Pct	Kerry	Bush	Other	Kerry	Bush	Other
1.7%	DNV	-	-	-	1.64	22.3	55.9	42.1	2.0	0.92	0.69	0.03
1.0%	Gore	3.02	2.91	2.87	2.82	38.2	91.0	9.0	0.0	2.56	0.25	0.00
1.0%	Bush	2.99	2.91	2.84	2.78	37.7	10.0	90.0	0.0	0.28	2.50	0.00
1.7%	Other	0.14	0.14	0.14	0.13	1.8	62.8	14.8	22.4	0.08	0.02	0.03
	Exit	6.15	5.96	5.85	7.37	True	52.12	47.03	0.85	3.84	3.47	0.06
					State Model		52.22	46.96	0.81	3.85	3.46	0.06
					Electoral Vote		357	181
	2000	Gore	Bush	Other	Recorded		47.09	52.10	0.81	3.58	3.96	0.06
	Recorded	48.84	48.85	2.32	True - Rec		5.03	(5.06)	0.04	0.26	(0.50)	0.00
	Cast	49.58	45.75	2.32	Exit Poll		50.99	48.20	0.81	3.88	3.67	0.06
	Exit Poll	49.14	48.55	4.68	True - Exit		1.13	(1.16)	0.04	(0.04)	(0.20)	0.00

Sensitivity Analysis

Bush		Gore voter turnout				Share of		Kerry Share of Gore
turnout	90%	92%	94%	96%	98%	Bush	89%	90%	91%	92%	93%
		Kerry Share (%)						Kerry Share (%)
90%	52.4	52.7	53.0	53.2	53.5	12%	52.1	52.5	52.9	53.3	53.6
92%	52.1	52.4	52.6	52.9	53.2	11%	51.7	52.1	52.5	52.9	53.3
94%	51.7	52.0	52.3	52.5	52.8	10%	51.4	51.7	52.1	52.5	52.9
96%	51.4	51.6	51.9	52.2	52.5	9%	51.0	51.4	51.7	52.1	52.5
98%	51.0	51.3	51.6	51.8	52.1	8%	50.6	51.0	51.4	51.7	52.1
		Margin (mil.)						Margin (mil.)
90%	0.43	0.47	0.51	0.55	0.58	12%	0.37	0.43	0.49	0.54	0.60
92%	0.38	0.41	0.45	0.49	0.53	11%	0.32	0.37	0.43	0.49	0.54
94%	0.32	0.36	0.40	0.44	0.48	10%	0.26	0.32	0.37	0.43	0.49
96%	0.27	0.31	0.35	0.39	0.43	9%	0.21	0.26	0.32	0.38	0.43
98%	0.22	0.26	0.30	0.34	0.37	8%	0.15	0.21	0.26	0.32	0.38
		Electoral Vote						Electoral Vote
90%	370	370	370	370	370	12%	370	370	370	370	370
92%	364	370	370	370	370	11%	340	370	370	370	370
94%	340	340	370	370	370	10%	340	340	357	370	370
96%	340	340	340	370	370	9%	325	340	340	357	370
98%	325	340	340	340	357	8%	318	325	340	340	346
MoE	1.04%	0.94%	0.82%	0.68%	0.49%	MoE	1.08%	1.04%	0.99%	0.94%	0.88%

County Votes

		2000	Votes						2004	Votes
	Precincts	Total	GORE	BUSH	NADER	GORE	BUSH	NADER	Total	KERRY	BUSH	OTHER	KERRY	BUSH	OTHER
DRE	3078	3078	1658	1376	44.4	53.9%	44.7%	1.44%	3835	1999	1819	17.4	52.1%	47.4%	0.45%
OPTISCAN	2806	2831	1253	1535	43.6	44.2%	54.2%	1.54%	3728	1575	2137	15.5	42.3%	57.3%	0.42%
Election Day	5884	5909	2910	2910	88.0	49.3%	49.3%	1.49%	7563	3575	3956	32.9	47.3%	52.3%	0.43%
Total Recorded		5963	2912	2913	97.0	48.8%	48.8%	1.40%	7610	3584	3965	62	47.1%	52.1%	0.81%
DRE
Broward	618	571	387	177	7.1	68%	31%	1.2%	700	452	244	3.8	65%	35%	0.5%
