Reference Links

 

 

http://www.truthisall.net/

 

http://rigorousintuition.yuku.com/forum/viewtopic/id/845

 

The Unanswered Question: Who Really Won in 2004?

http://truthisall.net/EXIT_POLL_ANALYSIS/exit_poll_analysis.html

 

Naysayer Hobson’s Choice

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=380085&mesg_id=380085

 

The Clincher

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x379573

 

The Game

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x390193

 

Generic Polls

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=364x2775205

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x460141

 

Election Fraud Beginner’s Guide

http://www.organikrecords.com/corporatenewslies/beginner_v2.htm

 

 

Polling Data
 

2000 Election Exit Poll Statistics

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2000/epolls/US/P000.html

 
2004 National Pre-election Monthly Trend 
http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm

 

2004 NATIONAL EXIT POLL

4pm,  8349 respondents

 

7:33pm, 11027 respondents

 

1222am, 13047 respondents

 

2004 Final NEP, 1:25pm, 13660 respondents

(Matched to vote count)

 

2006 MIDTERMS

Unadjusted

http://www.ropercenter.uconn.edu/elections/common/exitpolls.html

 

Matched to recorded vote

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/US/H/00/epolls.0.html

 

2008 NATIONAL EXIT POLL – matched to recorded vote

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/

 

Harris Poll

http://www.harrisinteractive.com/harris_poll/index.asp?PID=515

 

Zogby Poll

http://fpc.state.gov/fpc/37588.htm

 

Who Are Likely Voters and When Do They Matter?

Gallup -Frank Newport

http://www.gallup.com/poll/109135/Who-Likely-Voters-When-They-Matter.aspx

2000 Election

http://josephc.tripod.com/miamiherald.html

 

Pew – 2004 Democratic party registration edge

http://people-press.org/commentary/?analysisid=95

 

Edison Media Research; Mitofsky International (January 19, 2005).

Evaluation of Edison/Mitofsky Election System 2004

http://www.ap.org/media/pdf/EvaluationEdisonMitofsky.pdf

 

Letter from Warren Mitofsky to John Conyers, Jr.

http://web.archive.org/web/20050521094237/http://www.house.gov/judiciary_democrats/mitofskyelecinforesp12704.pdf

 

Lenski Interview

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/joe_lenski_interview_part_1.php
 
US Count Votes

http://electionmathematics.org/ucvAnalysis/US/USCountVotes_Re_Mitofsky-Edison.pdf

 

2004 Forecasts

http://www.apsanet.org/imgtest/Into-2004Forecasts-Campbell.pdf

 

2008 Forecasts

Election Forecasters Preparing For Historic Election

International Journal of Forecasting

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/06/080623092530.htm

 

Real Clear Politics 2008

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

 

2004 Florida voter registration

http://election.dos.state.fl.us/voterreg/pdf/2004/2004pppParty.pdf

 

2004 Florida exit poll

http://www.exitpollz.org/florida_pres.pdf

 

 

Census Data

http://www.census.gov/population/www/socdemo/voting.html

http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/releases/archives/voting/004986.html

http://www.census.gov/prod/2006pubs/p20-556.pdf

http://www.census.gov/prod/2002pubs/p20-542.pdf

http://www.census.gov/Press-

 

setstats1

2000/2004 County Vote Database

http://www.RichardCharnin.com/CountyVoteDatabase.htm

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/vote2004/president.htm

 

Election Incident Reporting System (EIRS)

https://voteprotect.org/index.php?display=EIRMapNation&tab=ALL

 

Florida 2004 Registration

http://election.dos.state.fl.us/voterreg/pdf/2004/2004pppParty.pdf

 

2004 Presidential Election – Compendium of Attempts to Dismiss “Vote Fraud”

http://electionmathematics.org/ucvAnalysis/US/IncorrectElectionDataAnalysis-06.pdf

 

Ron Baiman: summary of the USCV/E-M and Liddle debate

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x371175

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x372464

 

The Pre-Election Polls of 1948: Report to the Committee on Analysis of Pre-Election Polls and Forecasts

by Frederick Mosteller

http://www.questia.com/PM.qst?a=o&d=8496542

 

Voting and Elections by Douglas W. Jones
T
HE UNIVERSITY OF IOWA Department of Computer Science

http://www.cs.uiowa.edu/~jones/voting/

http://www.questia.com/PM.qst?a=o&d=8496542

 

USA Today

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/usatodaypolls.htm 

 

Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project (November 11, 2004) (PDF). VOTING MACHINES AND THE UNDERESTIMATE OF THE BUSH VOTE

 http://www.vote.caltech.edu/media/documents/VotingMachines3.pdf

 

_______________________________________________________

 

Internet

 

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., Rolling Stone,

Was the 2004 Election Stolen? June 1, 2006

http://www.rollingstone.com/news/story/10432334/was_the_2004_election_stolen/print

 

Online Discussions on the RFK article

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x431741

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=2661019

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x431251

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=364x1429463

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x431596

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=2661019

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x431251

 

