Wisconsin Vote Recount and Historical Data Analysis

 

Richard Charnin (TruthIsAll)

 

 

The 1988-2008 True Vote Model

Analyze national and state presidential elections. It is a comprehensive, yet easy-to-use spreadsheet that runs in the Google “Cloud”. Excel is not required – anyone can run it.

View tables and a trend graph of state and national Exit Poll and True Vote discrepancies from the recorded vote.

https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=tpsLLEzC1Ccb7FsEN-EgZhQ#gid=0

 

1988-2008 Wisconsin Presidential True Vote Analysis

http://richardcharnin.com/TrueVoteModelWisconsin.htm

 

Wisconsin vs. Oregon

1988-2008 Presidential elections

The average Democratic recorded margin was 5.5% in Wisconsin and 6.3% in Oregon.

Note how closely the WI and OR recorded shares match in each election.

 

Unadjusted Exit Polls

In 1998 Oregon switched to an all paper ballot (delivered in person or mail), so there were no exit polls.

In 2008, the National Election Pool did not release unadjusted or preliminary exit polls - only the finals.

As we all know, ALL FINAL EXIT POLLS ARE ALWAYS FORCED TO MATCH THE RECORDED VOTE.

 

Note the large exit poll discrepancies from the recorded vote in Oregon in 1988-1992.

In 1992, Oregon had the highest exit poll discrepancy in the nation. Maybe that’s why they changed to 100% paper in1998.

In 2004, Kerry had a 2.4% lower recorded vote share in WI than the exit poll. Wonder why? HAVA drink.

 

2010 Senate

Wisconsin: Russ Finegold, a well-regarded progressive incumbent, lost re-election by 52-47%.

Oregon: Ron Wyden, a well-regarded progressive incumbent, won re-election by 57-41%.

That is a 21% net difference in margin.

Wyden’s winning margin matched Obama in Oregon.

 

This is a comparative analysis of Oregon vs. the Battleground states: http://richardcharnin.com/OregonVotingSystem.htm

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wisconsin vs. Oregon 1988-2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Democratic Presidential Election Recorded Vote Shares (%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average 1988-2000

 

Recorded

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

 

Dem

GOP

Margin

WI

51.4

41.1

48.8

47.8

49.7

56.2

 

49.2

43.7

5.5

OR

51.3

42.5

47.2

47.0

51.3

56.7

 

49.3

42.0

7.3

Diff

0.1

(1.4)

1.6

0.8

(1.6)

(0.5)

 

(0.2)

1.7

 

Exit Poll

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average 1988-1996

 

WI

50.3

42.4

50.2

46.6

52.1

na

 

47.6

 

 

OR

55.0

49.3

48.4

na

na

na

 

50.9

 

 

Diff

(4.7)

(6.9)

1.8

na

na

na

 

(3.27)

 

 

Rec-Exit

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Exit Poll Deviation

WI

1.1

(1.3)

(1.4)

1.2

(2.4)

na

 

(0.56)

 

 

OR

(3.7)

(6.8)

(1.2)

na

na

na

 

(3.90)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010 Senate

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Finegold

47

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wyden

57

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diff

(10.0)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Presidential Election vs. 2011 Wisconsin Supreme Court Election

 

Prosser leads by 7,000 out of nearly 1.5 million votes.

In 2008, Obama had 56.2% of the recorded vote, a 415,000 vote margin out of nearly 3 million votes.

 

Considering the heavy union turnout, how did Kloppenburg’s vote share decline by 6.5% from Obama’s?

Kloppenburg did better than Obama in 10 small counties (total 50,000 votes) but worse in 10 large counties (550,000 votes).

 

In Milwaukee County, Obama had 67.3%, Kloppenburg 56.4% of 229,000 votes. Why the 10.9% decline?

In Waukesha County, Obama had 36.6%, Kloppenburg 26.2% of 125,000 votes. Why the 10.4% decline?

 

In Waukesha, McCain defeated Obama by 59,813 votes out of 233,435 recorded.

Prosser defeated Kloppenburg by a nearly identical 59,505 votes out of just 125,070.

Quite a gain.

 

Amazing: 50 Consecutive Prosser Base Hits

 

A recount observer claimed that there were 50 consecutive ballots for Prosser in a city where Kloppenburg had 75%.

If true, it is absolute mathematical proof of fraud.

 

The simple probability calculation:

Prob = 0.25 ^ 50 or 1 in 1,267,650,600,228,230,000,000,000,000,000 !!! 

 

The probability is the same as that of a baseball player with a .250 BA getting 50 consecutive base hits.

The all-time record for consecutive base hits in major league baseball history is 12. Walt Dropo of the Boston Red Sox did it back in 1950.

There has never been anything close to 50 consecutive base hits. It has never happened - and never will.

 

The 50 consecutive Prosser ballots could not have happened by accident.

There you go. So what is the explanation? So how did it happen? 

 

Table 1

Kloppenburg County Vote Share vs. Obama 

 

The following graph shows that Kloppenburg improved over Obama’s 2008 vote share in small counties, but did worse in large counties.

In progressive Dane County, Kloppenburg’s vote share improved by just 0.5% over Obama.

Contrast Dane with heavily Democratic Milwaukee County where Obama had 67.3% and Kloppenburg had just 56.4% - a 10.9% decline.

In Republican Waukesha County, Obama had 36.6% and Kloppenburg just 26.2% - a 10.4% decline.

Kloppenburg’s total WI vote share declined by 6.5% from Obama.

 

http://richardcharnin.com/WI2008Cty_11462_image001.png

 

 

http://elections.state.wi.us/docview.asp?docid=15385&locid=47                                        http://gab.wi.gov/sites/default/files/County%20results_4.5.11.supreme_recount%20pending.pdf

 

                                                                                                Correlation                            

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

vs Obama

 

Kloppencurg

0.97

 

Prosser  

0.86

Other

0.91

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

vsMcCain

 

Kloppenburg

0.77

 

Prosser

1.00

Other

0.74

 

Correlation

1.00

0.98

0.10

0.94

-0.09

0.99

-0.21

 

Total

0.96

0.06

-0.07

0.93

-0.06

0.83

0.34

 

County

 Total

 Obama

 

McCain

 

   Other

 

     Ratio

  Total

  Kloppenburg

        Chg

   Prosser

 

      Other

 

 

