Wisconsin Vote Recount and Historical Data Analysis

 

Richard Charnin (TruthIsAll)

 

 

The 1988-2008 True Vote Model

Analyze national and state presidential elections. It is a comprehensive, yet easy-to-use spreadsheet that runs in the Google “Cloud”. Excel is not required – anyone can run it.

View tables and a trend graph of state and national Exit Poll and True Vote discrepancies from the recorded vote.

https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=tpsLLEzC1Ccb7FsEN-EgZhQ#gid=0

 

1988-2008 Wisconsin Presidential True Vote Analysis

http://richardcharnin.com/TrueVoteModelWisconsin.htm

 

Wisconsin vs. Oregon

1988-2008 Presidential elections

The average Democratic recorded margin was 5.5% in Wisconsin and 6.3% in Oregon.

Note how closely the WI and OR recorded shares match in each election.

 

Unadjusted Exit Polls

In 1998 Oregon switched to an all paper ballot (delivered in person or mail), so there were no exit polls.

In 2008, the National Election Pool did not release unadjusted or preliminary exit polls - only the finals.

As we all know, ALL FINAL EXIT POLLS ARE ALWAYS FORCED TO MATCH THE RECORDED VOTE.

 

Note the large exit poll discrepancies from the recorded vote in Oregon in 1988-1992.

In 1992, Oregon had the highest exit poll discrepancy in the nation. Maybe that’s why they changed to 100% paper in1998.

In 2004, Kerry had a 2.4% lower recorded vote share in WI than the exit poll. Wonder why? HAVA drink.

 

2010 Senate

Wisconsin: Russ Finegold, a well-regarded progressive incumbent, lost re-election by 52-47%.

Oregon: Ron Wyden, a well-regarded progressive incumbent, won re-election by 57-41%.

That is a 21% net difference in margin.

Wyden’s winning margin matched Obama in Oregon.

 

This is a comparative analysis of Oregon vs. the Battleground states: http://richardcharnin.com/OregonVotingSystem.htm

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wisconsin vs. Oregon 1988-2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Democratic Presidential Election Recorded Vote Shares (%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average 1988-2000

 

Recorded

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

 

Dem

GOP

Margin

WI

51.4

41.1

48.8

47.8

49.7

56.2

 

49.2

43.7

5.5

OR

51.3

42.5

47.2

47.0

51.3

56.7

 

49.3

42.0

7.3

Diff

0.1

(1.4)

1.6

0.8

(1.6)

(0.5)

 

(0.2)

1.7

 

Exit Poll

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average 1988-1996

 

WI

50.3

42.4

50.2

46.6

52.1

na

 

47.6

 

 

OR

55.0

49.3

48.4

na

na

na

 

50.9

 

 

Diff

(4.7)

(6.9)

1.8

na

na

na

 

(3.27)

 

 

Rec-Exit

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Exit Poll Deviation

WI

1.1

(1.3)

(1.4)

1.2

(2.4)

na

 

(0.56)

 

 

OR

(3.7)

(6.8)

(1.2)

na

na

na

 

(3.90)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010 Senate

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Finegold

47

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wyden

57

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diff

(10.0)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Presidential Election vs. 2011 Wisconsin Supreme Court Election

 

Prosser leads by 7,000 out of nearly 1.5 million votes.

In 2008, Obama had 56.2% of the recorded vote, a 415,000 vote margin out of nearly 3 million votes.

 

Considering the heavy union turnout, how did Kloppenburg’s vote share decline by 6.5% from Obama’s?

Kloppenburg did better than Obama in 10 small counties (total 50,000 votes) but worse in 10 large counties (550,000 votes).

 

In Milwaukee County, Obama had 67.3%, Kloppenburg 56.4% of 229,000 votes. Why the 10.9% decline?

In Waukesha County, Obama had 36.6%, Kloppenburg 26.2% of 125,000 votes. Why the 10.4% decline?

 

In Waukesha, McCain defeated Obama by 59,813 votes out of 233,435 recorded.

Prosser defeated Kloppenburg by a nearly identical 59,505 votes out of just 125,070.

Quite a gain.

 

Amazing: 50 Consecutive Prosser Base Hits

 

A recount observer claimed that there were 50 consecutive ballots for Prosser in a city where Kloppenburg had 75%.

If true, it is absolute mathematical proof of fraud.

 

The simple probability calculation:

Prob = 0.25 ^ 50 or 1 in 1,267,650,600,228,230,000,000,000,000,000 !!! 

 

The probability is the same as that of a baseball player with a .250 BA getting 50 consecutive base hits.

The all-time record for consecutive base hits in major league baseball history is 12. Walt Dropo of the Boston Red Sox did it back in 1950.

There has never been anything close to 50 consecutive base hits. It has never happened - and never will.

