Wisconsin Vote Recount and Historical Data Analysis

Richard Charnin (TruthIsAll)

The 1988-2008 True Vote Model

Analyze national and state presidential elections. It is a comprehensive, yet easy-to-use spreadsheet that runs in the Google “Cloud”. Excel is not required – anyone can run it.

View tables and a trend graph of state and national Exit Poll and True Vote discrepancies from the recorded vote.

https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=tpsLLEzC1Ccb7FsEN-EgZhQ#gid=0

1988-2008 Wisconsin Presidential True Vote Analysis

http://richardcharnin.com/TrueVoteModelWisconsin.htm

Wisconsin vs. Oregon

1988-2008 Presidential elections

The average Democratic recorded margin was 5.5% in Wisconsin and 6.3% in Oregon.

Note how closely the WI and OR recorded shares match in each election.

Unadjusted Exit Polls

In 1998 Oregon switched to an all paper ballot (delivered in person or mail), so there were no exit polls.

In 2008, the National Election Pool did not release unadjusted or preliminary exit polls - only the finals.

As we all know, ALL FINAL EXIT POLLS ARE ALWAYS FORCED TO MATCH THE RECORDED VOTE.

Note the large exit poll discrepancies from the recorded vote in Oregon in 1988-1992.

In 1992, Oregon had the highest exit poll discrepancy in the nation. Maybe that’s why they changed to 100% paper in1998.

In 2004, Kerry had a 2.4% lower recorded vote share in WI than the exit poll. Wonder why? HAVA drink.

2010 Senate

Wisconsin: Russ Finegold, a well-regarded progressive incumbent, lost re-election by 52-47%.

Oregon: Ron Wyden, a well-regarded progressive incumbent, won re-election by 57-41%.

That is a 21% net difference in margin.

Wyden’s winning margin matched Obama in Oregon.

This is a comparative analysis of Oregon vs. the Battleground states: http://richardcharnin.com/OregonVotingSystem.htm

	Wisconsin vs. Oregon 1988-2008
	Democratic Presidential Election Recorded Vote Shares (%)
							Average 1988-2000
Recorded	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	Dem	GOP	Margin
WI	51.4	41.1	48.8	47.8	49.7	56.2	49.2	43.7	5.5
OR	51.3	42.5	47.2	47.0	51.3	56.7	49.3	42.0	7.3
Diff	0.1	(1.4)	1.6	0.8	(1.6)	(0.5)	(0.2)	1.7
Exit Poll							Average 1988-1996
WI	50.3	42.4	50.2	46.6	52.1	na	47.6
OR	55.0	49.3	48.4	na	na	na	50.9
Diff	(4.7)	(6.9)	1.8	na	na	na	(3.27)
Rec-Exit							Average Exit Poll Deviation
WI	1.1	(1.3)	(1.4)	1.2	(2.4)	na	(0.56)
OR	(3.7)	(6.8)	(1.2)	na	na	na	(3.90)
2010 Senate
Finegold	47
Wyden	57
Diff	(10.0)

2008 Presidential Election vs. 2011 Wisconsin Supreme Court Election

Prosser leads by 7,000 out of nearly 1.5 million votes.

In 2008, Obama had 56.2% of the recorded vote, a 415,000 vote margin out of nearly 3 million votes.

Considering the heavy union turnout, how did Kloppenburg’s vote share decline by 6.5% from Obama’s?

Kloppenburg did better than Obama in 10 small counties (total 50,000 votes) but worse in 10 large counties (550,000 votes).

In Milwaukee County, Obama had 67.3%, Kloppenburg 56.4% of 229,000 votes. Why the 10.9% decline?

In Waukesha County, Obama had 36.6%, Kloppenburg 26.2% of 125,000 votes. Why the 10.4% decline?

In Waukesha, McCain defeated Obama by 59,813 votes out of 233,435 recorded.

Prosser defeated Kloppenburg by a nearly identical 59,505 votes out of just 125,070.

Quite a gain.

Amazing: 50 Consecutive Prosser Base Hits

A recount observer claimed that there were 50 consecutive ballots for Prosser in a city where Kloppenburg had 75%.

If true, it is absolute mathematical proof of fraud.

The simple probability calculation:

Prob = 0.25 ^ 50 or 1 in 1,267,650,600,228,230,000,000,000,000,000 !!!

The probability is the same as that of a baseball player with a .250 BA getting 50 consecutive base hits.

The all-time record for consecutive base hits in major league baseball history is 12. Walt Dropo of the Boston Red Sox did it back in 1950.

There has never been anything close to 50 consecutive base hits. It has never happened - and never will.

The 50 consecutive Prosser ballots could not have happened by accident.

