The
Truth about Elections: Not “Fit to Print”
The
NY Times and/or Nate Silver decided that my reply to Silver’s blog was news
that was not fit to print. They deleted it 15 minutes after it was posted in
response to:
This
was my post:
Nate,
You
gauge polling accuracy by comparing the average results to the recorded vote.
You should at some point acknowledge that final LV poll projections have been
accurate in matching fraudulent vote shares and that the recorded vote is never
equal to the True Vote due to systemic Election Fraud.
In
fact, final RV poll projections (adjusted for allocation of undecided voters)
have closely matched the unadjusted and preliminary exit polls that exposed the
fraudulent 2004, 2006 and 2008 elections. In each election, the Final National
Exit Poll (which is always FORCED to match the recorded vote) required more
returning Bush voters from the prior election than were alive in 2004 and 2008.
But
you never mention the F-word. The fraud component is included in my 2010
Midterms House and Senate Forecast Model:
http://richardcharnin.com/2010ElectionForecastModels.htm
For
the record, my 2004 Pre-Election Model Monte Carlo simulation gave Kerry 52%
and 337 electoral votes, matching the 114,000 sample aggregate of the
unadjusted state exit polls. The Final 2004 National Exit Poll required 6
million more returning Bush 2000 voters than were living in 2004.
Proof:
Bush
had 50.45 million votes in 2000; the Final 2004 NEP indicated that there were
52.6 million returning Bush voters. Given 1.25% annual voter mortality and
assuming 97% turnout of living Bush 2000 voters, there could have been no more
than 46 million returning Bush voters. So we have over six million Bush
phantoms.
Kerry
won the 2004 True Vote by nearly 10 million. Yet Rasmussen had a high ranking
from you a few years ago based on the close match of his
In
2008, the Election Model predicted 53.1% for Obama (he had 52.9% recorded) and
exactly matched his 365 EV. But it was wrong. The post-election True
Vote model (based on the Final 2008 National Exit poll with a feasible
returning voter mix) indicated that he had 57-58% and nearly 420 EV.
Proof:
The
Final 2008 NEP required an impossible 12 million more returning Bush than Kerry
voters to match the recorded vote. Bush won the bogus 2004 recorded vote by 3
million. He had 22% approval on Election Day 2008. So where did all those
millions of phantom Bush voters come from? Based on the True 2004 vote, there
were 10 million MORE returning Kerry voters than Bush voters.
View
the full proof here: http://richardcharnin.com/ObamaProof.htm