Michael Keefer

http://globalresearch.ca/articles/KEE411A.html

The Strange Death of American Democracy: Endgame in Ohio

http://globalresearch.ca/articles/KEE501A.html

 

Thom Hartmann

http://www.commondreams.org/headlines04/1106-30.htm

 

Jim Lampley

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jim-lampley/the-biggest-story-of-our-_b_576.html

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jim-lampley/revisiting-the-biggest-st_b_1619.html

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jim-lampley/the-emerging-democratic-m_b_1038.html

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jim-lampley/to-byron-york-and-other-o_b_728.html

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=369024

 

Robert C. Koehler
The silent scream of numbers
Tribune Media Services

http://commonwonders.com/archives/col290.htm

 

Dan Rather

http://www.hd.net/drr227.html

 

Programmer Clint Curtis's affidavit –  June 3, 2006

http://www.bradblog.com/Docs/ClintCurtis/CC_Affidavit_120604.pdf

 

Scoop 2006 Midterms

http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0610/S00377.htm

 

Greg Palast…Uncounted Votes

http://myvoices.blogs.com/blog/2006/06/greg_palast_abr.html

 

Ohio records destroyed in 56 of 88 counties
http://www.alternet.org/story/58328/
 

Exit polls: the latest Mystery Pollster blog - and my comments.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x178839

Exit poll response optimization model: bush needed 55.2% of refusers

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x374958

 

What is the exit poll response optimizer telling us about rbr?

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=375270

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x375366

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x374482#375015

 

Paul Lehto (Landshark)

My take on the TIA probability of so many errors favoring Bush threads

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x388864

 

Time for change

A non-statistician's view of the E-M exit poll controversy 

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=371726&mesg_id=371726

 

 Scoop: Election 2004: The Urban Legend

www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0706/S00165.htm

 http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/print.html?path=HL0606/S00119.ht

 

 

Steven F., Freeman (December 29, 2004) (PDF).

The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy

http://www.appliedresearch.us/sf/Documents/ExitPoll.pdf

http://organikrecords.com/corporatenewslies/UnexplainedExitPollDiscrepancy_1229.pdf

 

2004 Ballot Recount » Ohio County Reports » Cobb-LaMarche 2004

Kropko, M.R. (January 24, 2007), "Election Staff Convicted in Recount Rig

Washington Post, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/24/AR2007012401441.html

 

John Allen Paulos. Nov. 24, 2004

Final Tallies Minus Exit Polls = A Statistical Mystery!

http://www.math.temple.edu/%7Epaulos/exit.html

 

 Dr. Robert Fitrakis

Editor of the Columbus Free Press

www.fitrakis.org 

http://www.opednews.com/articles/genera_bob_fitr_071214_ohio_secretary_of_st.htm

 

Brad Friedman

http://www.bradblog.com/

 

Greg Palast, An Election Spoiled Rotten

www.gregpalast.com/2004

 

No Paper Trail Left Behind: The Theft of the 2004 Presidential Election

by Dennis Loo, Ph.D

http://www.thirdworldtraveler.com/Project%20Censored/Theft_2004_Pres_Election.html

 

Wayne Madsen

Grand Theft Election, November 5, 2004

onlinejournal.com/evoting/110504Madsen/110504madsen.html

 

Ruy Texeira

http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising

 

http://electionfraudblog.com/

http://www.votefraud.org/election2000_scam.htm

http://www.electionfraud2004.org/presentation/index.html

 

2006 Midterms- Landslide Denied

Jonathan Simon, JD, and Bruce O’Dell: Election Defense Alliance

http://electiondefensealliance.org/landslide_denied_exit_polls_vs_vote_count_2006

__________________________________________________________________

 

Corporate Media

 

New Woes Surface in Use of Estimates

By Richard Morin, Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, November 4, 2004; Page A29

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A23580-2004Nov3.html

 

Latest Conspiracy Theory -- Kerry Won -- Hits the Ether

By Manuel Roig-Franzia and Dan Keating

Washington Post Staff Writers
Thursday, November 11, 2004; Page A02

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A41106-2004Nov10.html

 

Ohio provisional ballot ruling reversed

USA Today, October 23, 2004

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/2004-10-23-ohio-ballots_x.htm

 

NY Times 2004 voter registration

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/09/26/politics/campaign/26vote.html?_r=1&oref=slogin

 

Reid, Chip (October 13, 2004), "Voter suppression charges on the rise” MSNBC

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6242175/

 

Ross, Brian (Oct. 27, 2004), Touch-Screen Trouble

ABC News, http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Vote2004/story?id=203866&page=1

 

2008 NY Primary – zero votes for Obama

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/16/nyregion/16vote.html?_r=1&oref=slogin

 

Moss, Michael (September 29, 2004),

"Hurdles Remain for American Voters Who Live Overseas”

 http://www.nytimes.com/2004/09/29/politics/campaign/29military.html

 

Morin, Richard (November 21, 2004), "Surveying the Damage

Washington Post, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A64906-2004Nov20.html

 