Charlotte	63	67	30	35	1.5	45%	53%	2.2%	79	34	44	0.6	43%	56%	0.7%
Collier	96	92	30	60	1.4	33%	66%	1.5%	128	44	83	0.6	34%	65%	0.5%
Dade	614	624	329	290	5.4	53%	46%	0.9%	767	406	359	2.0	53%	47%	0.3%
Hillsborough	320	358	170	181	7.5	47%	51%	2.1%	460	213	245	1.9	46%	53%	0.4%
Indian River	41	49	20	29	1.0	40%	58%	1.9%	61	24	37	0.3	39%	60%	0.5%
Lafayette	5	2	1	2	0.0	32%	67%	1.0%	3	1	2	0.0	25%	74%	0.3%
Lake	86	88	37	50	1.5	42%	57%	1.7%	123	48	74	0.7	39%	60%	0.5%
Martin	40	62	27	34	1.1	43%	55%	1.8%	72	30	41	0.4	42%	57%	0.6%
Nassau	21	23	7	16	0.3	29%	70%	1.1%	32	9	24	0.2	26%	73%	0.6%
Palm Beach	531	423	270	153	0.0	64%	36%	0.0%	541	328	212	1.6	61%	39%	0.3%
Pasco	132	142	70	69	3.4	49%	48%	2.4%	189	85	103	1.4	45%	54%	0.8%
Pinellas	345	395	201	185	10.0	51%	47%	2.5%	453	225	226	2.4	50%	50%	0.5%
Sarasota	142	160	73	83	4.1	46%	52%	2.5%	194	88	105	1.3	45%	54%	0.6%
Sumter	24	22	10	12	0.3	44%	55%	1.4%	32	12	20	0.2	37%	63%	0.8%
OPTISCAN
Alachua	53	85	47	34	3.2	56%	40%	3.8%	111	62	48	0.6	56%	43%	0.5%
Baker	8	8	2	6	0.1	30%	70%	0.7%	10	2	8	0.0	22%	78%	0.2%
Bay	47	58	19	39	0.8	32%	66%	1.4%	75	21	53	0.4	28%	71%	0.5%
Bradford	21	9	3	5	0.1	36%	63%	1.0%	11	3	8	0.0	30%	70%	0.3%
Brevard	177	217	97	115	4.5	45%	53%	2.1%	264	110	153	1.2	42%	58%	0.5%
Calhoun	13	5	2	3	0.0	43%	57%	0.8%	6	2	4	0.0	36%	64%	0.6%
Citrus	35	57	26	30	1.4	45%	53%	2.4%	69	29	39	0.5	42%	57%	0.7%
Clay	51	57	15	42	0.6	26%	73%	1.0%	81	19	62	0.3	23%	76%	0.3%
Columbia	31	18	7	11	0.3	39%	60%	1.4%	25	8	17	0.1	32%	67%	0.4%
De Soto	15	8	3	4	0.2	43%	55%	2.0%	9	4	6	0.0	41%	58%	0.5%
Dixie	11	5	2	3	0.1	40%	59%	1.6%	6	2	4	0.0	31%	69%	0.5%
Duval	268	263	108	152	2.8	41%	58%	1.0%	379	158	219	1.2	42%	58%	0.3%
Escambia	108	116	41	73	1.7	35%	63%	1.5%	142	48	93	0.5	34%	66%	0.4%
Flagler	27	27	14	13	0.4	52%	47%	1.6%	38	19	20	0.2	48%	51%	0.5%
Franklin	8	5	2	2	0.1	45%	54%	1.9%	6	2	3	0.0	41%	59%	0.6%
Gadsden	16	15	10	5	0.1	66%	33%	0.9%	21	15	6	0.1	70%	30%	0.3%
Gilchrist	10	5	2	3	0.1	36%	62%	1.8%	7	2	5	0.0	29%	71%	0.5%
Glades	13	3	1	2	0.1	43%	55%	1.7%	4	2	2	0.0	41%	58%	0.4%
Gulf	14	6	2	4	0.1	40%	59%	1.4%	7	2	5	0.0	33%	66%	0.6%
Hamilton	8	4	2	2	0.0	44%	55%	0.9%	5	2	3	0.0	45%	55%	0.3%
Hardee	12	6	2	4	0.1	38%	61%	1.2%	7	2	5	0.0	30%	70%	0.5%
Hendry	22	8	3	5	0.1	40%	59%	1.3%	10	4	6	0.0	41%	59%	0.2%
Hernando	51	65	33	31	1.5	50%	47%	2.3%	79	37	42	0.5	46%	53%	0.6%
Highlands	28	35	14	20	0.5	41%	58%	1.6%	41	15	26	0.2	37%	62%	0.5%
