New York State 2000-2004 Recorded Vote, Exit Poll and True Vote Analysis

Richard Charnin (TruthIsAll)

In 2004, Bush won the national recorded vote by 62-59 million (50.7-48.3%). Kerry won the national aggregate of the state unadjusted exit polls by 52-47%. The average exit poll discrepancy (WPD) was 7.4%. The WPD for mechanical lever precincts was 10.6%, 6.6% for punch cards, 7.1% for DREs, 6.1% for optical scanners - but just 2.2% for paper ballots.

Kerry won the NY recorded vote by 58-40%.The exit poll timeline indicated that Kerry won NY by 64-35%, a massive 12% discrepancy in margin (the exit poll margin of error was 2%). Kerry’s Election Day vote in lever machine precincts increased by 8.6% over Gore in 2000 while Bush increased by 23.1%. There was a net increase of 5.8% in Bush’s recorded margin. The increase was much higher than all other voting methods. New York votes exclusively by levers.

According to the Census Bureau, there were more than 300,000 uncounted votes in NY State, the vast majority for Kerry: http://www.richardcharnin.com/2004NewYorkLeverExitPollDiscepancies.htm

Kerry’s New York margin was reduced by nearly 1.0 million votes due to election fraud. In California, his margin was cut by approximately 1.4 million. Approximately 80% of his “mandate” was from these strong Democratic states. See http://www.richardcharnin.com/NewYorkConfirmationKerryLandslide.htm.

In 2000, Gore won NY by 60-35% with 5% to Nader and other third-party voters. In 2004, Kerry had just 58% of the recorded vote. The NY exit poll indicated that Kerry won by 64-35%. Returning Nader voters broke 5-1 for Kerry.

Assuming an equal turnout of returning Gore and Bush voters, Kerry won NY by 63.5-35.5% - matching the exit poll. And that is conservative. The 12:22am National Exit Poll indicates that 10% of returning Bush 2000 voters defected to Kerry, while only 8% of Gore voters defected to Bush. The 12% NY exit poll Within Precinct Discrepancy (WPD) was massive compared to the National 7.4% WPD.

Either the exit pollsters screwed up royally in NY, or Bush padded his 3 million “mandate” by cutting Kerry’s margin 12% (900,000 votes). And that does not include thousands of Kerry voters who did not even get a chance to vote.

New York votes are extremely vulnerable to miscounts at the precinct and in Cyberspace.

1) Defective levers were placed in the strong Democratic precincts

2) Too few levers were placed in Democratic precincts (long lines).
3) Pre-set levers were stuck on Bush, none on Kerry – discouraging voters
4) Lever totals are input to unverifiable central tabulators that can easily be coded to switch and drop votes.
5) There can be no hand recounts because there are no paper ballots (except for late absentee or provisionals)

6) In 2000-2008, the Democratic late paper ballot share was 7% higher than the Election Day (lever) share

7) The late paper ballot share closely matched the exit poll.
8) According to the Census, there were over 300,000 net uncounted votes

Even if the levers worked perfectly - which they don’t – the votes are counted on computers.

The average exit poll discrepancy (WPE) for all voting machine types was 7.4%. It was 11.6% for mechanical levers, 7% for DREs and optical scanners - but just 2% for paper ballots (see http://www.richardcharnin.com/NewYorkLeverFraud.htm).

The Election Incident Reporting System (EIRS) indicated that long lines and faulty machines disenfranchised voters in heavily Democratic NYC precincts: http://www.richardcharnin.com/NY2004EIRS.htm

This graph depicts the implausible Bush 2004 gains over his 2000 recorded vote in the 15 largest New York counties.

http://www.richardcharnin.com/TIACountyVoteDatabase_24111_image001.png

In 2004, there was a 17% increase over 2000 in the national recorded vote (105 to 122 million). Kerry captured 57-59% of new voters!