2,983,417

1,677,211

56.2%

1,262,393

42.3%

43,813

1.5%

50.24%

1,498,880

745,007

49.70%

-6.5%

752,323

50.19%

1,550

0.10%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Adams

9,986

5,806

58.1%

3,974

39.8%

206

2.1%

49.64%

4,957

2,557

51.6%

-6.6%

2,393

48.3%

7

0.14%

Ashland

8,574

5,818

67.9%

2,634

30.7%

122

1.4%

54.26%

4,652

3,266

70.2%

2.4%

1,383

29.7%

3

0.06%

Barron

22,886

12,078

52.8%

10,457

45.7%

351

1.5%

40.86%

9,352

4,640

49.6%

-3.2%

4,709

50.4%

3

0.03%

Bayfield

9,468

5,972

63.1%

3,365

35.5%

131

1.4%

62.44%

5,912

3,954

66.9%

3.8%

1,957

33.1%

1

0.02%

Brown

124,754

67,269

53.9%

55,854

44.8%

1631

1.3%

48.60%

60,628

27,207

44.9%

-9.0%

33,319

55.0%

102

0.17%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Buffalo

7,000

3,949

56.4%

2,923

41.8%

128

1.8%

47.10%

3,297

1,608

48.8%

-7.6%

1,686

51.1%

3

0.09%

Burnett

8,688

4,337

49.9%

4,200

48.3%

151

1.7%

41.55%

3,610

1,659

46.0%

-4.0%

1,950

54.0%

1

0.03%

Calumet

26,474

13,295

50.2%

12,722

48.1%

457

1.7%

45.88%

12,147

4,643

38.2%

-12.0%

7,500

61.7%

4

0.03%

Chippewa

30,231

16,239

53.7%

13,492

44.6%

500

1.7%

46.61%

14,090

7,221

51.2%

-2.5%

6,856

48.7%

13

0.09%

Clark

14,187

7,454

52.5%

6,383

45.0%

350

2.5%

52.14%

7,397

3,065

41.4%

-11.1%

4,327

58.5%

5

0.07%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Columbia

29,272

16,661

56.9%

12,193

41.7%

418

1.4%

55.60%

16,275

8,959

55.0%

-1.9%

7,302

44.9%

14

0.09%

Crawford

7,981

4,987

62.5%

2,830

35.5%

164

2.1%

51.59%

4,117

2,428

59.0%

-3.5%

1,689

41.0%

0

0.00%

Dane

282,939

205,984

72.8%

73,065

25.8%

3890

1.4%

64.43%

182,305

133,565

73.3%

0.5%

48,636

26.7%

104

0.06%

Dodge

42,823

19,183

44.8%

23,015

53.7%

625

1.5%

51.15%

21,904

8,519

38.9%

-5.9%

13,374

61.1%

11

0.05%

Door

17,481

10,142

58.0%

7,112

40.7%

227

1.3%

56.51%

9,878

4,662

47.2%

-10.8%

5,200

52.6%

16

0.16%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Douglas

24,066

15,830

65.8%

7,835

32.6%

401

1.7%

51.92%

12,494

8,674

69.4%

3.6%

3,814

30.5%

6

0.05%

Dunn

22,989

13,002

56.6%

9,566

41.6%

421

1.8%

40.18%

9,237

5,158

55.8%

-0.7%

4,075

44.1%

4

0.04%

EauClaire

55,010

33,146

60.3%

20,959

38.1%

905

1.6%

49.80%

27,395

15,919

58.1%

-2.1%

11,416

41.7%

60

0.22%

Florence

2,685

1,134

42.2%

1,512

56.3%

39

1.5%

47.75%

1,282

483

37.7%

-4.6%

799

62.3%

0

0.00%

FonduLac

52,323

23,463

44.8%

28,164

53.8%

696

1.3%

49.92%

26,121

10,180

39.0%

-5.9%

15,931

61.0%

10

0.04%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Forest

4,683

2,673

57.1%

1,963

41.9%

47

1.0%

58.27%

2,729

1,196

43.8%

-13.3%

1,531

56.1%

2

0.07%

Grant

24,320

14,875

61.2%

9,068

37.3%

377

1.6%

41.06%

9,986

5,697

57.0%

-4.1%

4,283

42.9%

6

0.06%

Green

18,534

11,502

62.1%

6,730

36.3%

302

1.6%

58.06%

10,761

5,860

54.5%

-7.6%

4,883

45.4%

18

0.17%

GreenLake

9,536

4,000

41.9%

5,393

56.6%

143

1.5%

61.09%

5,826

2,049

35.2%

-6.8%

3,777

64.8%

0

0.00%

Iowa

11,969

7,987

66.7%

3,829

32.0%

153

1.3%

53.29%

6,378

3,919

61.4%

-5.3%

2,455

38.5%

4

0.06%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Iron

3,432

1,914

55.8%

1,464

42.7%

54

1.6%

49.45%

1,697

937

55.2%

-0.6%

760

44.8%

0

0.00%

Jackson

9,251

5,572

60.2%

3,552

38.4%

127

1.4%

53.08%

4,910

2,686

54.7%

-5.5%

2,224

45.3%

0

0.00%

Jefferson

43,166

21,448

49.7%

21,096

48.9%

622

1.4%

53.31%

23,013

9,741

42.3%

-7.4%

13,239

57.5%

33

0.14%

Juneau

11,530

6,186

53.7%

5,148

44.6%

196

1.7%

45.40%

5,235

2,696

51.5%

-2.2%

2,534

48.4%

5

0.10%

Kenosha

78,789

45,836

58.2%

31,609

40.1%

1344

1.7%

38.90%

30,651

16,207

52.9%

-5.3%

14,388

46.9%

56

0.18%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Kewaunee

10,787

5,902

54.7%

4,711

43.7%

174

1.6%

53.22%

5,741

2,405

41.9%

-12.8%

3,331

58.0%

5

0.09%

LaCrosse

63,218

38,524

60.9%

23,701

37.5%

993

1.6%

46.69%

29,518

17,379

58.9%

-2.1%

12,124

41.1%

15

0.05%

Lafayette

7,831

4,732

60.4%

2,984

38.1%

115

1.5%

53.84%

4,216

2,185

51.8%

-8.6%

2,030

48.1%

1

0.02%

Langlade

10,402

5,182

49.8%

5,081

48.8%

139

1.3%

43.82%

4,558

1,895

41.6%

-8.2%

2,663

58.4%

0

0.00%

Lincoln

15,268

8,424

55.2%

6,519

42.7%

325

2.1%

46.76%

7,139

3,549

49.7%

-5.5%

3,578

50.1%

12

0.17%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Manitowoc

42,414

22,428

52.9%

19,234

45.3%

752

1.8%

47.09%

19,971

7,752

38.8%

-14.1%

12,211

61.1%

8

0.04%

Marathon

67,940

36,367

53.5%

30,345

44.7%

1228

1.8%

47.09%

31,990

14,823

46.3%

-7.2%

17,131

53.6%

36

0.11%

Marinette

21,255

11,195

52.7%

9,726

45.8%

334

1.6%

42.64%

9,064

4,083

45.0%

-7.6%

4,980

54.9%

1

0.01%

Marquette

7,846

4,068

51.8%

3,654

46.6%

124

1.6%

50.33%

3,949

1,726

43.7%

-8.1%

2,220

56.2%

3

0.08%

Menominee

1,448

1,257

86.8%

185

12.8%

6

0.4%

26.38%

382

241

63.1%

-23.7%

141

36.9%

0

0.00%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Milwaukee

475,192

319,819

67.3%

149,445

31.4%

5928

1.2%

48.18%

228,954

129,042

56.4%

-10.9%

99,342

43.4%

570

0.25%

Monroe

19,152

10,198

53.2%

8,666

45.2%

288

1.5%

48.13%

9,218

4,692

50.9%

-2.3%

4,512

48.9%

14

0.15%

Oconto

18,968

9,927

52.3%

8,755

46.2%

286

1.5%

47.81%

9,068

3,859

42.6%

-9.8%

5,206

57.4%

3

0.03%

Oneida

21,927

11,907

54.3%

9,630

43.9%

390

1.8%

48.64%

10,665

5,135

48.1%

-6.2%

5,515

51.7%

15

0.14%

Outagamie

91,563

50,294

54.9%

39,677

43.3%

1592

1.7%

47.70%

43,673

18,878

43.2%

-11.7%

24,769

56.7%

26

0.06%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ozaukee

53,365

20,579

38.6%

32,172

60.3%

614

1.2%

54.64%

29,157

8,296

28.5%

-10.1%

20,845

71.5%

16

0.05%

Pepin

3,771

2,102

55.7%

1,616

42.9%

53

1.4%

49.46%

1,865

983

52.7%

-3.0%

882

47.3%

0

0.00%

Pierce

22,107

11,803

53.4%

9,812

44.4%

492

2.2%

40.55%

8,964

4,904

54.7%

1.3%

4,053

45.2%

7

0.08%

Polk

22,643

10,876

48.0%

11,282

49.8%

485

2.1%

40.21%

9,104

4,438

48.7%

0.7%

4,662

51.2%

4

0.04%

Portage

39,422

24,817

63.0%

13,810

35.0%

795

2.0%

51.45%

20,283

12,140

59.9%

-3.1%

8,121

40.0%

22

0.11%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price

8,194

4,559

55.6%

3,461

42.2%