Holmes	16	7	2	5	0.1	30%	69%	1.3%	8	2	6	0.0	22%	78%	0.5%
Jackson	27	16	7	9	0.1	43%	57%	0.9%	20	8	12	0.1	38%	61%	0.4%
Jefferson	13	6	3	2	0.1	54%	44%	1.4%	7	4	3	0.0	55%	44%	0.4%
Lee	150	183	74	106	3.6	40%	58%	2.0%	240	94	144	1.4	39%	60%	0.6%
Leon	95	102	61	39	1.9	60%	38%	1.9%	136	84	52	0.5	62%	38%	0.4%
Levy	21	13	5	7	0.3	43%	55%	2.3%	17	6	10	0.1	37%	63%	0.6%
Liberty	8	2	1	1	0.0	43%	56%	0.8%	3	1	2	0.0	36%	64%	0.5%
Madison	11	6	3	3	0.1	49%	50%	0.9%	8	4	4	0.0	49%	51%	0.5%
Manatee	135	110	49	58	2.5	45%	53%	2.3%	143	61	81	0.7	43%	57%	0.5%
Marion	96	102	45	55	1.8	44%	54%	1.8%	139	57	81	0.6	41%	58%	0.5%
Monroe	33	34	16	16	1.1	49%	48%	3.2%	39	20	19	0.3	50%	49%	0.7%
Okaloosa	48	70	17	52	1.0	24%	74%	1.4%	89	19	70	0.4	22%	78%	0.4%
Okeechobee	18	10	5	5	0.1	47%	52%	1.3%	12	5	7	0.0	42%	57%	0.3%
Orange	232	275	140	135	0.0	51%	49%	0.0%	387	193	192	1.1	50%	50%	0.3%
Osceola	66	55	28	26	0.7	51%	48%	1.3%	82	39	43	0.3	47%	53%	0.3%
Polk	163	168	75	90	2.1	45%	54%	1.2%	210	86	124	0.8	41%	59%	0.4%
Putnam	50	26	12	13	0.4	47%	52%	1.5%	31	12	18	0.1	40%	59%	0.4%
St. Johns	57	60	20	40	1.2	32%	66%	2.0%	86	26	59	0.4	31%	69%	0.5%
St. Lucie	78	78	42	35	1.4	54%	45%	1.8%	100	52	48	0.4	52%	48%	0.4%
Santa Rosa	36	50	13	36	0.7	26%	73%	1.5%	67	15	52	0.3	22%	78%	0.4%
Seminole	133	137	59	76	1.9	43%	55%	1.4%	186	77	108	0.6	41%	58%	0.3%
Suwannee	16	12	4	8	0.2	33%	65%	1.5%	16	5	11	0.1	29%	71%	0.5%
Taylor	14	7	3	4	0.1	39%	60%	0.9%	9	3	5	0.0	36%	64%	0.5%
Union	11	4	1	2	0.0	37%	62%	0.9%	5	1	3	0.0	27%	73%	0.3%
Volusia	172	183	97	82	2.9	53%	45%	1.6%	228	115	112	0.9	51%	49%	0.4%
Wakulla	12	8	4	5	0.1	45%	53%	1.8%	12	5	7	0.0	42%	58%	0.4%
Walton	33	18	6	12	0.3	31%	67%	1.5%	24	6	18	0.1	26%	73%	0.5%
Washington	15	8	3	5	0.1	35%	63%	1.2%	10	3	7	0.1	28%	71%	0.5%

	increase from 2000					Bush net increase
	KERRY	BUSH	OTHER	KERRY	BUSH	Votes	Margin	Incid
DRE	341.8	443.1	-27.0	20.6%	32.2%	101.3	4.5%	231
OPTISCAN	322.5	602.0	-28.1	25.7%	39.2%	279.5	5.1%	35
TOTAL	664.3	1,045.2	-55.1	18.6%	26.4%	380.8	5.0%	256
DRE	Vote Chg from 2000			Pct Chg from 2000		Bush Net Increase		1980
Broward	65.8	66.4	-3.3	17%	37%	0.6	7%	56
Charlotte	4.6	9.0	-0.9	15%	25%	4.4	4%	0
Collier	13.8	23.1	-0.8	46%	38%	9.3	-2%	0
Dade	77.3	69.1	-3.4	24%	24%	(8.2)	0%	54
Hillsborough	43.9	63.8	-5.5	26%	35%	20.0	4%	21
Indian River	4.2	8.2	-0.7	21%	29%	4.1	3%	0
Lafayette	0.1	0.8	0.0	7%	47%	0.7	13%	0
Lake	11.6	24.4	-0.8	32%	49%	12.7	6%	3