 

The 50 consecutive Prosser ballots could not have happened by accident.

There you go. So what is the explanation? So how did it happen? 

 

Table 1

Kloppenburg County Vote Share vs. Obama 

 

The following graph shows that Kloppenburg improved over Obama’s 2008 vote share in small counties, but did worse in large counties.

In progressive Dane County, Kloppenburg’s vote share improved by just 0.5% over Obama.

Contrast Dane with heavily Democratic Milwaukee County where Obama had 67.3% and Kloppenburg had just 56.4% - a 10.9% decline.

In Republican Waukesha County, Obama had 36.6% and Kloppenburg just 26.2% - a 10.4% decline.

Kloppenburg’s total WI vote share declined by 6.5% from Obama.

 

http://richardcharnin.com/WI2008Cty_11462_image001.png

 

 

http://elections.state.wi.us/docview.asp?docid=15385&locid=47                                        http://gab.wi.gov/sites/default/files/County%20results_4.5.11.supreme_recount%20pending.pdf

 

                                                                                                Correlation                            

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

vs Obama

 

Kloppencurg

0.97

 

Prosser  

0.86

Other

0.91

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

vsMcCain

 

Kloppenburg

0.77

 

Prosser

1.00

Other

0.74

 

Correlation

1.00

0.98

0.10

0.94

-0.09

0.99

-0.21

 

Total

0.96

0.06

-0.07

0.93

-0.06

0.83

0.34

 

County

 Total

 Obama

 

McCain

 

   Other

 

     Ratio

  Total

  Kloppenburg

        Chg

   Prosser

 

      Other

 

 