174

2.1%

51.16%

4,192

2,025

48.3%

-7.3%

2,165

51.6%

2

0.05%

Racine

100,642

53,408

53.1%

45,954

45.7%

1280

1.3%

50.45%

50,772

22,518

44.4%

-8.7%

28,204

55.6%

50

0.10%

Richland

8,450

5,041

59.7%

3,298

39.0%

111

1.3%

47.14%

3,983

2,186

54.9%

-4.8%

1,797

45.1%

0

0.00%

Rock

79,169

50,529

63.8%

27,364

34.6%

1276

1.6%

46.48%

36,797

22,145

60.2%

-3.6%

14,626

39.7%

26

0.07%

Rusk

7,272

3,855

53.0%

3,253

44.7%

164

2.3%

56.83%

4,133

1,941

47.0%

-6.0%

2,189

53.0%

3

0.07%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sauk

30,626

18,617

60.8%

11,562

37.8%

447

1.5%

53.44%

16,367

9,188

56.1%

-4.7%

7,171

43.8%

8

0.05%

Sawyer

9,085

4,765

52.4%

4,199

46.2%

121

1.3%

46.03%

4,182

2,059

49.2%

-3.2%

2,122

50.7%

1

0.02%

Shawano

20,089

10,259

51.1%

9,538

47.5%

292

1.5%

45.56%

9,152

3,613

39.5%

-11.6%

5,534

60.5%

5

0.05%

Sheboygan

62,107

30,395

48.9%

30,801

49.6%

911

1.5%

49.85%

30,961

11,411

36.9%

-12.1%

19,534

63.1%

16

0.05%

St. Croix

44,821

21,177

47.2%

22,837

51.0%

807

1.8%

36.22%

16,235

7,953

49.0%

1.7%

8,272

51.0%

10

0.06%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Taylor

9,346

4,563

48.8%

4,586

49.1%

197

2.1%

63.65%

5,949

2,290

38.5%

-10.3%

3,652

61.4%

7

0.12%

Trempealeau

13,314

8,321

62.5%

4,808

36.1%

185

1.4%

46.67%

6,214

3,330

53.6%

-8.9%

2,878

46.3%

6

0.10%

Vernon

14,075

8,463

60.1%

5,367

38.1%

245

1.7%

56.21%

7,911

4,331

54.7%

-5.4%

3,578

45.2%

2

0.03%

Vilas

13,750

6,491

47.2%

7,055

51.3%

204

1.5%

51.14%

7,032

2,820

40.1%

-7.1%

4,204

59.8%

8

0.11%

Walworth

50,422

24,177

47.9%

25,485

50.5%

760

1.5%

46.01%

23,197

8,930

38.5%

-9.5%

14,236

61.4%

31

0.13%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Washburn

9,112

4,693

51.5%

4,303

47.2%

116

1.3%

51.84%

4,724

2,453

51.9%

0.4%

2,270

48.1%

1

0.02%

Washington

74,411

25,719

34.6%

47,729

64.1%

963

1.3%

54.69%

40,693

9,902

24.3%

-10.2%

30,777

75.6%

14

0.03%

Waukesha

232,897

85,339

36.6%

145,152

62.3%

2406

1.0%

53.70%

125,070

32,758

26.2%

-10.5%

92,263

73.8%

49

0.04%

Waupaca

25,511

12,952

50.8%

12,232

47.9%

327

1.3%

47.63%

12,150

4,938

40.6%

-10.1%

7,205

59.3%

7

0.06%

Waushara

11,849

5,868

49.5%

5,770

48.7%

211

1.8%

48.09%

5,698

2,300

40.4%

-9.2%

3,395

59.6%

3

0.05%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Winnebago

87,677

48,167

54.9%

37,946

43.3%

1564

1.8%

45.20%

39,628

18,887

47.7%

-7.3%

20,701

52.2%

40

0.10%

Wood

39,052

21,710

55.6%

16,581

42.5%

761

1.9%

46.41%

18,125

9,269

51.1%

-4.5%

8,844

48.8%

12

0.07%

 

 

 

 

Table 2

Kloppenburg County Vote Share vs. Obama - Sorted by Percentage Change

 

County

 Total

 Obama

    

 McCain

 

     Other

 

    Ratio

  Total

   Kloppenburg

       Chg

  Prosser

 

   Other

 

 

2,983,417

1,677,211

56.2%

1,262,393

42.3%

43,813

1.5%

50.24%

1,498,880

745,007

49.70%

-6.5%

752,323

50.19%

1,550

0.10%

 

 

Bayfield

9,468

5,972

63.1%

3,365

35.5%

131

1.4%

62.44%

5,912

3,954

66.9%

3.8%

1,957

33.1%

1

0.02%

 

Douglas

24,066

15,830

65.8%

7,835

32.6%

401

1.7%

51.92%

12,494

8,674

69.4%

3.6%

3,814

30.5%

6

0.05%

 

Ashland

8,574

5,818

67.9%

2,634

30.7%

122

1.4%

54.26%

4,652

3,266

70.2%

2.4%

1,383

29.7%

3

0.06%

 

St. Croix

44,821

21,177

47.2%

22,837

51.0%

807

1.8%

36.22%

16,235

7,953

49.0%

1.7%

8,272

51.0%

10

0.06%

 

Pierce

22,107

11,803

53.4%

9,812

44.4%

492

2.2%

40.55%

8,964

4,904

54.7%

1.3%

4,053

45.2%

7

0.08%

 

 

Polk

22,643

10,876

48.0%

11,282

49.8%

485

2.1%

40.21%

9,104

4,438

48.7%

0.7%

4,662

51.2%

4

0.04%

 

Dane

282,939

205,984

72.8%

73,065

25.8%

3890

1.4%

64.43%

182,305

133,565

73.3%

0.5%

48,636

26.7%

104

0.06%

 

Washburn

9,112

4,693

51.5%

4,303

47.2%

116

1.3%

51.84%

4,724

2,453

51.9%

0.4%

2,270

48.1%

1

0.02%

 

Iron

3,432

1,914

55.8%

1,464

42.7%

54

1.6%

49.45%

1,697

937

55.2%

-0.6%

760

44.8%

0

0.00%

 

Dunn

22,989

13,002

56.6%

9,566

41.6%

421

1.8%

40.18%

9,237

5,158

55.8%

-0.7%

4,075

44.1%

4

0.04%

 

 

Columbia

29,272

16,661

56.9%

12,193

41.7%

418

1.4%

55.60%

16,275

8,959

55.0%

-1.9%

7,302

44.9%

14

0.09%

 

La Crosse

63,218

38,524

60.9%

23,701

37.5%

993

1.6%

46.69%

29,518

17,379

58.9%

-2.1%

12,124

41.1%

15

0.05%

 

Eau Claire

55,010

33,146

60.3%

20,959

38.1%

905

1.6%

49.80%

27,395

15,919

58.1%

-2.1%

11,416

41.7%

60

0.22%

 

Juneau

11,530

6,186

53.7%

5,148

44.6%

196

1.7%

45.40%

5,235

2,696

51.5%

-2.2%

2,534

48.4%

5

0.10%

 

Monroe

19,152

10,198

53.2%

8,666

45.2%

288

1.5%

48.13%

9,218

4,692

50.9%

-2.3%

4,512

48.9%

14

0.15%

 

 

Chippewa

30,231

16,239

53.7%

13,492

44.6%

500

1.7%

46.61%

14,090

7,221

51.2%

-2.5%

6,856

48.7%

13

0.09%

 

Pepin

3,771

2,102

55.7%

1,616

42.9%

53

1.4%

49.46%

1,865

983

52.7%

-3.0%

882

47.3%

0

0.00%

 

Portage

39,422

24,817

63.0%

13,810

35.0%

795

2.0%

51.45%

20,283

12,140

59.9%

-3.1%

8,121

40.0%

22

0.11%

 

Barron

22,886

12,078

52.8%

10,457

45.7%

351

1.5%

40.86%

9,352

4,640

49.6%

-3.2%

4,709

50.4%

3

0.03%

 

Sawyer

9,085

4,765

52.4%

4,199

46.2%

121

1.3%

46.03%

4,182

2,059

49.2%

-3.2%

2,122

50.7%

1

0.02%

 

 

Crawford

7,981

4,987

62.5%

2,830

35.5%

164

2.1%

51.59%

4,117

2,428

59.0%

-3.5%

1,689

41.0%

0

0.00%

 

Rock

79,169

50,529

63.8%

27,364

34.6%

1276

1.6%

46.48%

36,797

22,145

60.2%

-3.6%

14,626

39.7%

26

0.07%

 

Burnett

8,688

4,337

49.9%

4,200

48.3%

151

1.7%

41.55%

3,610

1,659

46.0%

-4.0%

1,950

54.0%

1

0.03%

 

Grant

24,320

14,875

61.2%

9,068

37.3%

377

1.6%

41.06%

9,986

5,697

57.0%

-4.1%

4,283

42.9%

6

0.06%

 

Wood

39,052

21,710

55.6%

16,581

42.5%

761

1.9%

46.41%

18,125

9,269

51.1%

-4.5%

8,844

48.8%

12

0.07%

 

 

Florence

2,685

1,134

42.2%

1,512

56.3%

39

1.5%

47.75%

1,282

483

37.7%

-4.6%

799

62.3%

0

0.00%

 

Sauk

30,626

18,617

60.8%

11,562

37.8%

447

1.5%

53.44%

16,367

9,188

56.1%

-4.7%

7,171

43.8%

8

0.05%

 

Richland

8,450

5,041

59.7%

3,298

39.0%

111

1.3%

47.14%

3,983

2,186

54.9%

-4.8%

1,797

45.1%

0

0.00%

 

Iowa

11,969

7,987

66.7%

3,829

32.0%

153

1.3%

53.29%

6,378

3,919

61.4%

-5.3%

2,455

38.5%

4

0.06%

 