Martin	3.6	7.4	-0.7	13%	22%	3.8	4%	1
Nassau	1.7	7.5	-0.1	24%	46%	5.8	7%	0
Palm Beach	58.0	58.9	1.6	21%	39%	1.0	6%	88
Pasco	15.2	34.6	-2.0	22%	50%	19.4	10%	0
Pinellas	24.7	40.8	-7.6	12%	22%	16.1	4%	6
Sarasota	15.5	21.5	-2.8	21%	26%	6.0	2%	2
Sumter	1.9	7.7	-0.1	20%	63%	5.7	15%	0
OPTISCAN	Vote Change			Percent change		Bush net Increase	Bush net margin
Alachua	15.0	13.5	-2.7	32%	40%	(1.5)	2%	0
Baker	-0.2	2.1	0.0	-9%	38%	2.3	16%	0
Bay	2.2	14.8	-0.5	12%	38%	12.5	9%	0
Bradford	0.2	2.1	-0.1	5%	40%	2.0	13%	0
Brevard	12.8	37.7	-3.3	13%	33%	24.8	8%	4
Calhoun	0.0	0.9	0.0	-2%	32%	0.9	14%	0
Citrus	3.7	9.7	-0.9	15%	33%	6.0	7%	0
Clay	4.3	20.1	-0.3	29%	48%	15.9	5%	0
Columbia	1.0	5.8	-0.1	14%	53%	4.8	14%	0
De Soto	0.6	1.3	-0.1	18%	30%	0.7	5%	0
Dixie	0.1	1.7	0.0	7%	64%	1.6	20%	0
Duval	50.3	67.2	-1.5	47%	44%	16.9	-1%	12
Escambia	7.3	20.4	-1.2	18%	28%	13.1	4%	1
Flagler	4.7	7.0	-0.3	34%	56%	2.3	8%	0
Franklin	0.4	1.0	0.0	17%	41%	0.7	9%	0
Gadsden	4.9	1.5	-0.1	50%	31%	(3.4)	-6%	1
Gilchrist	0.1	1.6	-0.1	6%	50%	1.5	16%	0
Glades	0.3	0.6	0.0	19%	33%	0.3	5%	0
Gulf	0.0	1.2	0.0	0%	35%	1.2	14%	0
Hamilton	0.5	0.6	0.0	31%	30%	0.1	0%	0
Hardee	-0.2	1.3	0.0	-8%	34%	1.5	17%	0
Hendry	0.7	1.0	-0.1	22%	21%	0.3	0%	0
Hernando	3.9	11.2	-1.0	12%	37%	7.3	10%	0
Highlands	1.2	5.7	-0.4	8%	28%	4.5	8%	0
Holmes	-0.4	1.4	-0.1	-17%	28%	1.8	17%	0
Jackson	0.7	3.0	-0.1	10%	33%	2.3	9%	0
Jefferson	1.1	0.8	0.0	36%	33%	(0.3)	-1%	0
Lee	20.8	38.3	-2.2	28%	36%	17.5	3%	0
Leon	22.4	12.5	-1.5	36%	32%	(9.9)	-2%	26
Levy	0.7	3.6	-0.2	13%	52%	2.9	15%	0
Liberty	0.1	0.6	0.0	5%	46%	0.6	16%	0
Madison	1.0	1.2	0.0	34%	38%	0.1	1%	0
Manatee	12.1	23.3	-1.8	25%	40%	11.3	6%	0
Marion	12.6	26.1	-1.2	28%	47%	13.5	7%	2
Monroe	3.2	3.4	-0.8	19%	21%	0.2	1%	0
Okaloosa	2.4	17.6	-0.6	14%	34%	15.2	6%	0
Okeechobee	0.6	1.9	-0.1	12%	38%	1.4	10%	0
Orange	53.0	57.9	1.1	38%	43%	4.9	2%	16
Osceola	10.4	16.9	-0.5	37%	64%	6.5	9%	1
Polk	10.8	33.2	-1.3	14%	37%	22.5	9%	5
Putnam	0.3	4.9	-0.2	3%	36%	4.6	14%	1
St. Johns	6.9	19.6	-0.8	35%	50%	12.7	5%	0
St. Lucie	10.3	12.9	-0.9	25%	37%	2.6	5%	0
Santa Rosa	1.8	15.7	-0.4	14%	43%	13.9	9%	0
Seminole	17.8	32.4	-1.4	30%	43%	14.7	5%	4
Suwannee	0.4	3.1	-0.1	11%	39%	2.7	10%	0
Taylor	0.4	1.4	0.0	15%	35%	1.0	7%	0
Union	-0.2	1.1	0.0	-11%	46%	1.2	21%	0
Volusia	18.0	29.2	-2.0	19%	35%	11.2	7%	8
Wakulla	1.1	2.3	-0.1	28%	50%	1.2	8%	0
Walton	0.6	5.4	-0.1	10%	44%	4.8	11%	0
Washington	0.1	2.4	0.0	4%	48%	2.3	15%	0