There you go. So what is the explanation? So how did it happen?

Table 1

Kloppenburg County Vote Share vs. Obama

The following graph shows that Kloppenburg improved over Obama’s 2008 vote share in small counties, but did worse in large counties.

In progressive Dane County, Kloppenburg’s vote share improved by just 0.5% over Obama.

Contrast Dane with heavily Democratic Milwaukee County where Obama had 67.3% and Kloppenburg had just 56.4% - a 10.9% decline.

In Republican Waukesha County, Obama had 36.6% and Kloppenburg just 26.2% - a 10.4% decline.

Kloppenburg’s total WI vote share declined by 6.5% from Obama.

http://richardcharnin.com/WI2008Cty_11462_image001.png

http://elections.state.wi.us/docview.asp?docid=15385&locid=47 http://gab.wi.gov/sites/default/files/County%20results_4.5.11.supreme_recount%20pending.pdf

Correlation

							vs Obama		Kloppencurg	0.97		Prosser	0.86	Other	0.91
	2008						vsMcCain		Kloppenburg	0.77		Prosser	1.00	Other	0.74
Correlation	1.00	0.98	0.10	0.94	-0.09	0.99	-0.21		Total	0.96	0.06	-0.07	0.93	-0.06	0.83	0.34
County	Total	Obama		McCain		Other		Ratio	Total	Kloppenburg		Chg	Prosser		Other
	2,983,417	1,677,211	56.2%	1,262,393	42.3%	43,813	1.5%	50.24%	1,498,880	745,007	49.70%	-6.5%	752,323	50.19%	1,550	0.10%
Adams	9,986	5,806	58.1%	3,974	39.8%	206	2.1%	49.64%	4,957	2,557	51.6%	-6.6%	2,393	48.3%	7	0.14%
Ashland	8,574	5,818	67.9%	2,634	30.7%	122	1.4%	54.26%	4,652	3,266	70.2%	2.4%	1,383	29.7%	3	0.06%
Barron	22,886	12,078	52.8%	10,457	45.7%	351	1.5%	40.86%	9,352	4,640	49.6%	-3.2%	4,709	50.4%	3	0.03%
Bayfield	9,468	5,972	63.1%	3,365	35.5%	131	1.4%	62.44%	5,912	3,954	66.9%	3.8%	1,957	33.1%	1	0.02%
Brown	124,754	67,269	53.9%	55,854	44.8%	1631	1.3%	48.60%	60,628	27,207	44.9%	-9.0%	33,319	55.0%	102	0.17%
Buffalo	7,000	3,949	56.4%	2,923	41.8%	128	1.8%	47.10%	3,297	1,608	48.8%	-7.6%	1,686	51.1%	3	0.09%
Burnett	8,688	4,337	49.9%	4,200	48.3%	151	1.7%	41.55%	3,610	1,659	46.0%	-4.0%	1,950	54.0%	1	0.03%
Calumet	26,474	13,295	50.2%	12,722	48.1%	457	1.7%	45.88%	12,147	4,643	38.2%	-12.0%	7,500	61.7%	4	0.03%
Chippewa	30,231	16,239	53.7%	13,492	44.6%	500	1.7%	46.61%	14,090	7,221	51.2%	-2.5%	6,856	48.7%	13	0.09%
Clark	14,187	7,454	52.5%	6,383	45.0%	350	2.5%	52.14%	7,397	3,065	41.4%	-11.1%	4,327	58.5%	5	0.07%
Columbia	29,272	16,661	56.9%	12,193	41.7%	418	1.4%	55.60%	16,275	8,959	55.0%	-1.9%	7,302	44.9%	14	0.09%
Crawford	7,981	4,987	62.5%	2,830	35.5%	164	2.1%	51.59%	4,117	2,428	59.0%	-3.5%	1,689	41.0%	0	0.00%
Dane	282,939	205,984	72.8%	73,065	25.8%	3890	1.4%	64.43%	182,305	133,565	73.3%	0.5%	48,636	26.7%	104	0.06%
Dodge	42,823	19,183	44.8%	23,015	53.7%	625	1.5%	51.15%	21,904	8,519	38.9%	-5.9%	13,374	61.1%	11	0.05%
Door	17,481	10,142	58.0%	7,112	40.7%	227	1.3%	56.51%	9,878	4,662	47.2%	-10.8%	5,200	52.6%	16	0.16%
Douglas	24,066	15,830	65.8%	7,835	32.6%	401	1.7%	51.92%	12,494	8,674	69.4%	3.6%	3,814	30.5%	6	0.05%