Kenosha

78,789

45,836

58.2%

31,609

40.1%

1344

1.7%

38.90%

30,651

16,207

52.9%

-5.3%

14,388

46.9%

56

0.18%

 

 

Vernon

14,075

8,463

60.1%

5,367

38.1%

245

1.7%

56.21%

7,911

4,331

54.7%

-5.4%

3,578

45.2%

2

0.03%

 

Lincoln

15,268

8,424

55.2%

6,519

42.7%

325

2.1%

46.76%

7,139

3,549

49.7%

-5.5%

3,578

50.1%

12

0.17%

 

Jackson

9,251

5,572

60.2%

3,552

38.4%

127

1.4%

53.08%

4,910

2,686

54.7%

-5.5%

2,224

45.3%

0

0.00%

 

Fondu Lac

52,323

23,463

44.8%

28,164

53.8%

696

1.3%

49.92%

26,121

10,180

39.0%

-5.9%

15,931

61.0%

10

0.04%

 

Dodge

42,823

19,183

44.8%

23,015

53.7%

625

1.5%

51.15%

21,904

8,519

38.9%

-5.9%

13,374

61.1%

11

0.05%

 

 

Rusk

7,272

3,855

53.0%

3,253

44.7%

164

2.3%

56.83%

4,133

1,941

47.0%

-6.0%

2,189

53.0%

3

0.07%

 

Oneida

21,927

11,907

54.3%

9,630

43.9%

390

1.8%

48.64%

10,665

5,135

48.1%

-6.2%

5,515

51.7%

15

0.14%

 

Adams

9,986

5,806

58.1%

3,974

39.8%

206

2.1%

49.64%

4,957

2,557

51.6%

-6.6%

2,393

48.3%

7

0.14%

 

Green Lake

9,536

4,000

41.9%

5,393

56.6%

143

1.5%

61.09%

5,826

2,049

35.2%

-6.8%

3,777

64.8%

0

0.00%

 

Vilas

13,750

6,491

47.2%

7,055

51.3%

204

1.5%

51.14%

7,032

2,820

40.1%

-7.1%

4,204

59.8%

8

0.11%

 

 

Marathon

67,940

36,367

53.5%

30,345

44.7%

1228

1.8%

47.09%

31,990

14,823

46.3%

-7.2%

17,131

53.6%

36

0.11%

 

Winnebago

87,677

48,167

54.9%

37,946

43.3%

1564

1.8%

45.20%

39,628

18,887

47.7%

-7.3%

20,701

52.2%

40

0.10%

 

Price

8,194

4,559

55.6%

3,461

42.2%

174

2.1%

51.16%

4,192

2,025

48.3%

-7.3%

2,165

51.6%

2

0.05%

 

Jefferson

43,166

21,448

49.7%

21,096

48.9%

622

1.4%

53.31%

23,013

9,741

42.3%

-7.4%

13,239

57.5%

33

0.14%

 

Green

18,534

11,502

62.1%

6,730

36.3%

302

1.6%

58.06%

10,761

5,860

54.5%

-7.6%

4,883

45.4%

18

0.17%

 

 

Marinette

21,255

11,195

52.7%

9,726

45.8%

334

1.6%

42.64%

9,064

4,083

45.0%

-7.6%

4,980

54.9%

1

0.01%

 

Buffalo

7,000

3,949

56.4%

2,923

41.8%

128

1.8%

47.10%

3,297

1,608

48.8%

-7.6%

1,686

51.1%

3

0.09%

 

Marquette

7,846

4,068

51.8%

3,654

46.6%

124

1.6%

50.33%

3,949

1,726

43.7%

-8.1%

2,220

56.2%

3

0.08%

 

Langlade

10,402

5,182

49.8%

5,081

48.8%

139

1.3%

43.82%

4,558

1,895

41.6%

-8.2%

2,663

58.4%

0

0.00%

 

Lafayette

7,831

4,732

60.4%

2,984

38.1%

115

1.5%

53.84%

4,216

2,185

51.8%

-8.6%

2,030

48.1%

1

0.02%

 

 

Racine

100,642

53,408

53.1%

45,954

45.7%

1280

1.3%

50.45%

50,772

22,518

44.4%

-8.7%

28,204

55.6%

50

0.10%

 

Trempealeau

13,314

8,321

62.5%

4,808

36.1%

185

1.4%

46.67%

6,214

3,330

53.6%

-8.9%

2,878

46.3%

6

0.10%

 

Brown

124,754

67,269

53.9%

55,854

44.8%

1631

1.3%

48.60%

60,628

27,207

44.9%

-9.0%

33,319

55.0%

102

0.17%

 

Waushara

11,849

5,868

49.5%

5,770

48.7%

211

1.8%

48.09%

5,698

2,300

40.4%

-9.2%

3,395

59.6%

3

0.05%

 

Walworth

50,422

24,177

47.9%

25,485

50.5%

760

1.5%

46.01%

23,197

8,930

38.5%

-9.5%

14,236

61.4%

31

0.13%

 

 

Oconto

18,968

9,927

52.3%

8,755

46.2%

286

1.5%

47.81%

9,068

3,859

42.6%

-9.8%

5,206

57.4%

3

0.03%

 

Ozaukee

53,365

20,579

38.6%

32,172

60.3%

614

1.2%

54.64%

29,157

8,296

28.5%

-10.1%

20,845

71.5%

16

0.05%

 

Waupaca

25,511

12,952

50.8%

12,232

47.9%

327

1.3%

47.63%

12,150

4,938

40.6%

-10.1%

7,205

59.3%

7

0.06%

 

Washington

74,411

25,719

34.6%

47,729

64.1%

963

1.3%

54.69%

40,693

9,902

24.3%

-10.2%

30,777

75.6%

14

0.03%

 

Taylor

9,346

4,563

48.8%

4,586

49.1%

197

2.1%

63.65%

5,949

2,290

38.5%

-10.3%

3,652

61.4%

7

0.12%

 

 

Waukesha

232,897

85,339

36.6%

145,152

62.3%

2406

1.0%

53.70%

125,070

32,758

26.2%

-10.5%

92,263

73.8%

49

0.04%

 

Door

17,481

10,142

58.0%

7,112

40.7%

227

1.3%

56.51%

9,878

4,662

47.2%

-10.8%

5,200

52.6%

16

0.16%

 

Milwaukee

475,192

319,819

67.3%

149,445

31.4%

5928

1.2%

48.18%

228,954

129,042

56.4%

-10.9%

99,342

43.4%

570

0.25%

 

Clark

14,187

7,454

52.5%

6,383

45.0%

350

2.5%

52.14%

7,397

3,065

41.4%

-11.1%

4,327

58.5%

5

0.07%

 

Shawano

20,089

10,259

51.1%

9,538

47.5%

292

1.5%

45.56%

9,152

3,613

39.5%

-11.6%

5,534

60.5%

5

0.05%

 

 

Outagamie

91,563

50,294

54.9%

39,677

43.3%

1592

1.7%

47.70%

43,673

18,878

43.2%

-11.7%

24,769

56.7%

26

0.06%

 

Calumet

26,474

13,295

50.2%

12,722

48.1%

457

1.7%

45.88%

12,147

4,643

38.2%

-12.0%

7,500

61.7%

4

0.03%

 

Sheboygan

62,107

30,395

48.9%

30,801

49.6%

911

1.5%

49.85%

30,961

11,411

36.9%

-12.1%

19,534

63.1%

16

0.05%

 

Kewaunee

10,787

5,902

54.7%

4,711

43.7%

174

1.6%

53.22%

5,741

2,405

41.9%

-12.8%

3,331

58.0%

5

0.09%

 

Forest

4,683

2,673

57.1%

1,963

41.9%

47

1.0%

58.27%

2,729

1,196

43.8%

-13.3%

1,531

56.1%

2

0.07%

 

 

Manitowoc

42,414

22,428

52.9%

19,234

45.3%

752

1.8%

47.09%

19,971

7,752

38.8%

-14.1%

12,211

61.1%

8

0.04%

 

Menominee

1,448

1,257

86.8%

185

12.8%

6

0.4%

26.38%

382

241

63.1%

-23.7%

141

36.9%

0

0.00%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 3

Kloppenburg County Vote Share vs. Obama – Sorted by Kloppenburg Share

 

County

 Total

  Obama

 

  McCain

 

    Other

 

     Ratio

  Total

Kloppenburg

Chg

  Prosser

 

    Other

 

 

2,983,417

1,677,211

56.2%

1,262,393

42.3%

43,813

1.5%

50.24%

1,498,880

745,007

49.70%

-6.5%

752,323

50.19%

1,550

0.10%

 