2,983,417

1,677,211

56.2%

1,262,393

42.3%

43,813

1.5%

50.24%

1,498,880

745,007

49.70%

-6.5%

752,323

50.19%

1,550

0.10%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Adams

9,986

5,806

58.1%

3,974

39.8%

206

2.1%

49.64%

4,957

2,557

51.6%

-6.6%

2,393

48.3%

7

0.14%

Ashland

8,574

5,818

67.9%

2,634

30.7%

122

1.4%

54.26%

4,652

3,266

70.2%

2.4%

1,383

29.7%

3

0.06%

Barron

22,886

12,078

52.8%

10,457

45.7%

351

1.5%

40.86%

9,352

4,640

49.6%

-3.2%

4,709

50.4%

3

0.03%

Bayfield

9,468

5,972

63.1%

3,365

35.5%

131

1.4%

62.44%

5,912

3,954

66.9%

3.8%

1,957

33.1%

1

0.02%

Brown

124,754

67,269

53.9%

55,854

44.8%

1631

1.3%

48.60%

60,628

27,207

44.9%

-9.0%

33,319

55.0%

102

0.17%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Buffalo

7,000

3,949

56.4%

2,923

41.8%

128

1.8%

47.10%

3,297

1,608

48.8%

-7.6%

1,686

51.1%

3

0.09%

Burnett

8,688

4,337

49.9%

4,200

48.3%

151

1.7%

41.55%

3,610

1,659

46.0%

-4.0%

1,950

54.0%

1

0.03%

Calumet

26,474

13,295

50.2%

12,722

48.1%

457

1.7%

45.88%

12,147

4,643

38.2%

-12.0%

7,500

61.7%

4

0.03%

Chippewa

30,231

16,239

53.7%

13,492

44.6%

500

1.7%

46.61%

14,090

7,221

51.2%

-2.5%

6,856

48.7%

13

0.09%

Clark

14,187

7,454

52.5%

6,383

45.0%

350

2.5%

52.14%

7,397

3,065

41.4%

-11.1%

4,327

58.5%

5

0.07%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Columbia

29,272

16,661

56.9%

12,193

41.7%

418

1.4%

55.60%

16,275

8,959

55.0%

-1.9%

7,302

44.9%

14

0.09%

Crawford

7,981

4,987

62.5%

2,830

35.5%

164

2.1%

51.59%

4,117

2,428

59.0%

-3.5%

1,689

41.0%

0

0.00%

Dane

282,939

205,984

72.8%

73,065

25.8%

3890

1.4%

64.43%

182,305

133,565

73.3%

0.5%

48,636

26.7%

104

0.06%

Dodge

42,823

19,183

44.8%

23,015

53.7%

625

1.5%

51.15%

21,904

8,519

38.9%

-5.9%

13,374

61.1%

11

0.05%

Door

17,481

10,142

58.0%

7,112

40.7%

227

1.3%

56.51%

9,878

4,662

47.2%

-10.8%

5,200

52.6%

16

0.16%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Douglas

24,066

15,830

65.8%

7,835

32.6%

401

1.7%

51.92%

12,494

8,674

69.4%

3.6%

3,814

30.5%

6

0.05%

Dunn

22,989

13,002

56.6%

9,566

41.6%

421

1.8%

40.18%

9,237

5,158

55.8%

-0.7%

4,075

44.1%

4

0.04%

EauClaire

55,010

33,146

60.3%

20,959

38.1%

905

1.6%

49.80%

27,395

15,919

58.1%

-2.1%

11,416

41.7%

60

0.22%

Florence

2,685

1,134

42.2%

1,512

56.3%

39

1.5%

47.75%

1,282

483

37.7%

-4.6%

799

62.3%

0

0.00%

FonduLac

52,323

23,463

44.8%

28,164

53.8%

696

1.3%

49.92%

26,121

10,180

39.0%

-5.9%

15,931

61.0%

10

0.04%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Forest

4,683

2,673

57.1%

1,963

41.9%

47

1.0%

58.27%

2,729

1,196

43.8%

-13.3%

1,531

56.1%

2

0.07%

Grant

24,320

14,875

61.2%

9,068

37.3%

377

1.6%

41.06%

9,986

5,697

57.0%

-4.1%

4,283

42.9%

6

0.06%

Green

18,534

11,502

62.1%

6,730

36.3%

302

1.6%

58.06%

10,761

5,860

54.5%

-7.6%

4,883

45.4%

18

0.17%

GreenLake

9,536

4,000

41.9%

5,393

56.6%

143

1.5%

61.09%

5,826

2,049

35.2%

-6.8%

3,777

64.8%

0

0.00%

Iowa

11,969

7,987

66.7%

3,829

32.0%

153

1.3%

53.29%

6,378

3,919

61.4%

-5.3%

2,455

38.5%

4

0.06%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Iron

3,432

1,914

55.8%

1,464

42.7%

54

1.6%

49.45%

1,697

937

55.2%

-0.6%

760

44.8%

0

0.00%

Jackson

9,251

5,572

60.2%

3,552

38.4%

127

1.4%

53.08%

4,910

2,686

54.7%

-5.5%

2,224

45.3%

0

0.00%

Jefferson

43,166

21,448

49.7%

21,096

48.9%

622

1.4%

53.31%

23,013

9,741

42.3%

-7.4%

13,239

57.5%

33

0.14%

Juneau

11,530

6,186

53.7%

5,148

44.6%

196

1.7%

45.40%

5,235

2,696

51.5%

-2.2%

2,534

48.4%

5

0.10%

Kenosha

78,789

45,836

58.2%

31,609

40.1%

1344

1.7%

38.90%

30,651

16,207

52.9%

-5.3%

14,388

46.9%

56

0.18%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Kewaunee

10,787