Dunn	22,989	13,002	56.6%	9,566	41.6%	421	1.8%	40.18%	9,237	5,158	55.8%	-0.7%	4,075	44.1%	4	0.04%
EauClaire	55,010	33,146	60.3%	20,959	38.1%	905	1.6%	49.80%	27,395	15,919	58.1%	-2.1%	11,416	41.7%	60	0.22%
Florence	2,685	1,134	42.2%	1,512	56.3%	39	1.5%	47.75%	1,282	483	37.7%	-4.6%	799	62.3%	0	0.00%
FonduLac	52,323	23,463	44.8%	28,164	53.8%	696	1.3%	49.92%	26,121	10,180	39.0%	-5.9%	15,931	61.0%	10	0.04%
Forest	4,683	2,673	57.1%	1,963	41.9%	47	1.0%	58.27%	2,729	1,196	43.8%	-13.3%	1,531	56.1%	2	0.07%
Grant	24,320	14,875	61.2%	9,068	37.3%	377	1.6%	41.06%	9,986	5,697	57.0%	-4.1%	4,283	42.9%	6	0.06%
Green	18,534	11,502	62.1%	6,730	36.3%	302	1.6%	58.06%	10,761	5,860	54.5%	-7.6%	4,883	45.4%	18	0.17%
GreenLake	9,536	4,000	41.9%	5,393	56.6%	143	1.5%	61.09%	5,826	2,049	35.2%	-6.8%	3,777	64.8%	0	0.00%
Iowa	11,969	7,987	66.7%	3,829	32.0%	153	1.3%	53.29%	6,378	3,919	61.4%	-5.3%	2,455	38.5%	4	0.06%
Iron	3,432	1,914	55.8%	1,464	42.7%	54	1.6%	49.45%	1,697	937	55.2%	-0.6%	760	44.8%	0	0.00%
Jackson	9,251	5,572	60.2%	3,552	38.4%	127	1.4%	53.08%	4,910	2,686	54.7%	-5.5%	2,224	45.3%	0	0.00%
Jefferson	43,166	21,448	49.7%	21,096	48.9%	622	1.4%	53.31%	23,013	9,741	42.3%	-7.4%	13,239	57.5%	33	0.14%
Juneau	11,530	6,186	53.7%	5,148	44.6%	196	1.7%	45.40%	5,235	2,696	51.5%	-2.2%	2,534	48.4%	5	0.10%
Kenosha	78,789	45,836	58.2%	31,609	40.1%	1344	1.7%	38.90%	30,651	16,207	52.9%	-5.3%	14,388	46.9%	56	0.18%
Kewaunee	10,787	5,902	54.7%	4,711	43.7%	174	1.6%	53.22%	5,741	2,405	41.9%	-12.8%	3,331	58.0%	5	0.09%
LaCrosse	63,218	38,524	60.9%	23,701	37.5%	993	1.6%	46.69%	29,518	17,379	58.9%	-2.1%	12,124	41.1%	15	0.05%
Lafayette	7,831	4,732	60.4%	2,984	38.1%	115	1.5%	53.84%	4,216	2,185	51.8%	-8.6%	2,030	48.1%	1	0.02%
Langlade	10,402	5,182	49.8%	5,081	48.8%	139	1.3%	43.82%	4,558	1,895	41.6%	-8.2%	2,663	58.4%	0	0.00%
Lincoln	15,268	8,424	55.2%	6,519	42.7%	325	2.1%	46.76%	7,139	3,549	49.7%	-5.5%	3,578	50.1%	12	0.17%
Manitowoc	42,414	22,428	52.9%	19,234	45.3%	752	1.8%	47.09%	19,971	7,752	38.8%	-14.1%	12,211	61.1%	8	0.04%
Marathon	67,940	36,367	53.5%	30,345	44.7%	1228	1.8%	47.09%	31,990	14,823	46.3%	-7.2%	17,131	53.6%	36	0.11%
Marinette	21,255	11,195	52.7%	9,726	45.8%	334	1.6%	42.64%	9,064	4,083	45.0%	-7.6%	4,980	54.9%	1	0.01%
Marquette	7,846	4,068	51.8%	3,654	46.6%	124	1.6%	50.33%	3,949	1,726	43.7%	-8.1%	2,220	56.2%	3	0.08%
Menominee	1,448	1,257	86.8%	185	12.8%	6	0.4%	26.38%	382	241	63.1%	-23.7%	141	36.9%	0	0.00%
Milwaukee	475,192	319,819	67.3%	149,445	31.4%	5928	1.2%	48.18%	228,954	129,042	56.4%	-10.9%	99,342	43.4%	570	0.25%
Monroe	19,152	10,198	53.2%	8,666	45.2%	288	1.5%	48.13%	9,218	4,692	50.9%	-2.3%	4,512	48.9%	14	0.15%
Oconto	18,968	9,927	52.3%	8,755	46.2%	286	1.5%	47.81%	9,068	3,859	42.6%	-9.8%	5,206	57.4%	3	0.03%
Oneida	21,927	11,907	54.3%	9,630	43.9%	390	1.8%	48.64%	10,665	5,135	48.1%	-6.2%	5,515	51.7%	15	0.14%