Dane

282,939

205,984

72.8%

73,065

25.8%

3890

1.4%

64.43%

182,305

133,565

73.3%

0.5%

48,636

26.7%

104

0.06%

Ashland

8,574

5,818

67.9%

2,634

30.7%

122

1.4%

54.26%

4,652

3,266

70.2%

2.4%

1,383

29.7%

3

0.06%

Douglas

24,066

15,830

65.8%

7,835

32.6%

401

1.7%

51.92%

12,494

8674

69.4%

3.6%

3814

30.5%

6

0.05%

Bayfield

9,468

5,972

63.1%

3,365

35.5%

131

1.4%

62.44%

5,912

3,954

66.9%

3.8%

1,957

33.1%

1

0.02%

Menominee

1,448

1,257

86.8%

185

12.8%

6

0.4%

26.38%

382

241

63.1%

-23.7%

141

36.9%

0

0.00%

 

Iowa

11,969

7,987

66.7%

3,829

32.0%

153

1.3%

53.29%

6,378

3919

61.4%

-5.3%

2455

38.5%

4

0.06%

Rock

79,169

50,529

63.8%

27,364

34.6%

1276

1.6%

46.48%

36,797

22,145

60.2%

-3.6%

14,626

39.7%

26

0.07%

Portage

39,422

24,817

63.0%

13,810

35.0%

795

2.0%

51.45%

20,283

12,140

59.9%

-3.1%

8,121

40.0%

22

0.11%

Crawford

7,981

4,987

62.5%

2,830

35.5%

164

2.1%

51.59%

4,117

2,428

59.0%

-3.5%

1,689

41.0%

0

0.00%

LaCrosse

63,218

38,524

60.9%

23,701

37.5%

993

1.6%

46.69%

29,518

17,379

58.9%

-2.1%

12,124

41.1%

15

0.05%

 

EauClaire

55,010

33,146

60.3%

20,959

38.1%

905

1.6%

49.80%

27,395

15,919

58.1%

-2.1%

11,416

41.7%

60

0.22%

Grant

24,320

14,875

61.2%

9,068

37.3%

377

1.6%

41.06%

9,986

5,697

57.0%

-4.1%

4,283

42.9%

6

0.06%

Milwaukee

475,192

319,819

67.3%

149,445

31.4%

5,928

1.2%

48.2%

228,954

129,042

56.4%

-10.9%

99,342

43.4%

570

0.2%

Sauk

30,626

18,617

60.8%

11,562

37.8%

447

1.5%

53.44%

16,367

9,188

56.1%

-4.7%

7,171

43.8%

8

0.05%

Dunn

22,989

13,002

56.6%

9,566

41.6%

421

1.8%

40.18%

9,237

5,158

55.8%

-0.7%

4,075

44.1%

4

0.04%

 

Iron

3,432

1,914

55.8%

1,464

42.7%

54

1.6%

49.45%

1,697

937

55.2%

-0.6%

760

44.8%

0

0.00%

Columbia

29,272

16,661

56.9%

12,193

41.7%

418

1.4%

55.60%

16,275

8,959

55.0%

-1.9%

7,302

44.9%

14

0.09%

Richland

8,450

5,041

59.7%

3,298

39.0%

111

1.3%

47.14%

3,983

2,186

54.9%

-4.8%

1,797

45.1%

0

0.00%

Vernon

14,075

8,463

60.1%

5,367

38.1%

245

1.7%

56.21%

7,911

4,331

54.7%

-5.4%

3,578

45.2%

2

0.03%

Pierce

22,107

11,803

53.4%

9,812

44.4%

492

2.2%

40.55%

8,964

4,904

54.7%

1.3%

4,053

45.2%

7

0.08%

 

Jackson

9,251

5,572

60.2%

3,552

38.4%

127

1.4%

53.08%

4,910

2,686

54.7%

-5.5%

2,224

45.3%

0

0.00%

Green

18,534

11,502

62.1%

6,730

36.3%

302

1.6%

58.06%

10,761

5,860

54.5%

-7.6%

4,883

45.4%

18

0.17%

Trempealeau

13,314

8,321

62.5%

4,808

36.1%

185

1.4%

46.67%

6,214

3,330

53.6%

-8.9%

2,878

46.3%

6

0.10%

Kenosha

78,789

45,836

58.2%

31,609

40.1%

1344

1.7%

38.90%

30,651

16,207

52.9%

-5.3%

14,388

46.9%

56

0.18%

Pepin

3,771

2,102

55.7%

1,616

42.9%

53

1.4%

49.46%

1,865

983

52.7%

-3.0%

882

47.3%

0

0.00%

 

Washburn

9,112

4,693

51.5%

4,303

47.2%

116

1.3%

51.84%

4,724

2,453

51.9%

0.4%

2,270

48.1%

1

0.02%

Lafayette

7,831

4,732

60.4%

2,984

38.1%

115

1.5%

53.84%

4,216

2,185

51.8%

-8.6%

2,030

48.1%

1

0.02%

Adams

9,986

5,806

58.1%

3,974

39.8%

206

2.1%

49.64%

4,957

2,557

51.6%

-6.6%

2,393

48.3%

7

0.14%

Juneau

11,530

6,186

53.7%

5,148

44.6%

196

1.7%

45.40%

5,235

2,696

51.5%

-2.2%

2,534

48.4%

5

0.10%

Chippewa

30,231

16,239

53.7%

13,492

44.6%

500

1.7%

46.61%

14,090

7,221

51.2%

-2.5%

6,856

48.7%

13

0.09%

 

Wood

39,052

21,710

55.6%

16,581

42.5%

761

1.9%

46.41%

18,125

9,269

51.1%

-4.5%

8,844

48.8%

12

0.07%

Monroe

19,152

10,198

53.2%

8,666

45.2%

288

1.5%

48.13%

9,218

4,692

50.9%

-2.3%

4,512

48.9%

14

0.15%

Lincoln

15,268

8,424

55.2%

6,519

42.7%

325

2.1%

46.76%

7,139

3,549

49.7%

-5.5%

3,578

50.1%

12

0.17%

Barron

22,886

12,078

52.8%

10,457

45.7%

351

1.5%

40.86%

9,352

4,640

49.6%

-3.2%

4,709

50.4%

3

0.03%

Sawyer

9,085

4,765

52.4%

4,199

46.2%

121

1.3%

46.03%

4,182

2,059

49.2%

-3.2%

2,122

50.7%

1

0.02%

 

St. Croix

44,821

21,177

47.2%

22,837

51.0%

807

1.8%

36.22%

16,235

7,953

49.0%

1.7%

8,272

51.0%

10

0.06%

Buffalo

7,000

3,949

56.4%

2,923

41.8%

128

1.8%

47.10%

3,297

1,608

48.8%

-7.6%

1,686

51.1%

3

0.09%

Polk

22,643

10,876

48.0%

11,282

49.8%

485

2.1%

40.21%

9,104

4,438

48.7%

0.7%

4,662

51.2%

4

0.04%

Price

8,194

4,559

55.6%

3,461

42.2%

174

2.1%

51.16%

4,192

2,025

48.3%

-7.3%

2,165

51.6%

2

0.05%

Oneida

21,927

11,907

54.3%

9,630

43.9%

390

1.8%

48.64%

10,665

5,135

48.1%

-6.2%

5,515

51.7%

15

0.14%

 

Winnebago

87,677

48,167

54.9%

37,946

43.3%

1564

1.8%

45.20%

39,628

18,887

47.7%

-7.3%

20,701

52.2%

40

0.10%

Door

17,481

10,142

58.0%

7,112

40.7%

227

1.3%

56.51%

9,878

4,662

47.2%

-10.8%

5,200

52.6%

16

0.16%

Rusk

7,272

3,855

53.0%

3,253

44.7%

164

2.3%

56.83%

4,133

1,941

47.0%

-6.0%

2,189

53.0%

3

0.07%

Marathon

67,940

36,367

53.5%

30,345

44.7%

1228

1.8%

47.09%

31,990

14,823

46.3%

-7.2%

17,131

53.6%

36

0.11%

Burnett

8,688

4,337

49.9%

4,200

48.3%

151

1.7%

41.55%

3,610

1,659

46.0%

-4.0%

1,950

54.0%

1

0.03%

 