5,902

54.7%

4,711

43.7%

174

1.6%

53.22%

5,741

2,405

41.9%

-12.8%

3,331

58.0%

5

0.09%

LaCrosse

63,218

38,524

60.9%

23,701

37.5%

993

1.6%

46.69%

29,518

17,379

58.9%

-2.1%

12,124

41.1%

15

0.05%

Lafayette

7,831

4,732

60.4%

2,984

38.1%

115

1.5%

53.84%

4,216

2,185

51.8%

-8.6%

2,030

48.1%

1

0.02%

Langlade

10,402

5,182

49.8%

5,081

48.8%

139

1.3%

43.82%

4,558

1,895

41.6%

-8.2%

2,663

58.4%

0

0.00%

Lincoln

15,268

8,424

55.2%

6,519

42.7%

325

2.1%

46.76%

7,139

3,549

49.7%

-5.5%

3,578

50.1%

12

0.17%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Manitowoc

42,414

22,428

52.9%

19,234

45.3%

752

1.8%

47.09%

19,971

7,752

38.8%

-14.1%

12,211

61.1%

8

0.04%

Marathon

67,940

36,367

53.5%

30,345

44.7%

1228

1.8%

47.09%

31,990

14,823

46.3%

-7.2%

17,131

53.6%

36

0.11%

Marinette

21,255

11,195

52.7%

9,726

45.8%

334

1.6%

42.64%

9,064

4,083

45.0%

-7.6%

4,980

54.9%

1

0.01%

Marquette

7,846

4,068

51.8%

3,654

46.6%

124

1.6%

50.33%

3,949

1,726

43.7%

-8.1%

2,220

56.2%

3

0.08%

Menominee

1,448

1,257

86.8%

185

12.8%

6

0.4%

26.38%

382

241

63.1%

-23.7%

141

36.9%

0

0.00%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Milwaukee

475,192

319,819

67.3%

149,445

31.4%

5928

1.2%

48.18%

228,954

129,042

56.4%

-10.9%

99,342

43.4%

570

0.25%

Monroe

19,152

10,198

53.2%

8,666

45.2%

288

1.5%

48.13%

9,218

4,692

50.9%

-2.3%

4,512

48.9%

14

0.15%

Oconto

18,968

9,927

52.3%

8,755

46.2%

286

1.5%

47.81%

9,068

3,859

42.6%

-9.8%

5,206

57.4%

3

0.03%

Oneida

21,927

11,907

54.3%

9,630

43.9%

390

1.8%

48.64%

10,665

5,135

48.1%

-6.2%

5,515

51.7%

15

0.14%

Outagamie

91,563

50,294

54.9%

39,677

43.3%

1592

1.7%

47.70%

43,673

18,878

43.2%

-11.7%

24,769

56.7%

26

0.06%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ozaukee

53,365

20,579

38.6%

32,172

60.3%

614

1.2%

54.64%

29,157

8,296

28.5%

-10.1%

20,845

71.5%

16

0.05%

Pepin

3,771

2,102

55.7%

1,616

42.9%

53

1.4%

49.46%

1,865

983

52.7%

-3.0%

882

47.3%

0

0.00%

Pierce

22,107

11,803

53.4%

9,812

44.4%

492

2.2%

40.55%

8,964

4,904

54.7%

1.3%

4,053

45.2%

7

0.08%

Polk

22,643

10,876

48.0%

11,282

49.8%

485

2.1%

40.21%

9,104

4,438

48.7%

0.7%

4,662

51.2%

4

0.04%

Portage

39,422

24,817

63.0%

13,810

35.0%

795

2.0%

51.45%

20,283

12,140

59.9%

-3.1%

8,121

40.0%

22

0.11%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price

8,194

4,559

55.6%

3,461

42.2%

174

2.1%

51.16%

4,192

2,025

48.3%

-7.3%

2,165

51.6%

2

0.05%

Racine

100,642

53,408

53.1%

45,954

45.7%

1280

1.3%

50.45%

50,772

22,518

44.4%

-8.7%

28,204

55.6%

50

0.10%

Richland

8,450

5,041

59.7%

3,298

39.0%

111

1.3%

47.14%

3,983

2,186

54.9%

-4.8%

1,797

45.1%

0

0.00%

Rock

79,169

50,529

63.8%

27,364

34.6%

1276

1.6%

46.48%

36,797

22,145

60.2%

-3.6%

14,626

39.7%

26

0.07%

Rusk

7,272

3,855

53.0%

3,253

44.7%

164

2.3%

56.83%

4,133

1,941

47.0%

-6.0%

2,189

53.0%

3

0.07%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sauk

30,626

18,617

60.8%

11,562

37.8%

447

1.5%

53.44%

16,367

9,188

56.1%

-4.7%

7,171

43.8%

8

0.05%

Sawyer

9,085

4,765

52.4%

4,199

46.2%

121

1.3%

46.03%

4,182

2,059

49.2%

-3.2%

2,122

50.7%

1

0.02%

Shawano

20,089

10,259

51.1%

9,538

47.5%

292

1.5%

45.56%

9,152

3,613

39.5%

-11.6%

5,534

60.5%

5

0.05%

Sheboygan

62,107

30,395

48.9%

30,801

49.6%

911

1.5%

49.85%

30,961

11,411

36.9%

-12.1%

19,534

63.1%

16

0.05%

St. Croix

44,821

21,177

47.2%

22,837

51.0%

807

1.8%

36.22%

16,235

7,953

49.0%

1.7%

8,272

51.0%

10

0.06%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Taylor

9,346

4,563

48.8%

4,586

49.1%

197

2.1%

63.65%

5,949

2,290

38.5%

-10.3%

3,652

61.4%

7

0.12%

Trempealeau

13,314

8,321

62.5%

4,808

36.1%

185

1.4%