Outagamie	91,563	50,294	54.9%	39,677	43.3%	1592	1.7%	47.70%	43,673	18,878	43.2%	-11.7%	24,769	56.7%	26	0.06%
Ozaukee	53,365	20,579	38.6%	32,172	60.3%	614	1.2%	54.64%	29,157	8,296	28.5%	-10.1%	20,845	71.5%	16	0.05%
Pepin	3,771	2,102	55.7%	1,616	42.9%	53	1.4%	49.46%	1,865	983	52.7%	-3.0%	882	47.3%	0	0.00%
Pierce	22,107	11,803	53.4%	9,812	44.4%	492	2.2%	40.55%	8,964	4,904	54.7%	1.3%	4,053	45.2%	7	0.08%
Polk	22,643	10,876	48.0%	11,282	49.8%	485	2.1%	40.21%	9,104	4,438	48.7%	0.7%	4,662	51.2%	4	0.04%
Portage	39,422	24,817	63.0%	13,810	35.0%	795	2.0%	51.45%	20,283	12,140	59.9%	-3.1%	8,121	40.0%	22	0.11%
Price	8,194	4,559	55.6%	3,461	42.2%	174	2.1%	51.16%	4,192	2,025	48.3%	-7.3%	2,165	51.6%	2	0.05%
Racine	100,642	53,408	53.1%	45,954	45.7%	1280	1.3%	50.45%	50,772	22,518	44.4%	-8.7%	28,204	55.6%	50	0.10%
Richland	8,450	5,041	59.7%	3,298	39.0%	111	1.3%	47.14%	3,983	2,186	54.9%	-4.8%	1,797	45.1%	0	0.00%
Rock	79,169	50,529	63.8%	27,364	34.6%	1276	1.6%	46.48%	36,797	22,145	60.2%	-3.6%	14,626	39.7%	26	0.07%
Rusk	7,272	3,855	53.0%	3,253	44.7%	164	2.3%	56.83%	4,133	1,941	47.0%	-6.0%	2,189	53.0%	3	0.07%
Sauk	30,626	18,617	60.8%	11,562	37.8%	447	1.5%	53.44%	16,367	9,188	56.1%	-4.7%	7,171	43.8%	8	0.05%
Sawyer	9,085	4,765	52.4%	4,199	46.2%	121	1.3%	46.03%	4,182	2,059	49.2%	-3.2%	2,122	50.7%	1	0.02%
Shawano	20,089	10,259	51.1%	9,538	47.5%	292	1.5%	45.56%	9,152	3,613	39.5%	-11.6%	5,534	60.5%	5	0.05%
Sheboygan	62,107	30,395	48.9%	30,801	49.6%	911	1.5%	49.85%	30,961	11,411	36.9%	-12.1%	19,534	63.1%	16	0.05%
St. Croix	44,821	21,177	47.2%	22,837	51.0%	807	1.8%	36.22%	16,235	7,953	49.0%	1.7%	8,272	51.0%	10	0.06%
Taylor	9,346	4,563	48.8%	4,586	49.1%	197	2.1%	63.65%	5,949	2,290	38.5%	-10.3%	3,652	61.4%	7	0.12%
Trempealeau	13,314	8,321	62.5%	4,808	36.1%	185	1.4%	46.67%	6,214	3,330	53.6%	-8.9%	2,878	46.3%	6	0.10%
Vernon	14,075	8,463	60.1%	5,367	38.1%	245	1.7%	56.21%	7,911	4,331	54.7%	-5.4%	3,578	45.2%	2	0.03%
Vilas	13,750	6,491	47.2%	7,055	51.3%	204	1.5%	51.14%	7,032	2,820	40.1%	-7.1%	4,204	59.8%	8	0.11%
Walworth	50,422	24,177	47.9%	25,485	50.5%	760	1.5%	46.01%	23,197	8,930	38.5%	-9.5%	14,236	61.4%	31	0.13%
Washburn	9,112	4,693	51.5%	4,303	47.2%	116	1.3%	51.84%	4,724	2,453	51.9%	0.4%	2,270	48.1%	1	0.02%
Washington	74,411	25,719	34.6%	47,729	64.1%	963	1.3%	54.69%	40,693	9,902	24.3%	-10.2%	30,777	75.6%	14	0.03%
Waukesha	232,897	85,339	36.6%	145,152	62.3%	2406	1.0%	53.70%	125,070	32,758	26.2%	-10.5%	92,263	73.8%	49	0.04%
Waupaca	25,511	12,952	50.8%	12,232	47.9%	327	1.3%	47.63%	12,150	4,938	40.6%	-10.1%	7,205	59.3%	7	0.06%
Waushara	11,849	5,868	49.5%	5,770	48.7%	211	1.8%	48.09%	5,698	2,300	40.4%	-9.2%	3,395	59.6%	3	0.05%
Winnebago	87,677	48,167	54.9%	37,946	43.3%	1564	1.8%	45.20%	39,628	18,887	47.7%	-7.3%	20,701	52.2%	40	0.10%
Wood	39,052	21,710	55.6%	16,581	42.5%	761	1.9%	46.41%	18,125	9,269	51.1%	-4.5%	8,844	48.8%	12	0.07%