Marinette

21,255

11,195

52.7%

9,726

45.8%

334

1.6%

42.64%

9,064

4,083

45.0%

-7.6%

4,980

54.9%

1

0.01%

Brown

124,754

67,269

53.9%

55854

44.8%

1631

1.3%

48.60%

60,628

27207

44.9%

-9.0%

33,319

55.0%

102

0.17%

Racine

100,642

53,408

53.1%

45,954

45.7%

1280

1.3%

50.45%

50,772

22,518

44.4%

-8.7%

28,204

55.6%

50

0.10%

Forest

4,683

2,673

57.1%

1,963

41.9%

47

1.0%

58.27%

2,729

1,196

43.8%

-13.3%

1,531

56.1%

2

0.07%

Marquette

7,846

4,068

51.8%

3,654

46.6%

124

1.6%

50.3%

3,949

1,726

43.7%

-8.1%

2,220

56.2%

3

0.1%

 

Outagamie

91,563

50,294

54.9%

39,677

43.3%

1592

1.7%

47.70%

43,673

18,878

43.2%

-11.7%

24,769

56.7%

26

0.06%

Oconto

18,968

9,927

52.3%

8,755

46.2%

286

1.5%

47.8%

9,068

3,859

42.6%

-9.8%

5,206

57.4%

3

0.0%

Jefferson

43,166

21,448

49.7%

21,096

48.9%

622

1.4%

53.31%

23,013

9,741

42.3%

-7.4%

13,239

57.5%

33

0.14%

Kewaunee

10,787

5,902

54.7%

4,711

43.7%

174

1.6%

53.22%

5,741

2,405

41.9%

-12.8%

3,331

58.0%

5

0.09%

Langlade

10,402

5,182

49.8%

5,081

48.8%

139

1.3%

43.82%

4,558

1,895

41.6%

-8.2%

2,663

58.4%

0

0.00%

 

Clark

14,187

7,454

52.5%

6,383

45.0%

350

2.5%

52.14%

7,397

3,065

41.4%

-11.1%

4,327

58.5%

5

0.07%

Waupaca

25,511

12,952

50.8%

12,232

47.9%

327

1.3%

47.63%

12,150

4,938

40.6%

-10.1%

7,205

59.3%

7

0.06%

Waushara

11,849

5,868

49.5%

5,770

48.7%

211

1.8%

48.09%

5,698

2300

40.4%

-9.2%

3,395

59.6%

3

0.05%

Vilas

13,750

6,491

47.2%

7,055

51.3%

204

1.5%

51.14%

7,032

2,820

40.1%

-7.1%

4,204

59.8%

8

0.11%

Shawano

20,089

10,259

51.1%

9,538

47.5%

292

1.5%

45.56%

9,152

3,613

39.5%

-11.6%

5,534

60.5%

5

0.05%

 

FonduLac

52,323

23,463

44.8%

28,164

53.8%

696

1.3%

49.92%

26,121

10,180

39.0%

-5.9%

15,931

61.0%

10

0.04%

Dodge

42,823

19,183

44.8%

23,015

53.7%

625

1.5%

51.15%

21,904

8,519

38.9%

-5.9%

13,374

61.1%

11

0.05%

Manitowoc

42,414

22,428

52.9%

19,234

45.3%

752

1.8%

47.09%

19,971

7,752

38.8%

-14.1%

12,211

61.1%

8

0.04%

Walworth

50,422

24,177

47.9%

25,485

50.5%

760

1.5%

46.01%

23,197

8,930

38.5%

-9.5%

14,236

61.4%

31

0.13%

Taylor

9,346

4,563

48.8%

4,586

49.1%

197

2.1%

63.65%

5,949

2,290

38.5%

-10.3%

3,652

61.4%

7

0.12%

 

Calumet

26,474

13,295

50.2%

12,722

48.1%

457

1.7%

45.88%

12,147

4,643

38.2%

-12.0%

7,500

61.7%

4

0.03%

Florence

2,685

1,134

42.2%

1,512

56.3%

39

1.5%

47.75%

1,282

483

37.7%

-4.6%

799

62.3%

0

0.00%

Sheboygan

62,107

30,395

48.9%

30,801

49.6%

911

1.5%

49.85%

30,961

11,411

36.9%

-12.1%

19,534

63.1%

16

0.05%

GreenLake

9,536

4,000

41.9%

5,393

56.6%

143

1.5%

61.09%

5,826

2,049

35.2%

-6.8%

3,777

64.8%

0

0.00%

Ozaukee

53,365

20,579

38.6%

32,172

60.3%

614

1.2%

54.64%

29,157

8,296

28.5%

-10.1%

20,845

71.5%

16

0.05%

 

Waukesha

232,897

85,339

36.6%

145,152

62.3%

2406

1.0%

53.70%

125,070

32,758

26.2%

-10.5%

92,263

73.8%

49

0.04%

Washington

74,411

25,719

34.6%

47,729

64.1%

963

1.3%

54.69%

40,693

9,902

24.3%

-10.2%

30,777

75.6%

14

0.03%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 4

Top 10 Counties by Voting Population

 

County

Total

Obama

 

McCain

 

Other

 

Ratio

Total

Kloppenburg

Change

Prosser

 

   Other

 

 

 

Brown

124,754

67,269

53.9%

55,854

44.8%

1631

1.3%

48.60%

60,628

27,207

44.9%

-9.0%

33,319

55.0%

102

0.17%

Dane

282,939

205,984

72.8%

73,065

25.8%

3890

1.4%

64.43%

182,305

133,565

73.3%

0.5%

48,636

26.7%

104

0.06%

Marathon

67,940

36,367

53.5%

30,345

44.7%

1228

1.8%

47.09%

31,990

14,823

46.3%

-7.2%

17,131

53.6%

36

0.11%

Milwaukee

475,192

319,819

67.3%

149,445

31.4%

5928

1.2%

48.18%

228,954

129,042

56.4%

-10.9%

99,342

43.4%

570

0.25%

Outagamie

91,563

50,294

54.9%

39,677

43.3%

1592

1.7%

47.70%

43,673

18,878

43.2%

-11.7%

24,769

56.7%

26

0.06%

 

Racine

100,642

53,408

53.1%

45,954

45.7%

1280

1.3%

50.45%

50,772

22,518

44.4%

-8.7%

28,204

55.6%

50

0.10%

Rock

79,169

50,529

63.8%

27,364

34.6%

1276

1.6%

46.48%

36,797

22,145

60.2%

-3.6%

14,626

39.7%

26

0.07%

Washington

74,411

25,719

34.6%

47,729

64.1%

963

1.3%

54.69%

40,693

9,902

24.3%

-10.2%

30,777

75.6%

14

0.03%

Waukesha

232,897

85,339

36.6%

145,152

62.3%

2406

1.0%

53.70%

125,070

32,758

26.2%

-10.5%

92,263

73.8%

49

0.04%

Winnebago

87,677

48,167

54.9%

37,946

43.3%

1564

1.8%

45.20%

39,628

18,887

47.7%

-7.3%

20,701

52.2%

40

0.10%

 

Table 5

Counties with Highest 2011 Turnout as a Percent of 2008

 

County

  Total

 Obama

 

McCain

 

Other

 

Ratio

Total

Kloppenburg

Change

Prosser

 

    Other

 

 

Bayfield

9,468

5,972

63.1%

3,365

35.5%

131

1.4%

62.44%

5,912

3,954

66.9%

3.8%

1,957

33.1%

1

0.02%

Columbia

29,272

16,661

56.9%

12,193

41.7%

418

1.4%

55.60%

16,275

8,959

55.0%

-1.9%

7,302

44.9%

14

0.09%

Dane

282,939

205,984

72.8%

73,065

25.8%

3890

1.4%

64.43%

182,305

133,565

73.3%

0.5%

48,636

26.7%

104

0.06%

Door

17,481

10,142

58.0%

7,112

40.7%

227

1.3%

56.51%

9,878

4,662

47.2%

-10.8%

5,200

52.6%

16

0.16%

Forest

4,683

2,673

57.1%

1,963

41.9%

47

1.0%

58.27%

2,729

1,196

43.8%

-13.3%

1,531

56.1%

2

0.07%

 

Green

18,534

11,502

62.1%

6,730

36.3%

302

1.6%

58.06%

10,761

5,860

54.5%

-7.6%

4,883

45.4%

18

0.17%

GreenLake

9,536

4,000

41.9%

5,393

56.6%

143

1.5%

61.09%

5,826

2,049

35.2%

-6.8%

3,777

64.8%

0

0.00%

Rusk

7,272

3,855

53.0%

3,253

44.7%

164

2.3%

56.83%

4,133

1,941

47.0%

-6.0%

2,189

53.0%

3

0.07%

Taylor

9,346

4,563

48.8%

4,586

49.1%

197

2.1%

63.65%

5,949

2,290

38.5%

-10.3%

3,652

61.4%

7

0.12%

Vernon

14,075

8,463

60.1%

5,367

38.1%

245

1.7%

56.21%

7,911

4,331

54.7%

-5.4%

3,578

45.2%

2

0.03%

 