Are we expected to believe the implausible Bush vs. Kerry recorded vote changes in the most heavily populated New York Democratic counties? Here is the graph: http://www.richardcharnin.com/TIACountyVoteDatabase_24111_image001.png

1. Kings (Brooklyn): Bush’s recorded vote increased by 75% and Kerry’s increased by just 5%!

2. Bronx: Bush’s recorded vote increased by 59% and Kerry’s increased by just 10%!

3. Queens:, Bush’s recorded vote increased by 36% and Kerry’s increased by just 5%!

4. Nassau: Bush’s recorded vote increased by 30% and Kerry’s declined by 2%!

5. Rockland: Bush’s recorded vote increased by 29% and Kerry’s declined by 9%!

6. Orange: Bush’s recorded vote increased by 27% and Kerry’s increased by just 9%!

7. Staten Island: Bush’s recorded vote increased by 40% and Kerry’s declined by 9%!

In 2000, 2004 and 2008, the Democratic share of the late (paper ballot) votes recorded after Election Day was 7% higher than the Election Day share! Was it because the late votes were cast on paper ballots and Election Day votes were cast on Levers?

New York 2004 True Vote

	2000	Method:							Turnout in 2004			Unctd / stuffed
	Cast	Recorded	Unctd	Alive	Cast	Recorded	Unctd	Died	Gore	Bush	Gore	Bush
	110.8	105.4	5.4	105.3	125.7	122.3	3.4	6.1	98%	98%	75%	24%
	-	95.1%	4.9%	95.0%	-	97.3%	2.7%	5.0%	-	-	0%	100%
	NY		Vote (mil)				Vote Share (%)			Vote (mil)
MoE	2000	Cast	Recorded	Alive	Turnout	Pct	Kerry	Bush	Other	Kerry	Bush	Other
1.6%	DNV	-	-	-	1.18	15.3	70.7	27.3	2.0	0.83	0.32	0.02
1.0%	Gore	4.33	4.11	4.12	4.03	52.4	91.0	9.0	0.0	3.67	0.36	0.00
1.0%	Bush	2.35	2.40	2.23	2.19	28.4	10.0	90.0	0.0	0.22	1.97	0.00
1.4%	Other	0.32	0.31	0.30	0.30	3.9	79.4	2.9	17.7	0.24	0.01	0.05
	Exit	7.00	6.82	6.65	7.70	True	64.41	34.60	0.99	4.96	2.66	0.08
					State Model		64.52	33.94	1.54	4.97	2.61	0.12
					Electoral Vote		357	181
	2000	Gore	Bush	Other	Recorded		58.37	40.08	1.54	4.31	2.96	0.11
	Recorded	60.21	35.23	4.56	True - Rec		6.04	(5.49)	(0.55)	0.64	(0.30)	(0.04)
	Cast	60.59	34.94	4.56	Exit Poll		64.47	33.98	1.54	4.77	2.51	0.11
	ExitP	61.86	33.58	4.47	True - Exit		(0.06)	0.61	(0.55)	0.19	0.15	(0.04)

Sensitivity Analysis

Bush		Gore voter turnout				Share of		Kerry Share of Gore
turnout	90%	92%	94%	96%	98%	Bush	89%	90%	91%	92%	93%
		Kerry Share (%)						Kerry Share (%)
90%	64.9	65.1	65.4	65.6	65.8	12%	63.9	64.5	65.0	65.5	66.0
92%	64.6	64.8	65.0	65.2	65.4	11%	63.6	64.2	64.7	65.2	65.7
94%	64.2	64.5	64.7	64.9	65.1	10%	63.4	63.9	64.4	64.9	65.5
96%	63.9	64.1	64.3	64.5	64.8	9%	63.1	63.6	64.1	64.7	65.2
98%	63.5	63.8	64.0	64.2	64.4	8%	62.8	63.3	63.8	64.4	64.9
		Margin (mil.)						Margin (mil.)
90%	2.38	2.41	2.44	2.48	2.51	12%	2.22	2.30	2.38	2.46	2.54
92%	2.33	2.36	2.39	2.42	2.45	11%	2.18	2.26	2.34	2.42	2.50
94%	2.27	2.31	2.34	2.37	2.40	10%	2.13	2.21	2.30	2.38	2.46
96%	2.22	2.25	2.28	2.32	2.35	9%	2.09	2.17	2.25	2.33	2.41
98%	2.17	2.20	2.23	2.26	2.30	8%	2.05	2.13	2.21	2.29	2.37
		Electoral Vote						Electoral Vote
90%	370	370	370	370	370	12%	370	370	370	370	370
92%	364	370	370	370	370	11%	340	370	370	370	370
94%	340	340	370	370	370	10%	340	340	357	370	370
96%	340	340	340	370	370	9%	325	340	340	357	370
98%	325	340	340	340	357	8%	318	325	340	340	346
MoE	1.04%	0.94%	0.82%	0.68%	0.49%	MoE	1.08%	1.04%	0.99%	0.94%	0.88%