Table 2

Kloppenburg County Vote Share vs. Obama - Sorted by Percentage Change

County		Total		Obama				McCain				Other				Ratio		Total		Kloppenburg				Chg		Prosser				Other
		2,983,417		1,677,211		56.2%		1,262,393		42.3%		43,813		1.5%		50.24%		1,498,880		745,007		49.70%		-6.5%		752,323		50.19%		1,550		0.10%
Bayfield	9,468		5,972		63.1%		3,365		35.5%		131		1.4%		62.44%		5,912		3,954		66.9%		3.8%		1,957		33.1%		1		0.02%
Douglas	24,066		15,830		65.8%		7,835		32.6%		401		1.7%		51.92%		12,494		8,674		69.4%		3.6%		3,814		30.5%		6		0.05%
Ashland	8,574		5,818		67.9%		2,634		30.7%		122		1.4%		54.26%		4,652		3,266		70.2%		2.4%		1,383		29.7%		3		0.06%
St. Croix	44,821		21,177		47.2%		22,837		51.0%		807		1.8%		36.22%		16,235		7,953		49.0%		1.7%		8,272		51.0%		10		0.06%
Pierce	22,107		11,803		53.4%		9,812		44.4%		492		2.2%		40.55%		8,964		4,904		54.7%		1.3%		4,053		45.2%		7		0.08%
Polk	22,643		10,876		48.0%		11,282		49.8%		485		2.1%		40.21%		9,104		4,438		48.7%		0.7%		4,662		51.2%		4		0.04%
Dane	282,939		205,984		72.8%		73,065		25.8%		3890		1.4%		64.43%		182,305		133,565		73.3%		0.5%		48,636		26.7%		104		0.06%
Washburn	9,112		4,693		51.5%		4,303		47.2%		116		1.3%		51.84%		4,724		2,453		51.9%		0.4%		2,270		48.1%		1		0.02%
Iron	3,432		1,914		55.8%		1,464		42.7%		54		1.6%		49.45%		1,697		937		55.2%		-0.6%		760		44.8%		0		0.00%
Dunn	22,989		13,002		56.6%		9,566		41.6%		421		1.8%		40.18%		9,237		5,158		55.8%		-0.7%		4,075		44.1%		4		0.04%
Columbia	29,272		16,661		56.9%		12,193		41.7%		418		1.4%		55.60%		16,275		8,959		55.0%		-1.9%		7,302		44.9%		14		0.09%
La Crosse	63,218		38,524		60.9%		23,701		37.5%		993		1.6%		46.69%		29,518		17,379		58.9%		-2.1%		12,124		41.1%		15		0.05%
Eau Claire	55,010		33,146		60.3%		20,959		38.1%		905		1.6%		49.80%		27,395		15,919		58.1%		-2.1%		11,416		41.7%		60		0.22%
Juneau	11,530		6,186		53.7%		5,148		44.6%		196		1.7%		45.40%		5,235		2,696		51.5%		-2.2%		2,534		48.4%		5		0.10%
Monroe	19,152		10,198		53.2%		8,666		45.2%		288		1.5%		48.13%		9,218		4,692		50.9%		-2.3%		4,512		48.9%		14		0.15%
Chippewa	30,231		16,239		53.7%		13,492		44.6%		500		1.7%		46.61%		14,090		7,221		51.2%		-2.5%		6,856		48.7%		13		0.09%
Pepin	3,771		2,102		55.7%		1,616		42.9%		53		1.4%		49.46%		1,865		983		52.7%		-3.0%		882		47.3%		0		0.00%
Portage	39,422		24,817		63.0%		13,810		35.0%		795		2.0%		51.45%		20,283		12,140		59.9%		-3.1%		8,121		40.0%		22		0.11%
Barron	22,886		12,078		52.8%		10,457		45.7%		351		1.5%		40.86%		9,352		4,640		49.6%		-3.2%		4,709		50.4%		3		0.03%
Sawyer	9,085		4,765		52.4%		4,199		46.2%		121		1.3%		46.03%		4,182		2,059		49.2%		-3.2%		2,122		50.7%		1		0.02%
Crawford	7,981		4,987		62.5%		2,830		35.5%		164		2.1%		51.59%		4,117		2,428		59.0%		-3.5%		1,689		41.0%		0		0.00%
Rock	79,169		50,529		63.8%		27,364		34.6%		1276		1.6%		46.48%		36,797		22,145		60.2%		-3.6%		14,626		39.7%		26		0.07%