 

Table 6

Counties with Lowest 2011 Turnout as a Percent of 2008

 

County

Total

Obama

 

McCain

 

Other

 

  Ratio

  Total

Kloppenburg

Change

 Prosser

 

    Other

 

 

Barron

22,886

12,078

52.8%

10,457

45.7%

351

1.5%

40.86%

9,352

4,640

49.6%

-3.2%

4,709

50.4%

3

0.03%

Burnett

8,688

4,337

49.9%

4,200

48.3%

151

1.7%

41.55%

3,610

1,659

46.0%

-4.0%

1,950

54.0%

1

0.03%

Dunn

22,989

13,002

56.6%

9,566

41.6%

421

1.8%

40.18%

9,237

5,158

55.8%

-0.7%

4,075

44.1%

4

0.04%

Grant

24,320

14,875

61.2%

9,068

37.3%

377

1.6%

41.06%

9,986

5,697

57.0%

-4.1%

4,283

42.9%

6

0.06%

Kenosha

78,789

45,836

58.2%

31,609

40.1%

1344

1.7%

38.90%

30,651

16,207

52.9%

-5.3%

14,388

46.9%

56

0.18%

 

Marinette

21,255

11,195

52.7%

9,726

45.8%

334

1.6%

42.64%

9,064

4,083

45.0%

-7.6%

4,980

54.9%

1

0.01%

Menominee

1,448

1,257

86.8%

185

12.8%

6

0.4%

26.38%

382

241

63.1%

-23.7%

141

36.9%

0

0.00%

Pierce

22,107

11,803

53.4%

9,812

44.4%

492

2.2%

40.55%

8,964

4,904

54.7%

1.3%

4,053

45.2%

7

0.08%

Polk

22,643

10,876

48.0%

11,282

49.8%

485

2.1%

40.21%

9,104

4,438

48.7%

0.7%

4,662

51.2%

4

0.04%

St. Croix

44,821

21,177

47.2%

22,837

51.0%

807

1.8%

36.22%

16,235

7,953

49.0%

1.7%

8,272

51.0%

10

0.06%

 

 

Table 7

Daily Recount Summary

 

Note that the Final Certified GAB differs substantially from the Final May 20 Update.

http://richardcharnin.com/TIACertifiedWI2011ElectionAndRecount36646.zip

 

In the May 20 Final Update, there were 22,640 undervotes.

There were ZERO undervotes in the Certified Final GAB.

Undervote = Total Ballots Cast – Total Recounted

 

In the May 20 Final Update, there were 2,696 miscounted votes.

There were 2,058 miscounted votes in the Certified Final GAB.

Miscounted Vote = Abs (Kloppenburg vote change from original) + Abs (Prosser vote change from original)

 

Update

Total Ballots Cast

Un-Official Recount Totals for David T. Prosser, Jr.

Un-Official Recount Totals for Joanne F. Kloppenburg

Un-Official Recount Totals for Scattering

Un-Official Recount Total of Votes Cast for S.C.

UNDERVOTES

Total Ballots Cast-Un-Official Recount Total

Original Canvas Vote Count for DAVID T. PROSSER, JR.

Original Canvas Vote Count for JOANNE F. KLOPPENBURG

Original Canvas Vote Count for SCATTERING

Original Canvas Vote Count Totals

Prosser Change

Kloppenburg Change

Prosser Original Margin

Kloppenburg Original Margin

Net Kloppenburg Gain (loss)

Miscounted Votes

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4/27 704pm

132,551

86,478

75,585

191

162,254

1,520

(29,703)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

(398)

(65)

209,456

202,140

333

 

4/28 605pm

20,044

12,139

7,533

41

19,713

331

331

12,129

7,533

15

19,677

10

0

5,241

645

(10)

 

4/29 603pm

156,650

95,398

81,663

158

177,221

2,262

(20,571)

95,327

81,625

124

177,076

63

31

30,161

16,459

(32)

 

5/1 405pm

623,158

358,455

318,693

682

677,830

9,799

(54,672)

743,653

737,015

1,538

1,482,206

162

150

207,128

200,490

(12)

 

5/2 606pm

752,121

421,801

384,255

832

806,888

11,871

(54,767)

749,606

741,867

1,543

1,493,016

198

351

209,236

201,497

153

 

5/3 6pm

892,369

501,272

457,917

1,080

960,269

13,867

(67,900)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

245

414

209,456

202,140

169

 

5/4 6pm

979,609

543,148

500,296

1,086

1,044,530

15,086

(64,921)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

280

469

209,456

202,140

189

 

5/5 6pm

1,059,690

580,600

542,461

1,175

1,124,236

16,056

(64,546)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

316

516

209,456

202,140

200

 

5/6 6pm

1,100,272

598,495

572,451

1,171

1,172,117

16,554

(71,845)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

303

528

209,456

202,140

225

2,049

5/9 545pm

1,105,780

688,152

721,790

1,696

1,411,638

16,306

(305,858)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

331

668

209,456

202,140

261

2,577

5/101145am

1,108,089

689,642

721,391

1,696

1,412,729

16,313

(304,640)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

341

683

209,456

202,140

261

2,492

5/11 11am

1,348,881

694,316

723,778

1,701

1,419,795

22,210

(70,914)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

335

665

209,456

202,140

330

2,524

5/12 1pm

1,358,739

701,675

726,245

1,707

1,429,627

22,236

(70,888)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

342

668

209,456

202,140

326

2,630

5/13  2pm

1,368,611

709,116

728,563

1,717

1,439,396

22,339

(70,785)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

348

667

209,456

202,140

319

2,639

5/16  430pm

1,375,755

714,097

730,676

1,722

1,446,495

22,384

(70,740)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

354

673

209,456

202,140

319

2,655

5/17  12pm

1,380,119

717,264

731,845

1,724

1,450,833

22,410

(70,714)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

354

671

209,456

202,140

317

2,657

5/18  945am

1,391,454

725,636

734,747

1,728

1,462,111

22,467

(70,657)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

360

676

209,456

202,140

316

2,670

5/19  945am

1,406,703

736,775

738,804

1,733

1,477,312

22,515

(70,609)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

371

679

209,456

202,140

308

2,690

5/201215pm

1,419,538

746,205

742,796

1,740

1,490,741

22,640

(71,203)

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

374

684

209,456

202,140

310

2,696

 

Final Certified

1,500,113

752,694

745,690

1,729

1,500,113

 ZERO

ZERO

752,323

745,007

1,550

1,498,880

371

683

188,763

181,447

312

2,058

 

 

Table 8

Latest County Recount

 

COUNTY

Ballots Cast

Prosser

Jklo

Scatter

Recount Cast

Undervotes

 

Prosser

Jklo

Scatter

VoteCount

Pchg

Kchg

Pmarg

Kmarg

NetJklo

Miscount

Adams

0

2,385

2,557

5

4,947

0

 

2,393

2,557

7

4,957

(8)

0

219

383

8

20

Ashland

0

1,384

3,266

3

4,653

0

 

1,383

3,266

3

4,652

1

0

1

1,884

(1)

13

Barron

9,523

4,708

4,641

3

9,352

171

 

4,709

4,640

3

9,352

(1)

1

515

446

2

8

Bayfield

0

1,958

3,960

1

5,919

0

 

1,957

3,954

1

5,912

1

6

38

2,035

5

13

Brown

61,496

33,345

27,242

106

60,693

803

 

33,319

27,207

102

60,628

26

35

7,427

1,315

9

79

 

Buffalo

3,369

1,690

1,608

4

3,302

67

 

1,686

1,608

3

3,297

4

0

284

206

(4)

4

Burnett

0

1,944

1,659

1

3,604

0

 

1,950

1,659

1

3,610

(6)

0

378

87

6

12

Calumet

12,301

7,503

4,645

8

12,156

145

 

7,500

4,643

4

12,147

3

2

2,898

41

(1)

21

Chippewa

0

6,854

7,224

11

14,089

0

 

6,856

7,221

13

14,090

(2)

3

623

988

5

19

Clark

7,659

4,321

3,063

6

7,390

269

 

4,327

3,065

5

7,397

(6)

(2)

1,387

125

4

22

 

Columbia

16,500

7,306

8,963

13

16,282

218

 