2000-2004 NATIONAL RECORDED VOTES BY VOTING METHOD

Note: For the 2000 election, voting methods in several states (approximately 6 million votes) are unavailable.

Voting	2004	2000	Vote						2004				Share			Vote Change			Pct Change vs 2000		Bush Net Increase
Method	Precints	Vote	GORE	BUSH	NADER	GORE	BUSH	NADER	Vote	KERRY	BUSH	NADER	KERRY	BUSH	NADER	KERRY	BUSH	NADER	KERRY	BUSH	Margin	Margin%	Incid
	184,824	96,717	46,737	47,406	2,574	48.32%	49.01%	2.66%	116,008	56,099	59,505	404	48.36%	51.29%	0.35%	9,363	12,100	-2,171	20.0%	25.5%	2,737	2.2%	1,966
Paper	4,737	1,518	653	819	46	43.0%	53.9%	3.01%	1,879	828	1,043	8	44.07%	55.52%	0.42%	104	156	-39	15.9%	19.0%	52	0.6%	0
Opscan	66,451	33,078	15,318	16,827	933	46.3%	50.9%	2.82%	41,411	19,525	21,776	111	47.15%	52.58%	0.27%	2,218	3,669	-825	14.5%	21.8%	1,450	0.9%	303
Lever	26,698	13,977	7,608	5,886	483	54.4%	42.1%	3.45%	15,663	8,279	7,259	125	52.86%	46.34%	0.80%	658	1,363	-358	8.6%	23.1%	706	5.8%	243
Punch	26,083	11,306	5,494	5,554	258	48.6%	49.1%	2.29%	13,037	6,384	6,638	15	48.97%	50.92%	0.12%	890	1,084	-243	16.2%	19.5%	194	1.4%	213
DRE	46,551	28,875	14,166	14,123	585	49.1%	48.9%	2.03%	33,467	16,178	17,198	91	48.34%	51.39%	0.27%	2,012	3,074	-495	14.2%	21.8%	1,062	3.2%	1,171
Other	14,304	7,963	3,497	4,196	269	43.9%	52.7%	3.38%	10,550	4,905	5,592	53	46.49%	53.00%	0.50%	601	801	-232	17.2%	19.1%	200	-2.3%	36
TIMELINE		Total	GORE	BUSH	OTHER	GORE	BUSH	OTHER	Total	KERRY	BUSH	OTHER	KERRY	BUSH	OTHER	KERRY	BUSH	OTHER	KERRY	BUSH	OTHER	Margin	Change
Election Day		102,597	49,505	49,255	3,837	48.3%	48.0%	3.74%	117,074	56,227	59,686	1,162	48.03%	50.98%	0.99%	6,721	10,431	-2,675	-0.23%	2.97%	-3.01%	3,710	3.20%
Late		2,819	1,499	1,204	116	53.2%	42.7%	4.12%	5,213	2,800	2,354	58	53.72%	45.16%	1.11%	1,302	1,150	-58	0.56%	2.44%	-2.75%	(152)	1.88%
Total		105,416	51,004	50,459	3,953	48.4%	47.9%	3.75%	122,287	59,027	62,040	1,220	48.27%	50.73%	1.00%	8,023	11,581	-2,733	-0.11%	2.87%	-2.75%	3,558	2.98%