Burnett	8,688		4,337		49.9%		4,200		48.3%		151		1.7%		41.55%		3,610		1,659		46.0%		-4.0%		1,950		54.0%		1		0.03%
Grant	24,320		14,875		61.2%		9,068		37.3%		377		1.6%		41.06%		9,986		5,697		57.0%		-4.1%		4,283		42.9%		6		0.06%
Wood	39,052		21,710		55.6%		16,581		42.5%		761		1.9%		46.41%		18,125		9,269		51.1%		-4.5%		8,844		48.8%		12		0.07%
Florence	2,685		1,134		42.2%		1,512		56.3%		39		1.5%		47.75%		1,282		483		37.7%		-4.6%		799		62.3%		0		0.00%
Sauk	30,626		18,617		60.8%		11,562		37.8%		447		1.5%		53.44%		16,367		9,188		56.1%		-4.7%		7,171		43.8%		8		0.05%
Richland	8,450		5,041		59.7%		3,298		39.0%		111		1.3%		47.14%		3,983		2,186		54.9%		-4.8%		1,797		45.1%		0		0.00%
Iowa	11,969		7,987		66.7%		3,829		32.0%		153		1.3%		53.29%		6,378		3,919		61.4%		-5.3%		2,455		38.5%		4		0.06%
Kenosha	78,789		45,836		58.2%		31,609		40.1%		1344		1.7%		38.90%		30,651		16,207		52.9%		-5.3%		14,388		46.9%		56		0.18%
Vernon	14,075		8,463		60.1%		5,367		38.1%		245		1.7%		56.21%		7,911		4,331		54.7%		-5.4%		3,578		45.2%		2		0.03%
Lincoln	15,268		8,424		55.2%		6,519		42.7%		325		2.1%		46.76%		7,139		3,549		49.7%		-5.5%		3,578		50.1%		12		0.17%
Jackson	9,251		5,572		60.2%		3,552		38.4%		127		1.4%		53.08%		4,910		2,686		54.7%		-5.5%		2,224		45.3%		0		0.00%
Fondu Lac	52,323		23,463		44.8%		28,164		53.8%		696		1.3%		49.92%		26,121		10,180		39.0%		-5.9%		15,931		61.0%		10		0.04%
Dodge	42,823		19,183		44.8%		23,015		53.7%		625		1.5%		51.15%		21,904		8,519		38.9%		-5.9%		13,374		61.1%		11		0.05%
Rusk	7,272		3,855		53.0%		3,253		44.7%		164		2.3%		56.83%		4,133		1,941		47.0%		-6.0%		2,189		53.0%		3		0.07%
Oneida	21,927		11,907		54.3%		9,630		43.9%		390		1.8%		48.64%		10,665		5,135		48.1%		-6.2%		5,515		51.7%		15		0.14%
Adams	9,986		5,806		58.1%		3,974		39.8%		206		2.1%		49.64%		4,957		2,557		51.6%		-6.6%		2,393		48.3%		7		0.14%
Green Lake	9,536		4,000		41.9%		5,393		56.6%		143		1.5%		61.09%		5,826		2,049		35.2%		-6.8%		3,777		64.8%		0		0.00%
Vilas	13,750		6,491		47.2%		7,055		51.3%		204		1.5%		51.14%		7,032		2,820		40.1%		-7.1%		4,204		59.8%		8		0.11%
Marathon	67,940		36,367		53.5%		30,345		44.7%		1228		1.8%		47.09%		31,990		14,823		46.3%		-7.2%		17,131		53.6%		36		0.11%
Winnebago	87,677		48,167		54.9%		37,946		43.3%		1564		1.8%		45.20%		39,628		18,887		47.7%		-7.3%		20,701		52.2%		40		0.10%
Price	8,194		4,559		55.6%		3,461		42.2%		174		2.1%		51.16%		4,192		2,025		48.3%		-7.3%		2,165		51.6%		2		0.05%
Jefferson	43,166		21,448		49.7%		21,096		48.9%		622		1.4%		53.31%		23,013		9,741		42.3%		-7.4%		13,239		57.5%		33		0.14%
Green	18,534		11,502		62.1%		6,730		36.3%		302		1.6%		58.06%		10,761		5,860		54.5%		-7.6%		4,883		45.4%		18		0.17%
Marinette	21,255		11,195		52.7%		9,726		45.8%		334		1.6%		42.64%		9,064		4,083		45.0%		-7.6%		4,980		54.9%		1		0.01%
Buffalo	7,000		3,949		56.4%		2,923		41.8%		128		1.8%		47.10%		3,297		1,608		48.8%		-7.6%		1,686		51.1%		3		0.09%
Marquette	7,846		4,068		51.8%		3,654		46.6%		124		1.6%		50.33%		3,949		1,726		43.7%		-8.1%		2,220		56.2%		3		0.08%