46.67%

6,214

3,330

53.6%

-8.9%

2,878

46.3%

6

0.10%

Vernon

14,075

8,463

60.1%

5,367

38.1%

245

1.7%

56.21%

7,911

4,331

54.7%

-5.4%

3,578

45.2%

2

0.03%

Vilas

13,750

6,491

47.2%

7,055

51.3%

204

1.5%

51.14%

7,032

2,820

40.1%

-7.1%

4,204

59.8%

8

0.11%

Walworth

50,422

24,177

47.9%

25,485

50.5%

760

1.5%

46.01%

23,197

8,930

38.5%

-9.5%

14,236

61.4%

31

0.13%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Washburn

9,112

4,693

51.5%

4,303

47.2%

116

1.3%

51.84%

4,724

2,453

51.9%

0.4%

2,270

48.1%

1

0.02%

Washington

74,411

25,719

34.6%

47,729

64.1%

963

1.3%

54.69%

40,693

9,902

24.3%

-10.2%

30,777

75.6%

14

0.03%

Waukesha

232,897

85,339

36.6%

145,152

62.3%

2406

1.0%

53.70%

125,070

32,758

26.2%

-10.5%

92,263

73.8%

49

0.04%

Waupaca

25,511

12,952

50.8%

12,232

47.9%

327

1.3%

47.63%

12,150

4,938

40.6%

-10.1%

7,205

59.3%

7

0.06%

Waushara

11,849

5,868

49.5%

5,770

48.7%

211

1.8%

48.09%

5,698

2,300

40.4%

-9.2%

3,395

59.6%

3

0.05%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Winnebago

87,677

48,167

54.9%

37,946

43.3%

1564

1.8%

45.20%

39,628

18,887

47.7%

-7.3%

20,701

52.2%

40

0.10%

Wood

39,052

21,710

55.6%

16,581

42.5%

761

1.9%

46.41%

18,125

9,269

51.1%

-4.5%

8,844

48.8%

12

0.07%

 

 

 

 

Table 2

Kloppenburg County Vote Share vs. Obama - Sorted by Percentage Change

 

County

 Total

 Obama

    

 McCain

 

     Other

 

    Ratio

  Total

   Kloppenburg

       Chg

  Prosser

 

   Other

 

 

2,983,417

1,677,211

56.2%

1,262,393

42.3%

43,813

1.5%

50.24%

1,498,880

745,007

49.70%

-6.5%

752,323

50.19%

1,550

0.10%

 

 

Bayfield

9,468

5,972

63.1%

3,365

35.5%

131

1.4%

62.44%

5,912

3,954

66.9%

3.8%

1,957

33.1%

1

0.02%

 

Douglas

24,066

15,830

65.8%

7,835

32.6%

401

1.7%

51.92%

12,494

8,674

69.4%

3.6%

3,814

30.5%

6

0.05%

 

Ashland

8,574

5,818

67.9%

2,634

30.7%

122

1.4%

54.26%

4,652

3,266

70.2%

2.4%

1,383

29.7%

3

0.06%

 

St. Croix

44,821

21,177

47.2%

22,837

51.0%

807

1.8%

36.22%

16,235

7,953

49.0%

1.7%

8,272

51.0%

10

0.06%

 

Pierce

22,107

11,803

53.4%

9,812

44.4%

492

2.2%

40.55%

8,964

4,904

54.7%

1.3%

4,053

45.2%

7

0.08%

 

 

Polk

22,643

10,876

48.0%

11,282

49.8%

485

2.1%

40.21%

9,104

4,438

48.7%

0.7%

4,662

51.2%

4

0.04%

 

Dane

282,939

205,984

72.8%

73,065

25.8%

3890

1.4%

64.43%

182,305

133,565

73.3%

0.5%

48,636

26.7%

104

0.06%

 

Washburn

9,112

4,693

51.5%

4,303

47.2%

116

1.3%

51.84%

4,724

2,453

51.9%

0.4%

2,270

48.1%

1

0.02%

 

Iron

3,432

1,914

55.8%

1,464

42.7%

54

1.6%

49.45%

1,697

937

55.2%

-0.6%

760

44.8%

0

0.00%

 

Dunn

22,989

13,002

56.6%

9,566

41.6%

421

1.8%

40.18%

9,237

5,158

55.8%

-0.7%

4,075

44.1%

4

0.04%

 

 

Columbia

29,272

16,661

56.9%

12,193

41.7%

418

1.4%

55.60%

16,275

8,959

55.0%

-1.9%

7,302

44.9%

14

0.09%

 

La Crosse

63,218

38,524

60.9%

23,701

37.5%

993

1.6%

46.69%

29,518

17,379

58.9%

-2.1%

12,124

41.1%

15

0.05%

 

Eau Claire

55,010

33,146

60.3%

20,959

38.1%

905

1.6%

49.80%

27,395

15,919

58.1%

-2.1%

11,416

41.7%

60

0.22%

 

Juneau

11,530

6,186

53.7%

5,148

44.6%

196

1.7%

45.40%

5,235

2,696

51.5%

-2.2%

2,534

48.4%

5

0.10%

 

Monroe

19,152

10,198

53.2%

8,666

45.2%

288

1.5%

48.13%

9,218

4,692

50.9%

-2.3%

4,512

48.9%

14

0.15%

 

 

Chippewa

30,231

16,239

53.7%

13,492

44.6%

500

1.7%

46.61%

14,090

7,221

51.2%

-2.5%

6,856

48.7%

13

0.09%

 

Pepin

3,771

2,102

55.7%

1,616

42.9%

53

1.4%

49.46%

1,865

983

52.7%

-3.0%

882

47.3%

0

0.00%

 

Portage

39,422

24,817

63.0%

13,810

35.0%

795

2.0%

51.45%

20,283

12,140

59.9%

-3.1%

8,121

40.0%

22

0.11%

 

Barron

22,886

12,078

52.8%

10,457

45.7%

351

1.5%

40.86%

9,352

4,640

49.6%

-3.2%

4,709

50.4%

3

0.03%

 