2004 STATE EXIT POLL AGGREGATE BY VOTING METHOD (WPD: Within Precinct Discrepancy)
	2004	Vote	Share	Election	Day	Vote
Voting	WPD	Kerry	Bush	Kerry	Bush	Nader	Total
Method	6.62%	51.7%	48.0%	59,937	55,668	404	116,008
Paper	2.2%	45.2%	54.4%	849	1,023	8	1,879
Optiscan	6.1%	50.2%	49.5%	20,788	20,512	111	41,411
Lever	10.6%	58.2%	41.0%	9,109	6,429	125	15,663
Punch	6.6%	52.3%	47.6%	6,814	6,208	15	13,037
DRE	7.1%	51.9%	47.8%	17,366	16,009	91	33,467
Other	2.0%	47.5%	52.0%	5,011	5,486	53	10,550

New York State Counties

Recorded Vote Changes from 2000 to 2004 (in thousands)

	2000								2004
	Precincts	Total	Gore	Bush	Other	Gore	Bush	Other	Total	Kerry	Bush	Other	Kerry	Bush	Other
Election Day	15553	6,270	3,747	2,222	300	59.8%	35.4%	4.8%	6,892	3,993	2,796	104	57.9%	40.6%	1.5%
Late Vote		552	361	181	11	65.4%	32.7%	1.9%	499	321	167	10	64.3%	33.6%	2.1%
Total	15,553	6,822	4,108	2,403	311	60.2%	35.2%	4.6%	7,391	4,314	2,963	114	58.4%	40.1%	1.5%
County
Brooklyn	1888	557	445.2	89.4	22.3	80%	16%	4%	630	468.5	156.6	5.2	74%	25%	0.8%
Suffolk	1006	536	285.3	224.0	26.9	53%	42%	5%	618	303.4	301.7	13.3	49%	49%	2.1%
Nassau	1070	554	319.1	214.2	20.7	58%	39%	4%	597	312.4	278.7	6.0	52%	47%	1.0%
Manhattan	1100	522	409.8	78.9	33.1	79%	15%	6%	572	468.8	95.4	8.0	82%	17%	1.4%
Queens	1470	512	379.8	115.3	16.6	74%	23%	3%	559	398.1	156.7	4.7	71%	28%	0.8%
Erie	1007	384	217.7	143.4	22.5	57%	37%	6%	411	231.0	171.1	9.0	56%	42%	2.2%
Westchester	948	306	178.8	114.5	12.9	58%	37%	4%	377	218.3	153.4	5.5	58%	41%	1.5%
Monroe	792	300	152.5	132.5	15.4	51%	44%	5%	330	166.4	158.9	5.2	50%	48%	1.6%
Bronx	912	279	239.9	33.2	5.9	86%	12%	2%	318	262.7	53.0	2.0	83%	17%	0.6%
Onondaga	485	190	102.0	77.6	10.0	54%	41%	5%	199	107.4	87.7	3.5	54%	44%	1.8%
Staten Island	333	133	68.9	60.1	4.1	52%	45%	3%	148	62.7	84.5	1.2	42%	57%	0.8%
Albany	327	130	77.8	44.4	8.2	60%	34%	6%	136	81.7	51.3	2.6	60%	38%	1.9%
Orange	284	118	53.8	58.4	5.5	46%	50%	5%	135	58.9	74.4	1.8	44%	55%	1.3%
Rockland	250	117	65.3	47.0	4.5	56%	40%	4%	122	59.3	60.6	1.8	49%	50%	1.5%
Dutchess	239	105	49.0	49.5	6.5	47%	47%	6%	114	53.0	59.1	1.8	47%	52%	1.6%
Saratoga	168	89	40.4	44.5	4.2	45%	50%	5%	100	45.0	52.8	1.8	45%	53%	1.8%
Niagara	180	87	45.2	37.9	4.4	52%	43%	5%	90	44.1	43.8	1.7	49%	49%	1.9%
Oneida	209	87	39.3	42.7	4.6	45%	49%	5%	89	37.6	49.3	2.0	42%	55%	2.3%
Broome	193	81	42.1	34.5	4.6	52%	43%	6%	84	42.1	40.2	1.6	50%	48%	2.0%
Ulster	161	72	34.8	31.4	6.0	48%	44%	8%	84	45.4	36.3	1.9	54%	43%	2.3%
Rensselaer	136	64	32.7	27.7	3.8	51%	43%	6%	67	33.2	32.5	1.5	49%	48%	2.2%
Schenectady	131	63	33.3	26.1	3.2	53%	42%	5%	65	33.2	30.1	1.2	52%	47%	1.8%
Chataqua	135	55	25.4	27.0	2.5	46%	49%	5%	57	25.5	30.0	1.1	45%	53%	1.9%