Langlade	10,402		5,182		49.8%		5,081		48.8%		139		1.3%		43.82%		4,558		1,895		41.6%		-8.2%		2,663		58.4%		0		0.00%
Lafayette	7,831		4,732		60.4%		2,984		38.1%		115		1.5%		53.84%		4,216		2,185		51.8%		-8.6%		2,030		48.1%		1		0.02%
Racine	100,642		53,408		53.1%		45,954		45.7%		1280		1.3%		50.45%		50,772		22,518		44.4%		-8.7%		28,204		55.6%		50		0.10%
Trempealeau	13,314		8,321		62.5%		4,808		36.1%		185		1.4%		46.67%		6,214		3,330		53.6%		-8.9%		2,878		46.3%		6		0.10%
Brown	124,754		67,269		53.9%		55,854		44.8%		1631		1.3%		48.60%		60,628		27,207		44.9%		-9.0%		33,319		55.0%		102		0.17%
Waushara	11,849		5,868		49.5%		5,770		48.7%		211		1.8%		48.09%		5,698		2,300		40.4%		-9.2%		3,395		59.6%		3		0.05%
Walworth	50,422		24,177		47.9%		25,485		50.5%		760		1.5%		46.01%		23,197		8,930		38.5%		-9.5%		14,236		61.4%		31		0.13%
Oconto	18,968		9,927		52.3%		8,755		46.2%		286		1.5%		47.81%		9,068		3,859		42.6%		-9.8%		5,206		57.4%		3		0.03%
Ozaukee	53,365		20,579		38.6%		32,172		60.3%		614		1.2%		54.64%		29,157		8,296		28.5%		-10.1%		20,845		71.5%		16		0.05%
Waupaca	25,511		12,952		50.8%		12,232		47.9%		327		1.3%		47.63%		12,150		4,938		40.6%		-10.1%		7,205		59.3%		7		0.06%
Washington	74,411		25,719		34.6%		47,729		64.1%		963		1.3%		54.69%		40,693		9,902		24.3%		-10.2%		30,777		75.6%		14		0.03%
Taylor	9,346		4,563		48.8%		4,586		49.1%		197		2.1%		63.65%		5,949		2,290		38.5%		-10.3%		3,652		61.4%		7		0.12%
Waukesha	232,897		85,339		36.6%		145,152		62.3%		2406		1.0%		53.70%		125,070		32,758		26.2%		-10.5%		92,263		73.8%		49		0.04%
Door	17,481		10,142		58.0%		7,112		40.7%		227		1.3%		56.51%		9,878		4,662		47.2%		-10.8%		5,200		52.6%		16		0.16%
Milwaukee	475,192		319,819		67.3%		149,445		31.4%		5928		1.2%		48.18%		228,954		129,042		56.4%		-10.9%		99,342		43.4%		570		0.25%
Clark	14,187		7,454		52.5%		6,383		45.0%		350		2.5%		52.14%		7,397		3,065		41.4%		-11.1%		4,327		58.5%		5		0.07%
Shawano	20,089		10,259		51.1%		9,538		47.5%		292		1.5%		45.56%		9,152		3,613		39.5%		-11.6%		5,534		60.5%		5		0.05%
Outagamie	91,563		50,294		54.9%		39,677		43.3%		1592		1.7%		47.70%		43,673		18,878		43.2%		-11.7%		24,769		56.7%		26		0.06%
Calumet	26,474		13,295		50.2%		12,722		48.1%		457		1.7%		45.88%		12,147		4,643		38.2%		-12.0%		7,500		61.7%		4		0.03%
Sheboygan	62,107		30,395		48.9%		30,801		49.6%		911		1.5%		49.85%		30,961		11,411		36.9%		-12.1%		19,534		63.1%		16		0.05%
Kewaunee	10,787		5,902		54.7%		4,711		43.7%		174		1.6%		53.22%		5,741		2,405		41.9%		-12.8%		3,331		58.0%		5		0.09%
Forest	4,683		2,673		57.1%		1,963		41.9%		47		1.0%		58.27%		2,729		1,196		43.8%		-13.3%		1,531		56.1%		2		0.07%
Manitowoc	42,414		22,428		52.9%		19,234		45.3%		752		1.8%		47.09%		19,971		7,752		38.8%		-14.1%		12,211		61.1%		8		0.04%
Menominee	1,448		1,257		86.8%		185		12.8%		6		0.4%		26.38%		382		241		63.1%		-23.7%		141		36.9%		0		0.00%