Rutenberg, Jim (November 5, 2004), "Report Says Problems Led to Skewed Surveying Data

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/11/05/politics/campaign/05poll.html

  

Report suggests changes in exit poll methodology

CNN, January 19, 2005, http://www.cnn.com/2005/ALLPOLITICS/01/19/exit.polls/index.html

  

New York Times

 “Electorate Expands but Remains Sharply Divided, Surveys Show” http://www.nytimes.com/2004/11/03/politics/campaign/03voices.html?_r=1&hp&ex=1099544400&en=f0708ceb11441e93&ei=5094&partner=homepage

 

Tom Zeller Jr., The New York Times

Vote Fraud Theories, Spread by Blogs, Are Quickly Buried

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/11/12/politics/12theory.html

 

November 12, 2004

Steve Rosenthal, Washington Post

Okay, We Lost Ohio. The Question Is, Why?

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A34157-2004Dec3.html

 

Dead Voters On Rolls, Other Glitches Found In 6 Key States, Geoff Dougherty, Chicago Tribune, December 4, 2004

Analysis of Alleged Fraud in Briefs Supporting Crawford Respondents

http://www.brennancenter.org/content/resource/analysis_of_alleged_fraud_in_briefs_supporting_crawford_respondents/

 

December 5, 2004

William Raspberry, Washington Post

Comments on problems with the 2004 election

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A61930-2005Jan9.html

 

November 11, 2004

Mark Hertsgaard, Mother Jones, Recounting Ohio

http://www.motherjones.com/arts/books/2005/11/recounting_ohio.html

 

Ted, Barrett (January 6, 2005), Bush carries Electoral College after delay

CNN, http://www.cnn.com/2005/ALLPOLITICS/01/06/electoral.vote/

 

Voting Problems in Ohio Spur Call for Overhaul

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/24/national/24vote.html

 

Powell, Michael; Slevin, Peter (December 15, 2004),

Several Factors Contributed to 'Lost' Voters in Ohio

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A64737-2004Dec14.html

 

Election Data Services Inc

Tokaji, Daniel (February 8, 2005),

How Did Ohio's Voting Equipment Fare in 2004?

http://moritzlaw.osu.edu/electionlaw/comments/2005/050208.php

 

June 1, 2006

Farhad Manjoo, Salon, Was the 2004 Election Stolen? No.

Critique of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s Rolling Stone Article

http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2006/06/03/kennedy/index.html

 

Critique of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s Rolling Stone Article

http://www.mysterypollster.com/main/2004/12/nbcs_shuster_on.htm

 

Blumenthal, Mark (November 15, 2004), Exit Polls: CalTech/MIT Report

 http://www.mysterypollster.com/main/2004/11/exit_polls_calt.html

 

Blumenthal, Mark (March 21, 2005), Hello Exit Polls My Old Friend

http://www.mysterypollster.com/main/2005/03/hello_exit_poll.html

 

__________________________________________________________________

 

U.S. Government

 

Kucinich, Dennis (November 10, 2004),

A Note On The Presidential Election in Ohio

http://www.commondreams.org/views04/1110-31.htm

 

Barbara, Boxer (January 6, 2005), Press Release of Senator Boxer: Statement On Her Objection To The Certification Of Ohio’s Electoral Votes

http://boxer.senate.gov/news/record.cfm?id=230450

 

Democratic National Committee: Institute of Voting Rights (2005),

Democracy At Risk: The 2004 Election in Ohio

DNC Services Corporation,

http://www.democrats.org/pdfs/ohvrireport/section02.pdf

 

Keith, Tamara (November 17, 2004),

"Election day lines caused by voting machine shortage and other factors”

http://www.publicbroadcasting.net/wosu/news.newsmain?action=article&ARTICLE_ID=708327

 

Hearing - 2004 election and the implementation of tthe Help America Vote Act

http://web.archive.org/web/20070407113643/http://cha.house.gov/hearings/Testimony.aspx?TID=676

 

Schneier, Bruce (November 10, 2004),

The Problem with Electronic Voting Machines

 http://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2004/11/the_problem_wit.html

 

U.S. Government Accountability Office.  September 2005

New Study Shows 50 Million Voters Will Use Electronic Voting Systems, 32 Million Still with Punch Cards in 2004

http://web.archive.org/web/20071008111501/http://www.edssurvey.com/images/File/VotingEquipStudies+/ve2004_news.pdf

 

 

An incumbent who can’t break 50 percent is in trouble, even if he’s ahead.

http://www.prospect.org/web/page.ww?section=root&name=ViewWeb&articleId=8694

 

Undecided voters break for the challenger.

http://unfutz.blogspot.com/2004/09/how-undecideds-break.html

 

Polling Data

http://www.pollingreport.com/2004.htm

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-battleground04.html

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/

http://www.economist.com/media/pdf/YouGovN.pdf

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

http://2.004k.com/latest/

 

 

Commentary and Analysis

http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/

http://members1.chello.nl/~a.horlings/doc-polls.html

http://unfutz.blogspot.com/

http://www.federalreview.com/

http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc.html