Oswego	107	45	21.4	21.9	2.2	47%	48%	5%	49	23.2	24.7	1.0	47%	51%	2.0%
Ontario	88	42	18.4	21.8	2.1	44%	51%	5%	47	19.6	26.3	0.8	42%	56%	1.6%
Putnam	72	40	17.5	20.5	2.2	44%	51%	5%	44	18.1	25.1	0.5	41%	58%	1.1%
Steuben	82	38	13.7	22.4	1.6	36%	59%	4%	39	13.3	25.3	0.7	34%	64%	1.7%
Wayne	67	36	14.2	20.4	1.6	39%	56%	4%	39	14.6	23.3	0.6	38%	60%	1.7%
Tompkins	67	37	19.7	12.3	4.5	54%	34%	12%	38	24.6	13.0	0.9	64%	34%	2.4%
St Lawrence	99	37	20.0	15.3	1.8	54%	41%	5%	38	20.8	16.6	0.7	55%	44%	1.9%
Chemung	82	35	16.0	17.3	1.5	46%	50%	4%	38	16.5	20.6	0.9	43%	54%	2.4%
Jefferson	83	27	11.6	13.0	2.8	42%	47%	10%	35	15.3	19.4	0.7	43%	55%	2.1%
Cayuga	61	30	14.5	13.2	1.7	49%	45%	6%	32	16.2	15.5	0.7	50%	48%	2.2%
Catargus	74	32	12.7	17.2	1.6	40%	55%	5%	32	12.4	18.7	0.6	39%	59%	1.8%
Clinton	64	29	14.4	12.5	1.6	50%	44%	6%	31	16.2	14.1	0.7	52%	46%	2.1%
Livingston	57	26	9.8	14.3	1.4	39%	56%	6%	29	11.2	17.6	0.6	38%	60%	2.1%
Sullivan	63	25	12.6	11.4	1.3	50%	45%	5%	28	13.6	13.9	0.5	49%	50%	1.9%
Madison	51	26	11.1	13.7	1.4	42%	52%	5%	28	11.9	15.3	0.5	43%	55%	1.8%
Warren	57	26	11.1	13.4	1.3	43%	52%	5%	28	11.9	15.3	0.6	43%	55%	2.0%
Herkimer	61	25	11.2	13.0	1.2	44%	51%	5%	26	10.7	14.9	0.5	41%	57%	2.0%
Columbia	54	26	12.4	12.1	1.9	47%	46%	7%	26	14.1	11.2	0.6	54%	43%	2.1%
Genesee	53	26	10.5	14.4	1.4	40%	55%	5%	26	9.6	15.8	0.4	37%	61%	1.6%
Otsego	58	23	10.7	11.3	1.5	45%	48%	7%	25	11.5	12.5	0.5	47%	51%	2.0%
Washington	51	22	9.0	11.6	1.3	41%	53%	6%	23	9.8	12.9	0.5	42%	56%	2.4%
Greene	52	19	7.7	10.4	1.2	40%	54%	6%	23	9.1	13.6	0.5	39%	59%	2.0%
Tioga	46	21	8.6	11.4	1.0	41%	54%	5%	22	8.9	12.9	0.4	40%	58%	1.7%
Cortland	42	20	9.2	9.2	1.2	47%	47%	6%	21	9.9	10.7	0.4	47%	51%	1.9%
Fulton	49	21	8.9	11.0	0.9	43%	53%	4%	21	8.5	11.7	0.4	41%	57%	1.9%
Delaware	59	19	7.7	9.9	1.0	42%	53%	5%	20	8.0	11.6	0.5	40%	58%	2.4%
Montgomery	49	20	9.7	9.3	0.7	49%	47%	4%	20	8.8	10.6	0.4	44%	54%	1.9%
Chenang	39	19	8.5	9.4	1.0	45%	50%	5%	20	8.4	10.8	0.4	43%	55%	2.0%
Allegany	41	17	6.0	10.5	0.8	35%	61%	5%	18	6.1	11.6	0.3	34%	64%	1.7%
Essex	39	16	7.3	8.1	1.1	44%	49%	7%	17	7.9	9.0	0.4	46%	52%	2.2%
Wyoming	39	17	5.9	10.2	0.8	35%	60%	5%	17	5.8	11.1	0.2	34%	65%	1.4%
Franklin	49	16	8.1	7.2	0.9	50%	45%	5%	17	8.7	7.9	0.3	51%	47%	1.9%
Orleans	40	15	5.7	8.7	0.6	38%	58%	4%	16	5.6	9.9	0.2	35%	63%	1.6%
Seneca	27	13	6.3	6.1	0.7	48%	47%	5%	14	6.4	7.4	0.3	45%	52%	2.1%
Schoharie	29	13	4.9	7.0	0.7	39%	55%	5%	13	5.1	7.9	0.3	39%	59%	2.1%
Lewis	30	10	3.9	5.6	0.4	40%	56%	4%	11	4.3	6.1	0.2	40%	58%	1.9%
Yates	20	9	3.6	5.1	0.5	39%	55%	5%	10	3.8	5.8	0.2	39%	60%	1.6%
Schuyler	17	8	3.1	4.1	0.4	40%	54%	6%	8	3.3	4.8	0.2	40%	58%	1.9%
Hamilton	11	3	0.9	2.1	0.2	29%	64%	7%	3	1.1	2.2	0.1	32%	66%	1.6%