Table 3

Kloppenburg County Vote Share vs. Obama – Sorted by Kloppenburg Share

County	Total	Obama		McCain		Other		Ratio	Total	Kloppenburg		Chg	Prosser		Other
	2,983,417	1,677,211	56.2%	1,262,393	42.3%	43,813	1.5%	50.24%	1,498,880	745,007	49.70%	-6.5%	752,323	50.19%	1,550	0.10%

Dane	282,939	205,984	72.8%	73,065	25.8%	3890	1.4%	64.43%	182,305	133,565	73.3%	0.5%	48,636	26.7%	104	0.06%
Ashland	8,574	5,818	67.9%	2,634	30.7%	122	1.4%	54.26%	4,652	3,266	70.2%	2.4%	1,383	29.7%	3	0.06%
Douglas	24,066	15,830	65.8%	7,835	32.6%	401	1.7%	51.92%	12,494	8674	69.4%	3.6%	3814	30.5%	6	0.05%
Bayfield	9,468	5,972	63.1%	3,365	35.5%	131	1.4%	62.44%	5,912	3,954	66.9%	3.8%	1,957	33.1%	1	0.02%
Menominee	1,448	1,257	86.8%	185	12.8%	6	0.4%	26.38%	382	241	63.1%	-23.7%	141	36.9%	0	0.00%
Iowa	11,969	7,987	66.7%	3,829	32.0%	153	1.3%	53.29%	6,378	3919	61.4%	-5.3%	2455	38.5%	4	0.06%
Rock	79,169	50,529	63.8%	27,364	34.6%	1276	1.6%	46.48%	36,797	22,145	60.2%	-3.6%	14,626	39.7%	26	0.07%
Portage	39,422	24,817	63.0%	13,810	35.0%	795	2.0%	51.45%	20,283	12,140	59.9%	-3.1%	8,121	40.0%	22	0.11%
Crawford	7,981	4,987	62.5%	2,830	35.5%	164	2.1%	51.59%	4,117	2,428	59.0%	-3.5%	1,689	41.0%	0	0.00%
LaCrosse	63,218	38,524	60.9%	23,701	37.5%	993	1.6%	46.69%	29,518	17,379	58.9%	-2.1%	12,124	41.1%	15	0.05%
EauClaire	55,010	33,146	60.3%	20,959	38.1%	905	1.6%	49.80%	27,395	15,919	58.1%	-2.1%	11,416	41.7%	60	0.22%
Grant	24,320	14,875	61.2%	9,068	37.3%	377	1.6%	41.06%	9,986	5,697	57.0%	-4.1%	4,283	42.9%	6	0.06%
Milwaukee	475,192	319,819	67.3%	149,445	31.4%	5,928	1.2%	48.2%	228,954	129,042	56.4%	-10.9%	99,342	43.4%	570	0.2%
Sauk	30,626	18,617	60.8%	11,562	37.8%	447	1.5%	53.44%	16,367	9,188	56.1%	-4.7%	7,171	43.8%	8	0.05%
Dunn	22,989	13,002	56.6%	9,566	41.6%	421	1.8%	40.18%	9,237	5,158	55.8%	-0.7%	4,075	44.1%	4	0.04%
Iron	3,432	1,914	55.8%	1,464	42.7%	54	1.6%	49.45%	1,697	937	55.2%	-0.6%	760	44.8%	0	0.00%
Columbia	29,272	16,661	56.9%	12,193	41.7%	418	1.4%	55.60%	16,275	8,959	55.0%	-1.9%	7,302	44.9%	14	0.09%
Richland	8,450	5,041	59.7%	3,298	39.0%	111	1.3%	47.14%	3,983	2,186	54.9%	-4.8%	1,797	45.1%	0	0.00%
Vernon	14,075	8,463	60.1%	5,367	38.1%	245	1.7%	56.21%	7,911	4,331	54.7%	-5.4%	3,578	45.2%	2	0.03%
Pierce	22,107	11,803	53.4%	9,812	44.4%	492