Sawyer

9,085

4,765

52.4%

4,199

46.2%

121

1.3%

46.03%

4,182

2,059

49.2%

-3.2%

2,122

50.7%

1

0.02%

 

 

Crawford

7,981

4,987

62.5%

2,830

35.5%

164

2.1%

51.59%

4,117

2,428

59.0%

-3.5%

1,689

41.0%

0

0.00%

 

Rock

79,169

50,529

63.8%

27,364

34.6%

1276

1.6%

46.48%

36,797

22,145

60.2%

-3.6%

14,626

39.7%

26

0.07%

 

Burnett

8,688

4,337

49.9%

4,200

48.3%

151

1.7%

41.55%

3,610

1,659

46.0%

-4.0%

1,950

54.0%

1

0.03%

 

Grant

24,320

14,875

61.2%

9,068

37.3%

377

1.6%

41.06%

9,986

5,697

57.0%

-4.1%

4,283

42.9%

6

0.06%

 

Wood

39,052

21,710

55.6%

16,581

42.5%

761

1.9%

46.41%

18,125

9,269

51.1%

-4.5%

8,844

48.8%

12

0.07%

 

 

Florence

2,685

1,134

42.2%

1,512

56.3%

39

1.5%

47.75%

1,282

483

37.7%

-4.6%

799

62.3%

0

0.00%

 

Sauk

30,626

18,617

60.8%

11,562

37.8%

447

1.5%

53.44%

16,367

9,188

56.1%

-4.7%

7,171

43.8%

8

0.05%

 

Richland

8,450

5,041

59.7%

3,298

39.0%

111

1.3%

47.14%

3,983

2,186

54.9%

-4.8%

1,797

45.1%

0

0.00%

 

Iowa

11,969

7,987

66.7%

3,829

32.0%

153

1.3%

53.29%

6,378

3,919

61.4%

-5.3%

2,455

38.5%

4

0.06%

 

Kenosha

78,789

45,836

58.2%

31,609

40.1%

1344

1.7%

38.90%

30,651

16,207

52.9%

-5.3%

14,388

46.9%

56

0.18%

 

 

Vernon

14,075

8,463

60.1%

5,367

38.1%

245

1.7%

56.21%

7,911

4,331

54.7%

-5.4%

3,578

45.2%

2

0.03%

 

Lincoln

15,268

8,424

55.2%

6,519

42.7%

325

2.1%

46.76%

7,139

3,549

49.7%

-5.5%

3,578

50.1%

12

0.17%

 

Jackson

9,251

5,572

60.2%

3,552

38.4%

127

1.4%

53.08%

4,910

2,686

54.7%

-5.5%

2,224

45.3%

0

0.00%

 

Fondu Lac

52,323

23,463

44.8%

28,164

53.8%

696

1.3%

49.92%

26,121

10,180

39.0%

-5.9%

15,931

61.0%

10

0.04%

 

Dodge

42,823

19,183

44.8%

23,015

53.7%

625

1.5%

51.15%

21,904

8,519

38.9%

-5.9%

13,374

61.1%

11

0.05%

 

 

Rusk

7,272

3,855

53.0%

3,253

44.7%

164

2.3%

56.83%

4,133

1,941

47.0%

-6.0%

2,189

53.0%

3

0.07%

 

Oneida

21,927

11,907

54.3%

9,630

43.9%

390

1.8%

48.64%

10,665

5,135

48.1%

-6.2%

5,515

51.7%

15

0.14%

 

Adams

9,986

5,806

58.1%

3,974

39.8%

206

2.1%

49.64%

4,957

2,557

51.6%

-6.6%

2,393

48.3%

7

0.14%

 

Green Lake

9,536

4,000

41.9%

5,393

56.6%

143

1.5%

61.09%

5,826

2,049

35.2%

-6.8%

3,777

64.8%

0

0.00%

 

Vilas

13,750

6,491

47.2%

7,055

51.3%

204

1.5%

51.14%

7,032

2,820

40.1%

-7.1%

4,204

59.8%

8

0.11%

 

 

Marathon

67,940

36,367

53.5%

30,345

44.7%

1228

1.8%

47.09%

31,990

14,823

46.3%

-7.2%

17,131

53.6%

36

0.11%

 

Winnebago

87,677

48,167

54.9%

37,946

43.3%

1564

1.8%

45.20%

39,628

18,887

47.7%

-7.3%

20,701

52.2%

40

0.10%

 

Price

8,194

4,559

55.6%

3,461

42.2%

174

2.1%

51.16%

4,192

2,025

48.3%

-7.3%

2,165

51.6%

2

0.05%

 

Jefferson

43,166

21,448

49.7%

21,096

48.9%

622

1.4%

53.31%

23,013

9,741

42.3%

-7.4%

13,239

57.5%

33

0.14%

 