Vote change from 2000 -- Percent change-- ---Net to Bush-- EIRS

County	Kerry	Bush	Other	Kerry	Bush	Other	Votes	Margin	Incidents
Brooklyn	23.3	67.2	-17.1	5%	75%	-77%	43.9	14.4%	63
Suffolk	18.0	77.7	-13.7	6%	35%	-51%	59.6	11.2%	0
Nassau	(6.7)	64.5	-14.7	-2%	30%	-71%	71.3	13.3%	2
Manhattan	59.1	16.4	-25.1	14%	21%	-76%	(42.6)	-1.9%	55
Queens	18.3	41.3	-11.9	5%	36%	-72%	23.1	8.5%	23
Erie	13.3	27.7	-13.5	6%	19%	-60%	14.4	4.8%	2
Westchester	39.5	38.9	-7.3	22%	34%	-57%	(0.6)	3.8%	6
Monroe	13.9	26.3	-10.2	9%	20%	-66%	12.5	4.4%	0
Bronx	22.8	19.7	-3.9	10%	59%	-66%	(3.1)	8.0%	14
Onondaga	5.4	10.1	-6.5	5%	13%	-65%	4.7	3.0%	0
Staten Island	(6.2)	24.3	-2.9	-9%	40%	-70%	30.5	21.3%	0
Albany	3.8	6.9	-5.6	5%	16%	-68%	3.1	3.3%	1
Orange	5.1	16.0	-3.7	9%	27%	-67%	10.9	7.6%	1
Rockland	(6.0)	13.7	-2.7	-9%	29%	-60%	19.7	16.8%	4
Dutchess	4.0	9.7	-4.7	8%	20%	-72%	5.6	4.9%	1
Saratoga	4.7	8.3	-2.3	12%	19%	-56%	3.7	3.2%	0
Niagara	(1.2)	5.9	-2.7	-3%	16%	-62%	7.1	8.1%	0
Oneida	(1.7)	6.5	-2.6	-4%	15%	-56%	8.2	9.2%	0
Broome	0.0	5.7	-3.0	0%	16%	-64%	5.7	7.0%	0
Ulster	10.6	4.8	-4.1	30%	15%	-68%	(5.8)	-6.3%	1
Rensselaer	0.5	4.8	-2.4	2%	17%	-62%	4.3	6.7%	0
Schenectady	(0.0)	4.0	-2.1	0%	15%	-64%	4.0	6.6%	0
Chataqua	0.0	3.0	-1.4	0%	11%	-58%	3.0	5.3%	0
Oswego	1.8	2.9	-1.3	9%	13%	-56%	1.0	2.1%	0
Ontario	1.1	4.5	-1.4	6%	21%	-64%	3.4	6.6%	0
Putnam	0.6	4.7	-1.7	3%	23%	-77%	4.1	8.8%	0
Steuben	(0.3)	2.9	-1.0	-2%	13%	-59%	3.2	7.3%	0
Wayne	0.4	2.9	-1.0	3%	14%	-60%	2.4	5.2%	1
Tompkins	4.8	0.6	-3.6	25%	5%	-79%	(4.2)	-10.0%	0
