Dear Markos:
You have labeled discussions of
election fraud a "conspiracy theory" and at one time banned those who
posted on this topic. Thousands of
Kossacks believe that the 2004 election was stolen and you still call these
very astute posters “conspiracy theorists”. You claim there is no “proof” the election was stolen despite tons
of inferential and descriptive statistical evidence that have accumulated over
six years.
You do not consider exit poll anomalies to be sufficient “proof” of election fraud. But they are powerful circumstantial evidence beyond a reasonable doubt. The raw, precinct exit poll data that would strengthen the case even further is kept from public view (as always) by the National Election Pool consortium (CNN, Fox, NBC, AP, ABC, NY Times, Washington Post) that sponsors the exit polls.
Are you aware the National Election
Pool (NEP) has a stated policy that exit pollsters must force all state and
national exit polls to match the recorded vote?
The NEP claims it won’t release the raw precinct data because of the need to
maintain “voter confidentiality”. That is a transparent canard; the exit poll
respondents do not reveal names, so there is no confidentiality issue.
You have been critical of Research
2000, claiming they have been fraudulent and “without full transparency of
results”, this fraud would not have been uncovered. Inquiring minds want to
know why you now seek full transparency from Research 2000, yet have never
called on the NEP to release raw precinct data. You have often stated that
Daily Kos does "not allow conspiracy theories" due to "lack of proof", yet you give the NEP a
permanent pass.
In addition, you completely ignore
compelling testimony from computer security experts and programmers on how
Ohio’s votes were routed to remote, vulnerable servers in Tennessee. You must
be unaware of the conviction of election officials for miscounting votes in
Kentucky, rigging recounts in Ohio and robo-calling in New Hampshire.
In Dec. 2004, Kos poster Georgia-10 wrote this comprehensive compilation of election facts and anomalies:
In Response to
Armando’s Challenge: Eye On Ohio: The Informed Citizen's Guide to the 2004
Election
Georgia-10 quoted from a Democratic Underground post in which I listed thirteen implausible anomalies one had to accept to believe Bush won fairly:
To
Believe Bush Won, You Must Believe...
Georgia-10 also mentioned this probability calculation of mine:
“What are the chances that
the exit polls would be outside the margin of error in 16 out of 51 states
polled?
One
number-cruncher puts the odds at 1 out of 4.5 BILLION”.”
The probability turned out to be much lower than that. There was a minor input error in the Excel Binomial distribution function.
The probability was 1 in 19 trillion!
The Excel probability function =1-BINOMDIST
(15,50,0.025,TRUE)
But the calculation turned out to be too conservative.
At 12:40 am the
“composite” state exit polls used in the calculation were in the process
of being forced to match to a corrupt recorded vote count.
In fact, 29
unadjusted state exit polls exceeded the margin of error, all in favor of Bush.
The probability is as close to absolute zero as you can get!
The 2004 Election Incident Reporting System (EIRS) stated that there were 86 touchscreen incidents reported in which the vote switched from Kerry to Bush and just 2 in which a Bush vote switched to Kerry. Non-biased voting machines would normally show a nearly even (44/44) split.
The probability of an 86-2 split is 1 in
79,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.
That is 1 in 79 sextillion or 1 in 79 billion
trillion!
In the five presidential elections from 1988 to 2004, there were 238 state exit polls of which 66 exceeded the conservative 3% margin of error.
Of the 66 states in which the MoE was exceeded, 65
were in favor of the Republican!
At the 95% confidence level, one would expect that the MoE would be exceeded in about 12 states.
The
probability that the margin of error would be exceeded in 65 of the 238
state exit polls for the Republican is calculated using the Excel function
= BINOMDIST
(65,238,0.025,FALSE) = 1 in 43,729,463,568,632,100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000!
In
Sept. 2006, I posted statistical
evidence of election fraud at Daily Kos. You banned me
after just two weeks as a member. You
called my diaries "crap" on the front page of your site without
mentioning my name. At least you have not deleted my
posts. Thanks for that.
Do you still believe that there is
no “proof” that the election was stolen? Go to my site richardcharnin.com.
Read my book: Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes,
and the National Exit Poll
You have often said that election
fraud researchers are not part of the "reality-based community". But
you appear to be part of the unscientific, “faith-based” community of
Democratic politicians and a media that avoids discussing the “third rail”
subject of election fraud at all costs. The facts of the 2004 election theft
have been revealed in spades over the last six years and your head remains
buried in the sand.
Markos, do you also believe in
global cooling?