7,302

8,959

14

16,275

4

4

452

2,109

0

12

Crawford

0

1,687

2,431

0

4,118

0

 

1,689

2,428

0

4,117

(2)

3

65

804

5

13

Dane

184,123

48,655

133,664

116

182,435

1,688

 

48,636

133,565

104

182,305

19

99

17

84,946

80

192

Dodge

22,111

13,379

8,524

9

21,912

199

 

13,374

8,519

11

21,904

5

5

5,551

696

0

12

Door

10,121

5,193

4,670

16

9,879

242

 

5,200

4,662

16

9,878

(7)

8

785

247

15

17

 

Douglas

12,791

3,815

8,676

10

12,501

290

 

3,814

8,674

6

12,494

1

2

0

4,860

1

5

Dunn

8,559

4,067

5,155

5

9,227

134

 

4,075

5,158

4

9,237

(8)

(3)

222

1,305

5

15

EauClaire

27,838

11,427

15,933

77

27,437

401

 

11,416

15,919

60

27,395

11

14

287

4,790

3

95

Florence

1,283

800

483

0

1,283

0

 

799

483

0

1,282

1

0

316

0

(1)

1

FonduLac

26,470

15,943

10,187

10

26,140

330

 

15,931

10,180

10

26,121

12

7

6,019

268

(5)

35

 

Forest

2,732

1,531

1,198

3

2,732

0

 

1,531

1,196

2

2,729

0

2

394

59

2

8

Grant

10,299

4,285

5,705

11

10,001

298

 

4,283

5,697

6

9,986

2

8

311

1,725

6

54

Green

3,759

4,886

5,860

19

10,765

55

 

4,883

5,860

18

10,761

3

0

441

1,418

(3)

7

GreenLake

7,131

4,312

2,980

4

7,296

202

 

4,303

2,978

2

7,283

9

2

1,728

403

(7)

23

Iowa

3,106

1,929

2,991

2

4,922

0

 

1,929

2,990

2

4,921

0

1

110

1,171

1

9

 

Iron

1,689

755

934

0

1,689

0

 

760

937

0

1,697

(5)

(3)

58

235

2

10

Jackson

5,036

2,215

2,693

0

4,908

128

 

2,224

2,686

0

4,910

(9)

7

239

701

16

38

Jefferson

23,368

13,261

9,763

35

23,059

309

 

13,239

9,741

33

23,013

22

22

4,046

548

0

58

Juneau

5,377

2,539

2,700

6

5,245

132

 

2,534

2,696

5

5,235

5

4

264

426

(1)

31

Kenosha

31,160

14,419

16,245

54

30,718

442

 

14,388

16,207

56

30,651

31

38

2,189

4,008

7

135

 

Kewaunee

5,882

3,328

2,405

8

5,741

141

 

3,331

2,405

5

5,741

(3)

0

1,059

133

3

7

LaCrosse

30,059

12,135

17,404

17

29,556

503

 

12,124

17,379

15

29,518

11

25

203

5,458

14

80

Lafayette

4,343

2,032

2,184

1

4,217

126

 

2,030

2,185

1

4,216

2

(1)

329

484

(3)

5

Langlade

4,620

2,664

1,895

0

4,559

61

 

2,663

1,895

0

4,558

1

0

791

23

(1)

13

Lincoln

7,264

3,576

3,545

12

7,133

131

 

3,578

3,549

12

7,139

(2)

(4)

407

378

(2)

6

 

Manitowoc

18,348

12,198

7,765

7

19,970

257

 

12,211

7,752

8

19,971

(13)

13

4,568

109

26

58

Marathon

32,458

17,126

14,836

26

31,988

470

 

17,131

14,823

36

31,990

(5)

13

3,418

1,110

18

30

Marinette

9,272

4,985

4,083

1

9,069

203

 

4,980

4,083

1

9,064

5

0

1,218

321

(5)

13

Marquette

0

2,219

1,723

3

3,945

0

 

2,220

1,726

3

3,949

(1)

(3)

555

61

(2)

4

Menominee

353

141

240

3

384

0

 

141

241

0

382

0

(1)

0

100

(1)

3

 

Milwaukee

234,911

99,368

129,108

564

229,040

5,871

 

99,342

129,042

570

228,954

26

66

16,719

46,419

40

324

Monroe

0

4,508

4,692

13

9,213

0

 

4,512

4,692

14

9,218

(4)

0

359

539

4

14

Oconto

9,725

5,426

4,054

10

9,490

235

 

5,420

4,034

4

9,458

6

20

1,512

126

14

32

Oneida

10,471

5,306

4,963

18

10,287

184

 

5,301

4,960

14

10,275

5

3

866

525

(2)

20

Outagamie

44,256

24,785

18,877

35

43,697

559

 

24,769

18,878

26

43,673

16

(1)

6,877

986

(17)

53

 

Ozaukee

29,887

20,854

8,298

22

29,174

713

 

20,845

8,296

16

29,157

9

2

12,552

3

(7)

23

Pepin

1,926

882

983

1

1,866

60

 

882

983

0

1,865

0

0

106

207

0

0

Pierce

9,320

4,056

4,915

4

8,975

345

 

4,053

4,904

7

8,964

3

11

214

1,065

8

20

Polk

9,490

4,661

4,439

5

9,105

385

 

4,662

4,438

4

9,104

(1)

1

542

318

2

8

Portage

20,150

8,121

12,124

29

20,274

329

 

8,121

12,140

22

20,283

0

(16)

66

4,085

(16)

42

 

Price

4,313

2,165

2,024

1

4,190

123

 

2,165

2,025

2

4,192

0

(1)

378

238

(1)

7

Racine

52,205

28,245

22,577

40

50,862

1,343

 

28,204

22,518

50

50,772

41

59

8,673

2,987

18

112

Richland

4,048

1,797

2,185

0

3,982

66

 

1,797

2,186

0

3,983

0

(1)

92

481

(1)

15

Rock

37,324

14,636

22,196

86

36,918

406

 

14,626

22,145

26

36,797

10

51

411

7,930

41

71

Rusk

4,152

2,189

1,941

2

4,132

20

 

2,189

1,941

3

4,133

0

0

428

180

0

0

 

St. Croix

16,718

8,276

7,960

10

16,246

472

 

8,272

7,953

10

16,235

4

7

1,124

805

3

21

Sauk

16,361

7,159

9,187

15

16,361

0

 

7,171

9,188

8

16,367

(12)

(1)

362

2,379

11

31

Sawyer

4,294

2,126

2,051

2

4,179

115

 

2,122

2,059

1

4,182

4

(8)

234

171

(12)

18

Shawano

5,437

5,543

3,628

7

9,178

16

 

5,534

3,613

5

9,152

9

15

2,018

97

6

32

Sheboygan

31,427

19,546

11,418

27

30,991

436

 

19,534

11,411

16

30,961

12

7

8,284

161

(5)

49

 

Taylor

2,258

3,651

2,291

9

5,951

0

0

3,652

2,290

7

5,949

(1)

1

1,376

14

2

10

Trempealeau

0

2,878

3,330

6

6,214

0

0

2,878

3,330

6

6,214

0

0

206

658

0

6

Vernon

8,078

3,578

4,331

5

7,914

164

 

3,578

4,331

2

7,911

0

0

282

1,035

0

4

Vilas

0

4,210

2,821

8

7,039

0

 

4,204

2,820

8

7,032

6

1

1,404

20

(5)

25

Walworth

23,572

14,245

8,936

22

23,203

369

 

14,236

8,930

31

23,197

9

6

5,899

593

(3)

21

 

Washburn

4,844

2,268

2,451

4

4,723

121

 

2,270

2,453

1

4,724

(2)

(2)

207

390

0

18

Washington

34,609

30,797

9,909

17

40,723

345

 

30,777

9,902

14

40,693

20

7

20,875

0

(13)

37

Waukesha

116,142

85,839

29,882

69

115,790

681

 

92,263

32,758

49

125,070

68

19

59,525

20

(49)

233

Waupaca

12,412

7,204

5,029

9

12,242

170

 

7,205

4,938

7

12,150

(1)

91

2,409

142

92

124

Waushara

5,827

3,402

2,301

3

5,706

121

 

3,395

2,300

3

5,698

7

1

1,098

3

(6)

22

 

Winnebago

36,630

20,719

18,908

63

39,690

395

 

20,701

18,887

40

39,628

18

21

3,869

2,055

3

53

Wood

18,351

8,865

9,287

18

18,170

181

 

8,844

9,269

12

18,125

21