Green

18,534

11,502

62.1%

6,730

36.3%

302

1.6%

58.06%

10,761

5,860

54.5%

-7.6%

4,883

45.4%

18

0.17%

 

 

Marinette

21,255

11,195

52.7%

9,726

45.8%

334

1.6%

42.64%

9,064

4,083

45.0%

-7.6%

4,980

54.9%

1

0.01%

 

Buffalo

7,000

3,949

56.4%

2,923

41.8%

128

1.8%

47.10%

3,297

1,608

48.8%

-7.6%

1,686

51.1%

3

0.09%

 

Marquette

7,846

4,068

51.8%

3,654

46.6%

124

1.6%

50.33%

3,949

1,726

43.7%

-8.1%

2,220

56.2%

3

0.08%

 

Langlade

10,402

5,182

49.8%

5,081

48.8%

139

1.3%

43.82%

4,558

1,895

41.6%

-8.2%

2,663

58.4%

0

0.00%

 

Lafayette

7,831

4,732

60.4%

2,984

38.1%

115

1.5%

53.84%

4,216

2,185

51.8%

-8.6%

2,030

48.1%

1

0.02%

 

 

Racine

100,642

53,408

53.1%

45,954

45.7%

1280

1.3%

50.45%

50,772

22,518

44.4%

-8.7%

28,204

55.6%

50

0.10%

 

Trempealeau

13,314

8,321

62.5%

4,808

36.1%

185

1.4%

46.67%

6,214

3,330

53.6%

-8.9%

2,878

46.3%

6

0.10%

 

Brown

124,754

67,269

53.9%

55,854

44.8%

1631

1.3%

48.60%

60,628

27,207

44.9%

-9.0%

33,319

55.0%

102

0.17%

 

Waushara

11,849

5,868

49.5%

5,770

48.7%

211

1.8%

48.09%

5,698

2,300

40.4%

-9.2%

3,395

59.6%

3

0.05%

 

Walworth

50,422

24,177

47.9%

25,485

50.5%

760

1.5%

46.01%

23,197

8,930

38.5%

-9.5%

14,236

61.4%

31

0.13%

 

 

Oconto

18,968

9,927

52.3%

8,755

46.2%

286

1.5%

47.81%

9,068

3,859

42.6%

-9.8%

5,206

57.4%

3

0.03%

 

Ozaukee

53,365

20,579

38.6%

32,172

60.3%

614

1.2%

54.64%

29,157

8,296

28.5%

-10.1%

20,845

71.5%

16

0.05%

 

Waupaca

25,511

12,952

50.8%

12,232

47.9%

327

1.3%

47.63%

12,150

4,938

40.6%

-10.1%

7,205

59.3%

7

0.06%

 

Washington

74,411

25,719

34.6%

47,729

64.1%

963

1.3%

54.69%

40,693

9,902

24.3%

-10.2%

30,777

75.6%

14

0.03%

 

Taylor

9,346

4,563

48.8%

4,586

49.1%

197

2.1%

63.65%

5,949

2,290

38.5%

-10.3%

3,652

61.4%

7

0.12%

 

 

Waukesha

232,897

85,339

36.6%

145,152

62.3%

2406

1.0%

53.70%

125,070

32,758

26.2%

-10.5%

92,263

73.8%

49

0.04%

 

Door

17,481

10,142

58.0%

7,112

40.7%

227

1.3%

56.51%

9,878

4,662

47.2%

-10.8%

5,200

52.6%

16

0.16%

 

Milwaukee

475,192

319,819

67.3%

149,445

31.4%

5928

1.2%

48.18%

228,954

129,042

56.4%

-10.9%

99,342

43.4%

570

0.25%

 

Clark

14,187

7,454

52.5%

6,383

45.0%

350

2.5%

52.14%

7,397

3,065

41.4%

-11.1%

4,327

58.5%

5

0.07%

 

Shawano

20,089

10,259

51.1%

9,538

47.5%

292

1.5%

45.56%

9,152

3,613

39.5%

-11.6%

5,534

60.5%

5

0.05%

 

 

Outagamie

91,563

50,294

54.9%

39,677

43.3%

1592

1.7%

47.70%

43,673

18,878

43.2%

-11.7%

24,769

56.7%

26

0.06%

 

Calumet

26,474

13,295

50.2%

12,722

48.1%

457

1.7%

45.88%

12,147

4,643

38.2%

-12.0%

7,500

61.7%

4

0.03%

 

Sheboygan

62,107

30,395

48.9%

30,801

49.6%

911

1.5%

49.85%

30,961

11,411

36.9%

-12.1%

19,534

63.1%

16

0.05%

 

Kewaunee

10,787

5,902

54.7%

4,711

43.7%

174

1.6%

53.22%

5,741

2,405

41.9%

-12.8%

3,331

58.0%

5

0.09%

 