St Lawrence	0.8	1.3	-1.1	4%	9%	-60%	0.5	1.6%	0
Chemung	0.5	3.3	-0.6	3%	19%	-38%	2.9	7.2%	0
Jefferson	3.7	6.3	-2.1	32%	49%	-74%	2.7	6.4%	0
Cayuga	1.6	2.3	-1.0	11%	17%	-59%	0.7	2.4%	0
Catargus	(0.3)	1.5	-1.0	-3%	8%	-64%	1.8	5.6%	0
Clinton	1.9	1.6	-1.0	13%	12%	-60%	(0.3)	-0.4%	0
Livingston	1.4	3.4	-0.8	14%	24%	-56%	2.0	4.3%	0
Sullivan	1.0	2.5	-0.8	8%	22%	-58%	1.5	5.8%	0
Madison	0.9	1.7	-0.8	8%	12%	-63%	0.8	2.4%	0
Warren	0.7	1.9	-0.8	7%	14%	-58%	1.2	3.7%	0
Herkimer	(0.5)	1.9	-0.7	-4%	15%	-57%	2.4	9.0%	0
Columbia	1.7	-0.8	-1.4	14%	-7%	-71%	(2.5)	-9.8%	0
Genesee	(0.8)	1.4	-1.0	-8%	10%	-70%	2.2	8.9%	0
Otsego	0.8	1.3	-1.0	8%	11%	-68%	0.4	1.7%	0
Washington	0.8	1.4	-0.7	9%	12%	-56%	0.5	1.5%	0
Greene	1.3	3.2	-0.7	17%	31%	-61%	1.9	5.9%	0
Tioga	0.4	1.4	-0.6	4%	13%	-63%	1.1	4.1%	1
Cortland	0.7	1.5	-0.7	7%	16%	-65%	0.8	3.8%	0
Fulton	(0.4)	0.6	-0.5	-4%	6%	-56%	1.0	5.1%	0
Delaware	0.2	1.6	-0.5	3%	16%	-50%	1.4	6.2%	0
Montgomery	(0.9)	1.4	-0.4	-9%	15%	-50%	2.3	11.6%	0
Chenang	(0.1)	1.3	-0.6	-1%	14%	-62%	1.4	7.1%	0
Allegany	0.0	1.0	-0.5	0%	10%	-63%	1.0	4.8%	0
Essex	0.6	0.9	-0.7	8%	11%	-67%	0.3	1.7%	0
Wyoming	(0.1)	0.9	-0.5	-2%	9%	-70%	1.0	5.8%	0
Franklin	0.6	0.7	-0.5	7%	9%	-62%	0.1	0.8%	0
Orleans	(0.1)	1.2	-0.4	-2%	13%	-61%	1.3	7.3%	0
Seneca	0.1	1.3	-0.4	2%	21%	-58%	1.2	8.2%	0
Schoharie	0.2	0.9	-0.4	4%	14%	-58%	0.7	4.7%	0
Lewis	0.3	0.6	-0.2	8%	10%	-54%	0.2	1.3%	0
Yates	0.2	0.7	-0.3	5%	15%	-66%	0.6	4.9%	0
Schuyler	0.2	0.7	-0.3	8%	18%	-64%	0.5	4.7%	0
Hamilton	0.1	0.1	-0.2	15%	6%	-76%	(0.0)	-1.5%	0