Forest

4,683

2,673

57.1%

1,963

41.9%

47

1.0%

58.27%

2,729

1,196

43.8%

-13.3%

1,531

56.1%

2

0.07%

 

 

Manitowoc

42,414

22,428

52.9%

19,234

45.3%

752

1.8%

47.09%

19,971

7,752

38.8%

-14.1%

12,211

61.1%

8

0.04%

 

Menominee

1,448

1,257

86.8%

185

12.8%

6

0.4%

26.38%

382

241

63.1%

-23.7%

141

36.9%

0

0.00%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 3

Kloppenburg County Vote Share vs. Obama – Sorted by Kloppenburg Share

 

County

 Total

  Obama

 

  McCain

 

    Other

 

     Ratio

  Total

Kloppenburg

Chg

  Prosser

 

    Other

 

 

2,983,417

1,677,211

56.2%

1,262,393

42.3%

43,813

1.5%

50.24%

1,498,880

745,007

49.70%

-6.5%

752,323

50.19%

1,550

0.10%

 

Dane

282,939

205,984

72.8%

73,065

25.8%

3890

1.4%

64.43%

182,305

133,565

73.3%

0.5%

48,636

26.7%

104

0.06%

Ashland

8,574

5,818

67.9%

2,634

30.7%

122

1.4%

54.26%

4,652

3,266

70.2%

2.4%

1,383

29.7%

3

0.06%

Douglas

24,066

15,830

65.8%

7,835

32.6%

401

1.7%

51.92%

12,494

8674

69.4%

3.6%

3814

30.5%

6

0.05%

Bayfield

9,468

5,972

63.1%

3,365

35.5%

131

1.4%

62.44%

5,912

3,954

66.9%

3.8%

1,957

33.1%

1

0.02%

Menominee

1,448

1,257

86.8%

185

12.8%

6

0.4%

26.38%

382

241

63.1%

-23.7%

141

36.9%

0

0.00%

 

Iowa

11,969

7,987

66.7%

3,829

32.0%

153

1.3%

53.29%

6,378

3919

61.4%

-5.3%

2455

38.5%

4

0.06%

Rock

79,169

50,529

63.8%

27,364

34.6%

1276

1.6%

46.48%

36,797

22,145

60.2%

-3.6%

14,626

39.7%

26

0.07%

Portage

39,422

24,817

63.0%

13,810

35.0%

795

2.0%

51.45%

20,283

12,140

59.9%

-3.1%

8,121

40.0%

22

0.11%

Crawford

7,981

4,987

62.5%

2,830

35.5%

164

2.1%

51.59%

4,117

2,428

59.0%

-3.5%

1,689

41.0%

0

0.00%

LaCrosse

63,218

38,524

60.9%

23,701

37.5%

993

1.6%

46.69%

29,518

17,379

58.9%

-2.1%

12,124

41.1%

15

0.05%

 

EauClaire

55,010

33,146

60.3%

20,959

38.1%

905

1.6%

49.80%

27,395

15,919

58.1%

-2.1%

11,416

41.7%

60

0.22%

Grant

24,320

14,875

61.2%

9,068

37.3%

377

1.6%

41.06%

9,986

5,697

57.0%

-4.1%

4,283

42.9%

6

0.06%

Milwaukee

475,192

319,819

67.3%

149,445

31.4%

5,928

1.2%

48.2%

228,954

129,042

56.4%

-10.9%

99,342

43.4%

570

0.2%

Sauk

30,626

18,617

60.8%

11,562

37.8%

447

1.5%

53.44%

16,367

9,188

56.1%

-4.7%

7,171

43.8%

8

0.05%

Dunn

22,989

13,002

56.6%

9,566

41.6%

421

1.8%

40.18%

9,237

5,158

55.8%

-0.7%

4,075

44.1%

4

0.04%

 

Iron

3,432

1,914

55.8%

1,464

42.7%

54

1.6%

49.45%

1,697

937

55.2%

-0.6%

760

44.8%

0

0.00%

Columbia

29,272

16,661

56.9%

12,193

41.7%

418

1.4%

55.60%

16,275

8,959

55.0%

-1.9%

7,302

44.9%

14

0.09%

Richland

8,450

5,041

59.7%

3,298

39.0%

111

1.3%

47.14%

3,983

2,186

54.9%

-4.8%

1,797

45.1%

0

0.00%

Vernon

14,075

8,463

60.1%

5,367

38.1%

245

1.7%

56.21%

7,911

4,331

54.7%

-5.4%

3,578

45.2%

2

0.03%

Pierce

22,107

11,803

53.4%

9,812

44.4%

492

2.2%

40.55%

8,964

4,904

54.7%

1.3%

4,053

45.2%

7